United Russia commands a 95.2% trader consensus implied probability of securing the most seats in Russia's State Duma elections, set for September 18–20, 2026, driven by its incumbency as the ruling party holding over 70% of current seats, consistent opinion poll leads from VCIOM and Levada Center, and Kremlin backing through candidate slates announced in January. Recent campaign preparations, including United Russia's outreach for international observers like India's BJP, reinforce its dominance in a system blending single-mandate districts and proportional representation, where opposition parties like KPRF and LDPR face barriers from candidate disqualifications and jailed critics. Scenarios to challenge this include a severe economic crisis sparking protests or procedural disputes invalidating results, though historical patterns favor United Russia's retention of a constitutional majority.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoRussia Unita (ER) 95.2%
Nuovi Persone (NL) <1%
Piattaforma Civica (GP) <1%
Partito Comunista della Federazione Russa (KPRF) <1%
$925,617 Vol.
$925,617 Vol.
30 set 2026
Russia Unita (ER)
95%
Nuovi Persone (NL)
1%
Piattaforma Civica (GP)
1%
Partito Comunista della Federazione Russa (KPRF)
1%
Partito Liberal Democratico di Russia (LDPR)
1%
Russia Giusta – Per la Verità (SRZP)
1%
Rodina
<1%
Russia Unita (ER) 95.2%
Nuovi Persone (NL) <1%
Piattaforma Civica (GP) <1%
Partito Comunista della Federazione Russa (KPRF) <1%
$925,617 Vol.
$925,617 Vol.
30 set 2026
Russia Unita (ER)
$473,290 Vol.
95%
Nuovi Persone (NL)
$53,766 Vol.
1%
Piattaforma Civica (GP)
$80,162 Vol.
1%
Partito Comunista della Federazione Russa (KPRF)
$77,518 Vol.
1%
Partito Liberal Democratico di Russia (LDPR)
$31,711 Vol.
1%
Russia Giusta – Per la Verità (SRZP)
$133,959 Vol.
1%
Rodina
$75,210 Vol.
<1%
Parliamentary elections are to be scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election.
If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
Note: If a listed party contests the election as part of a jointly listed coalition with one or more parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the listed party will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If two or more listed parties contest the election as a jointly listed coalition, with or without additional parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the party within that coalition that won the most seats in the previous election will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If such a coalition dissolves, each market will again represent its respective party individually.United Russia commands a 95.2% trader consensus implied probability of securing the most seats in Russia's State Duma elections, set for September 18–20, 2026, driven by its incumbency as the ruling party holding over 70% of current seats, consistent opinion poll leads from VCIOM and Levada Center, and Kremlin backing through candidate slates announced in January. Recent campaign preparations, including United Russia's outreach for international observers like India's BJP, reinforce its dominance in a system blending single-mandate districts and proportional representation, where opposition parties like KPRF and LDPR face barriers from candidate disqualifications and jailed critics. Scenarios to challenge this include a severe economic crisis sparking protests or procedural disputes invalidating results, though historical patterns favor United Russia's retention of a constitutional majority.
Parliamentary elections are to be scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election.
If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
Note: If a listed party contests the election as part of a jointly listed coalition with one or more parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the listed party will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If two or more listed parties contest the election as a jointly listed coalition, with or without additional parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the party within that coalition that won the most seats in the previous election will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If such a coalition dissolves, each market will again represent its respective party individually.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election.
If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
Note: If a listed party contests the election as part of a jointly listed coalition with one or more parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the listed party will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If two or more listed parties contest the election as a jointly listed coalition, with or without additional parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the party within that coalition that won the most seats in the previous election will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If such a coalition dissolves, each market will again represent its respective party individually.
Mercato aperto: Jan 7, 2026, 4:20 PM ET
Volume
$925,617Data di fine
20 set 2026Mercato aperto
Jan 7, 2026, 4:20 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Parliamentary elections are to be scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election.
If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
Note: If a listed party contests the election as part of a jointly listed coalition with one or more parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the listed party will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If two or more listed parties contest the election as a jointly listed coalition, with or without additional parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the party within that coalition that won the most seats in the previous election will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If such a coalition dissolves, each market will again represent its respective party individually.United Russia commands a 95.2% trader consensus implied probability of securing the most seats in Russia's State Duma elections, set for September 18–20, 2026, driven by its incumbency as the ruling party holding over 70% of current seats, consistent opinion poll leads from VCIOM and Levada Center, and Kremlin backing through candidate slates announced in January. Recent campaign preparations, including United Russia's outreach for international observers like India's BJP, reinforce its dominance in a system blending single-mandate districts and proportional representation, where opposition parties like KPRF and LDPR face barriers from candidate disqualifications and jailed critics. Scenarios to challenge this include a severe economic crisis sparking protests or procedural disputes invalidating results, though historical patterns favor United Russia's retention of a constitutional majority.
Parliamentary elections are to be scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election.
If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
Note: If a listed party contests the election as part of a jointly listed coalition with one or more parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the listed party will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If two or more listed parties contest the election as a jointly listed coalition, with or without additional parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the party within that coalition that won the most seats in the previous election will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If such a coalition dissolves, each market will again represent its respective party individually.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election.
If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
Note: If a listed party contests the election as part of a jointly listed coalition with one or more parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the listed party will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If two or more listed parties contest the election as a jointly listed coalition, with or without additional parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the party within that coalition that won the most seats in the previous election will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If such a coalition dissolves, each market will again represent its respective party individually.
Volume
$925,617Data di fine
20 set 2026Mercato aperto
Jan 7, 2026, 4:20 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...United Russia commands a 95.2% trader consensus implied probability of securing the most seats in Russia's State Duma elections, set for September 18–20, 2026, driven by its incumbency as the ruling party holding over 70% of current seats, consistent opinion poll leads from VCIOM and Levada Center, and Kremlin backing through candidate slates announced in January. Recent campaign preparations, including United Russia's outreach for international observers like India's BJP, reinforce its dominance in a system blending single-mandate districts and proportional representation, where opposition parties like KPRF and LDPR face barriers from candidate disqualifications and jailed critics. Scenarios to challenge this include a severe economic crisis sparking protests or procedural disputes invalidating results, though historical patterns favor United Russia's retention of a constitutional majority.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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