Partial vote tallies from Peru's April 12-13 presidential first-round election, now exceeding 90% with over 27 million ballots counted amid logistical delays and fraud claims by Rafael López Aliaga, position Jorge Nieto Montesinos of Partido del Buen Gobierno solidly in fourth place at approximately 12%, trailing Keiko Fujimori (17%), López Aliaga (14%), and a tight third like Roberto Sánchez Palomino or Ricardo Belmont. Exit polls from Datum accurately previewed this order, reflecting Nieto's consistent mid-tier support from center-right voters focused on security and governance. Trader consensus at 98.9% implied probability underscores the stability of lower rankings despite disputes; challenges would require major shifts in rural or overseas ballots or successful legal recounts altering the top four. Final certification by the National Jury of Elections remains pending ahead of a likely June 7 runoff.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoPrimo turno delle elezioni presidenziali in Perù: 4° posto
Primo turno delle elezioni presidenziali in Perù: 4° posto
Jorge Nieto 98.8%
Ricardo Belmont <1%
Rafael López Aliaga <1%
Roberto Sánchez Palomino <1%
$400,630 Vol.
$400,630 Vol.
Jorge Nieto
99%
Ricardo Belmont
1%
Rafael López Aliaga
<1%
Roberto Sánchez Palomino
<1%
Keiko Fujimori
<1%
Carlos Álvarez
<1%
Alfonso López Chau
<1%
José Luna
<1%
Roberto Chiabra
<1%
José Williams
<1%
Carlos Espá
<1%
Yonhy Lescano
<1%
Marisol Pérez Tello
<1%
Mario Vizcarra
<1%
César Acuña
<1%
Vladimir Cerrón
<1%
George Forsyth
<1%
Enrique Valderrama
<1%
Fiorella Molinelli
<1%
Fernando Olivera
<1%
Rafael Belaúnde Llosa
<1%
Mesías Guevara
<1%
Wolfgang Grozo
<1%
Jorge Nieto 98.8%
Ricardo Belmont <1%
Rafael López Aliaga <1%
Roberto Sánchez Palomino <1%
$400,630 Vol.
$400,630 Vol.
Jorge Nieto
99%
Ricardo Belmont
1%
Rafael López Aliaga
<1%
Roberto Sánchez Palomino
<1%
Keiko Fujimori
<1%
Carlos Álvarez
<1%
Alfonso López Chau
<1%
José Luna
<1%
Roberto Chiabra
<1%
José Williams
<1%
Carlos Espá
<1%
Yonhy Lescano
<1%
Marisol Pérez Tello
<1%
Mario Vizcarra
<1%
César Acuña
<1%
Vladimir Cerrón
<1%
George Forsyth
<1%
Enrique Valderrama
<1%
Fiorella Molinelli
<1%
Fernando Olivera
<1%
Rafael Belaúnde Llosa
<1%
Mesías Guevara
<1%
Wolfgang Grozo
<1%
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the fourth-most valid votes in the first round of this election.
The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the fourth-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely on the official results as reported by the Peruvian government, specifically the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE) (https://www.onpe.gob.pe/elecciones/) and the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE) (https://portal.jne.gob.pe/portal/)
Mercato aperto: Mar 20, 2026, 10:41 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the fourth-most valid votes in the first round of this election.
The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the fourth-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely on the official results as reported by the Peruvian government, specifically the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE) (https://www.onpe.gob.pe/elecciones/) and the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE) (https://portal.jne.gob.pe/portal/)
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Partial vote tallies from Peru's April 12-13 presidential first-round election, now exceeding 90% with over 27 million ballots counted amid logistical delays and fraud claims by Rafael López Aliaga, position Jorge Nieto Montesinos of Partido del Buen Gobierno solidly in fourth place at approximately 12%, trailing Keiko Fujimori (17%), López Aliaga (14%), and a tight third like Roberto Sánchez Palomino or Ricardo Belmont. Exit polls from Datum accurately previewed this order, reflecting Nieto's consistent mid-tier support from center-right voters focused on security and governance. Trader consensus at 98.9% implied probability underscores the stability of lower rankings despite disputes; challenges would require major shifts in rural or overseas ballots or successful legal recounts altering the top four. Final certification by the National Jury of Elections remains pending ahead of a likely June 7 runoff.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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