Skip to main content
Market icon
Politica·Bolivia

Vincitore delle elezioni del Governatore di Santa Cruz (Bolivia)

Market icon
Politica·Bolivia

Vincitore delle elezioni del Governatore di Santa Cruz (Bolivia)

Juan Pablo Velasco 86.9%

Otto Ritter 13.1%

Juan Carlos Medrano <1%

Mauricio Quezada <1%

Polymarket

$799,469 Vol.

Juan Pablo Velasco 86.9%

Otto Ritter 13.1%

Juan Carlos Medrano <1%

Mauricio Quezada <1%

Polymarket

$799,469 Vol.

Juan Pablo Velasco

$335,878 Vol.

87%

Otto Ritter

$106,461 Vol.

13%

Juan Carlos Medrano

$26,745 Vol.

<1%

Mauricio Quezada

$21,893 Vol.

<1%

Chi Hyun Chung

$26,234 Vol.

<1%

Julio César Tórrez

$26,347 Vol.

<1%

Guido Eduardo Nayar

$50,705 Vol.

<1%

Miguel Cadima

$23,254 Vol.

<1%

Vladimir Peña

$38,716 Vol.

<1%

Luis Fernando Camacho

$143,235 Vol.

<1%

The Santa Cruz gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Bolivia on March 22, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election. If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Bolivian electoral authority, the Tribunal Supremo Electoral (TSE) (https://www.oep.org.bo).Trader consensus heavily favors Juan Pablo Velasco at 87% implied probability to win Bolivia's Santa Cruz governorship, driven by his first-round plurality of nearly 30% on March 22—edging Otto Ritter's 26%—and a recent Ipsos Ciesmori poll for Unitel showing Velasco ahead 44% to 35% among decided voters, with 15% undecided. Conducted April 3-9 and released April 12 ahead of a televised debate, the survey highlights Velasco's strength in the capital and intermediate cities versus Ritter's rural edge, positioning Velasco to consolidate support from eliminated candidates like Luis Fernando Camacho. The April 19 runoff in this opposition stronghold remains competitive, but recent polling momentum reflects traders' assessment of Velasco's path to a majority.

The Santa Cruz gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Bolivia on March 22, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.

If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Bolivian electoral authority, the Tribunal Supremo Electoral (TSE) (https://www.oep.org.bo).
Volume
$799,469
Data di fine
19 apr 2026
Mercato aperto
Jan 20, 2026, 11:20 AM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
The Santa Cruz gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Bolivia on March 22, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election. If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Bolivian electoral authority, the Tribunal Supremo Electoral (TSE) (https://www.oep.org.bo).
The Santa Cruz gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Bolivia on March 22, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election. If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Bolivian electoral authority, the Tribunal Supremo Electoral (TSE) (https://www.oep.org.bo).Trader consensus heavily favors Juan Pablo Velasco at 87% implied probability to win Bolivia's Santa Cruz governorship, driven by his first-round plurality of nearly 30% on March 22—edging Otto Ritter's 26%—and a recent Ipsos Ciesmori poll for Unitel showing Velasco ahead 44% to 35% among decided voters, with 15% undecided. Conducted April 3-9 and released April 12 ahead of a televised debate, the survey highlights Velasco's strength in the capital and intermediate cities versus Ritter's rural edge, positioning Velasco to consolidate support from eliminated candidates like Luis Fernando Camacho. The April 19 runoff in this opposition stronghold remains competitive, but recent polling momentum reflects traders' assessment of Velasco's path to a majority.

The Santa Cruz gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Bolivia on March 22, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.

If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Bolivian electoral authority, the Tribunal Supremo Electoral (TSE) (https://www.oep.org.bo).
Volume
$799,469
Data di fine
19 apr 2026
Mercato aperto
Jan 20, 2026, 11:20 AM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
The Santa Cruz gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Bolivia on March 22, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election. If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Bolivian electoral authority, the Tribunal Supremo Electoral (TSE) (https://www.oep.org.bo).

Fai attenzione ai link esterni.

Domande frequenti

"Vincitore delle elezioni del Governatore di Santa Cruz (Bolivia)" è un mercato predittivo su Polymarket con 10 possibili esiti dove i trader comprano e vendono azioni in base a ciò che credono accadrà. L'esito attualmente in testa è "Juan Pablo Velasco" a 87%, seguito da "Otto Ritter" a 13%. I prezzi riflettono probabilità aggregate in tempo reale. Ad esempio, un'azione quotata a 87¢ implica che il mercato assegna collettivamente una probabilità di 87% a quell'esito. Queste quote cambiano continuamente man mano che i trader reagiscono a nuovi sviluppi e informazioni. Le azioni nell'esito corretto possono essere riscattate per $1 ciascuna alla risoluzione del mercato.

Ad oggi, "Vincitore delle elezioni del Governatore di Santa Cruz (Bolivia)" ha generato $799.5K in volume totale di trading dal lancio del mercato il Jan 20, 2026. Questo livello di attività di trading riflette un forte coinvolgimento della comunità Polymarket e contribuisce a garantire che le quote attuali siano informate da un ampio pool di partecipanti al mercato. Puoi seguire i movimenti di prezzo in tempo reale e fare trading su qualsiasi esito direttamente su questa pagina.

Per fare trading su "Vincitore delle elezioni del Governatore di Santa Cruz (Bolivia)", esplora i 10 esiti disponibili elencati in questa pagina. Ogni esito mostra un prezzo corrente che rappresenta la probabilità implicita del mercato. Per prendere una posizione, seleziona l'esito che ritieni più probabile, scegli "Sì" per fare trading a suo favore o "No" per fare trading contro di esso, inserisci il tuo importo e clicca "Trading". Se il tuo esito scelto è corretto alla risoluzione del mercato, le tue azioni "Sì" pagano $1 ciascuna. Se è errato, pagano $0. Puoi anche vendere le tue azioni in qualsiasi momento prima della risoluzione se vuoi consolidare un profitto o limitare una perdita.

L'attuale favorito per "Vincitore delle elezioni del Governatore di Santa Cruz (Bolivia)" è "Juan Pablo Velasco" a 87%, il che significa che il mercato assegna una probabilità di 87% a quell'esito. L'esito successivo più vicino è "Otto Ritter" a 13%. Queste quote si aggiornano in tempo reale man mano che i trader comprano e vendono azioni, quindi riflettono l'ultima visione collettiva di ciò che è più probabile che accada. Controlla frequentemente o aggiungi questa pagina ai preferiti per seguire come cambiano le quote man mano che emergono nuove informazioni.

Le regole di risoluzione per "Vincitore delle elezioni del Governatore di Santa Cruz (Bolivia)" definiscono esattamente cosa deve accadere affinché ogni esito venga dichiarato vincitore — comprese le fonti di dati ufficiali utilizzate per determinare il risultato. Puoi consultare i criteri completi di risoluzione nella sezione "Regole" di questa pagina sopra i commenti. Ti consigliamo di leggere attentamente le regole prima di fare trading, poiché specificano le condizioni precise, i casi limite e le fonti che regolano come viene risolto questo mercato.