Ongoing ONPE tallies from Peru's April 12-13 first-round presidential election, now exceeding 90% of actas processed despite initial ballot delivery delays and extended voting, position Jorge Nieto solidly in fourth place behind Keiko Fujimori, Rafael López Aliaga, and Roberto Sánchez Palomino. This trader consensus reflects Nieto's consistent mid-single-digit national support in fragmented polls leading up to the vote, bolstered by his center-left Partido del Buen Gobierno appeal amid voter fatigue with instability. His lead over trailing candidates like Ricardo Belmont stems from stable margins in urban and regional counts. While fraud claims circulate without evidence, shifts could arise from final rural ballots, JNE-mandated recounts, or successful challenges to disputed actas before official proclamation.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoPrimo turno delle elezioni presidenziali in Perù: 4° posto
Primo turno delle elezioni presidenziali in Perù: 4° posto
Jorge Nieto 98.6%
Ricardo Belmont <1%
Rafael López Aliaga <1%
Roberto Sánchez Palomino <1%
$399,304 Vol.
$399,304 Vol.
Jorge Nieto
99%
Ricardo Belmont
1%
Rafael López Aliaga
<1%
Roberto Sánchez Palomino
<1%
Keiko Fujimori
<1%
Carlos Álvarez
<1%
Alfonso López Chau
<1%
José Luna
<1%
Roberto Chiabra
<1%
José Williams
<1%
Carlos Espá
<1%
Yonhy Lescano
<1%
Marisol Pérez Tello
<1%
Mario Vizcarra
<1%
César Acuña
<1%
Vladimir Cerrón
<1%
George Forsyth
<1%
Enrique Valderrama
<1%
Fiorella Molinelli
<1%
Fernando Olivera
<1%
Rafael Belaúnde Llosa
<1%
Mesías Guevara
<1%
Wolfgang Grozo
<1%
Jorge Nieto 98.6%
Ricardo Belmont <1%
Rafael López Aliaga <1%
Roberto Sánchez Palomino <1%
$399,304 Vol.
$399,304 Vol.
Jorge Nieto
99%
Ricardo Belmont
1%
Rafael López Aliaga
<1%
Roberto Sánchez Palomino
<1%
Keiko Fujimori
<1%
Carlos Álvarez
<1%
Alfonso López Chau
<1%
José Luna
<1%
Roberto Chiabra
<1%
José Williams
<1%
Carlos Espá
<1%
Yonhy Lescano
<1%
Marisol Pérez Tello
<1%
Mario Vizcarra
<1%
César Acuña
<1%
Vladimir Cerrón
<1%
George Forsyth
<1%
Enrique Valderrama
<1%
Fiorella Molinelli
<1%
Fernando Olivera
<1%
Rafael Belaúnde Llosa
<1%
Mesías Guevara
<1%
Wolfgang Grozo
<1%
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the fourth-most valid votes in the first round of this election.
The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the fourth-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely on the official results as reported by the Peruvian government, specifically the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE) (https://www.onpe.gob.pe/elecciones/) and the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE) (https://portal.jne.gob.pe/portal/)
Mercato aperto: Mar 20, 2026, 10:41 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the fourth-most valid votes in the first round of this election.
The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the fourth-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely on the official results as reported by the Peruvian government, specifically the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE) (https://www.onpe.gob.pe/elecciones/) and the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE) (https://portal.jne.gob.pe/portal/)
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Ongoing ONPE tallies from Peru's April 12-13 first-round presidential election, now exceeding 90% of actas processed despite initial ballot delivery delays and extended voting, position Jorge Nieto solidly in fourth place behind Keiko Fujimori, Rafael López Aliaga, and Roberto Sánchez Palomino. This trader consensus reflects Nieto's consistent mid-single-digit national support in fragmented polls leading up to the vote, bolstered by his center-left Partido del Buen Gobierno appeal amid voter fatigue with instability. His lead over trailing candidates like Ricardo Belmont stems from stable margins in urban and regional counts. While fraud claims circulate without evidence, shifts could arise from final rural ballots, JNE-mandated recounts, or successful challenges to disputed actas before official proclamation.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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