Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors 70-75% turnout (85.7%) for Peru's April 12-13 presidential first-round election, aligning closely with the 74% recorded in 2021 amid similar political instability and multiple leadership changes. Compulsory voting for ages 18-70, enforced by fines, maintains high baseline participation despite voter fatigue from a fragmented field of 35 candidates and top concerns over crime and corruption. Logistical chaos—delayed poll openings, missing ballots for 60,000+ Lima voters (30% of electorate), power outages, and a one-day extension—temporarily disrupted access but likely preserved overall levels near historical norms, as exit polls and early counts suggest robust engagement. Official ONPE turnout awaits full tabulation, with runoff looming June 7 absent a 50% first-round winner.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato70-75% 85.7%
75-80% 11%
80-85% 2.7%
< 70% 1.8%
$121,535 Vol.
$121,535 Vol.
12 apr 2026
< 70%
2%
70-75%
86%
75-80%
11%
80-85%
3%
> 85%
<1%
70-75% 85.7%
75-80% 11%
80-85% 2.7%
< 70% 1.8%
$121,535 Vol.
$121,535 Vol.
12 apr 2026
< 70%
$18,233 Vol.
2%
70-75%
$34,805 Vol.
86%
75-80%
$18,702 Vol.
11%
80-85%
$42,166 Vol.
3%
> 85%
$7,629 Vol.
<1%
First-round presidential elections are scheduled to be held in Peru on April 12, 2026, with a potential second round on June 7, 2026, if no candidate receives more than 50% of the valid votes outright.
This market will resolve according to the turnout percentage (% Total Asistentes) in the first round presidential elections, calculated by dividing attendees (Asistentes) by eligible voters (Electores hábiles).
This market will resolve solely based on turnout for the first-round Presidential (Presidencial) election; turnout for Congress members (Congresistas), the Senate (Senado), or the Andean Parliament (Parlamento Andino) will not be considered.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve solely on the official results as reported by the Peruvian government, specifically the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE) (https://www.onpe.gob.pe/elecciones/) and the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE) (https://portal.jne.gob.pe/portal/)Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors 70-75% turnout (85.7%) for Peru's April 12-13 presidential first-round election, aligning closely with the 74% recorded in 2021 amid similar political instability and multiple leadership changes. Compulsory voting for ages 18-70, enforced by fines, maintains high baseline participation despite voter fatigue from a fragmented field of 35 candidates and top concerns over crime and corruption. Logistical chaos—delayed poll openings, missing ballots for 60,000+ Lima voters (30% of electorate), power outages, and a one-day extension—temporarily disrupted access but likely preserved overall levels near historical norms, as exit polls and early counts suggest robust engagement. Official ONPE turnout awaits full tabulation, with runoff looming June 7 absent a 50% first-round winner.
First-round presidential elections are scheduled to be held in Peru on April 12, 2026, with a potential second round on June 7, 2026, if no candidate receives more than 50% of the valid votes outright.
This market will resolve according to the turnout percentage (% Total Asistentes) in the first round presidential elections, calculated by dividing attendees (Asistentes) by eligible voters (Electores hábiles).
This market will resolve solely based on turnout for the first-round Presidential (Presidencial) election; turnout for Congress members (Congresistas), the Senate (Senado), or the Andean Parliament (Parlamento Andino) will not be considered.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve solely on the official results as reported by the Peruvian government, specifically the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE) (https://www.onpe.gob.pe/elecciones/) and the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE) (https://portal.jne.gob.pe/portal/)
This market will resolve according to the turnout percentage (% Total Asistentes) in the first round presidential elections, calculated by dividing attendees (Asistentes) by eligible voters (Electores hábiles).
This market will resolve solely based on turnout for the first-round Presidential (Presidencial) election; turnout for Congress members (Congresistas), the Senate (Senado), or the Andean Parliament (Parlamento Andino) will not be considered.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve solely on the official results as reported by the Peruvian government, specifically the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE) (https://www.onpe.gob.pe/elecciones/) and the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE) (https://portal.jne.gob.pe/portal/)
Mercato aperto: Mar 20, 2026, 10:28 AM ET
Volume
$121,535Data di fine
12 apr 2026Mercato aperto
Mar 20, 2026, 10:28 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...First-round presidential elections are scheduled to be held in Peru on April 12, 2026, with a potential second round on June 7, 2026, if no candidate receives more than 50% of the valid votes outright.
This market will resolve according to the turnout percentage (% Total Asistentes) in the first round presidential elections, calculated by dividing attendees (Asistentes) by eligible voters (Electores hábiles).
This market will resolve solely based on turnout for the first-round Presidential (Presidencial) election; turnout for Congress members (Congresistas), the Senate (Senado), or the Andean Parliament (Parlamento Andino) will not be considered.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve solely on the official results as reported by the Peruvian government, specifically the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE) (https://www.onpe.gob.pe/elecciones/) and the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE) (https://portal.jne.gob.pe/portal/)Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors 70-75% turnout (85.7%) for Peru's April 12-13 presidential first-round election, aligning closely with the 74% recorded in 2021 amid similar political instability and multiple leadership changes. Compulsory voting for ages 18-70, enforced by fines, maintains high baseline participation despite voter fatigue from a fragmented field of 35 candidates and top concerns over crime and corruption. Logistical chaos—delayed poll openings, missing ballots for 60,000+ Lima voters (30% of electorate), power outages, and a one-day extension—temporarily disrupted access but likely preserved overall levels near historical norms, as exit polls and early counts suggest robust engagement. Official ONPE turnout awaits full tabulation, with runoff looming June 7 absent a 50% first-round winner.
First-round presidential elections are scheduled to be held in Peru on April 12, 2026, with a potential second round on June 7, 2026, if no candidate receives more than 50% of the valid votes outright.
This market will resolve according to the turnout percentage (% Total Asistentes) in the first round presidential elections, calculated by dividing attendees (Asistentes) by eligible voters (Electores hábiles).
This market will resolve solely based on turnout for the first-round Presidential (Presidencial) election; turnout for Congress members (Congresistas), the Senate (Senado), or the Andean Parliament (Parlamento Andino) will not be considered.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve solely on the official results as reported by the Peruvian government, specifically the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE) (https://www.onpe.gob.pe/elecciones/) and the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE) (https://portal.jne.gob.pe/portal/)
This market will resolve according to the turnout percentage (% Total Asistentes) in the first round presidential elections, calculated by dividing attendees (Asistentes) by eligible voters (Electores hábiles).
This market will resolve solely based on turnout for the first-round Presidential (Presidencial) election; turnout for Congress members (Congresistas), the Senate (Senado), or the Andean Parliament (Parlamento Andino) will not be considered.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve solely on the official results as reported by the Peruvian government, specifically the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE) (https://www.onpe.gob.pe/elecciones/) and the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE) (https://portal.jne.gob.pe/portal/)
Volume
$121,535Data di fine
12 apr 2026Mercato aperto
Mar 20, 2026, 10:28 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors 70-75% turnout (85.7%) for Peru's April 12-13 presidential first-round election, aligning closely with the 74% recorded in 2021 amid similar political instability and multiple leadership changes. Compulsory voting for ages 18-70, enforced by fines, maintains high baseline participation despite voter fatigue from a fragmented field of 35 candidates and top concerns over crime and corruption. Logistical chaos—delayed poll openings, missing ballots for 60,000+ Lima voters (30% of electorate), power outages, and a one-day extension—temporarily disrupted access but likely preserved overall levels near historical norms, as exit polls and early counts suggest robust engagement. Official ONPE turnout awaits full tabulation, with runoff looming June 7 absent a 50% first-round winner.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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