Trader consensus strongly favors Juan Pablo Velasco at 85% implied probability to win Bolivia's Santa Cruz governorship runoff on April 19, reflecting his first-round lead of 29% on March 22—edging Otto Ritter's 27% and eliminating incumbent Luis Fernando Camacho—and a post-debate Ipsos CIESMORI poll released April 12 showing Velasco ahead 44%-35% among decided voters, with 15% undecided. The April 12 debate underscored contrasts in fiscal autonomy proposals, with Velasco advocating a 50% national tribute pact, boosting his momentum among undecideds and consolidation of conservative support in this key opposition stronghold. Ritter trails amid scrutiny of his alliances, though late shifts remain possible before polls close.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoJuan Pablo Velasco 83.4%
Otto Ritter 15.4%
Juan Carlos Medrano <1%
Mauricio Quezada <1%
$797,480 Vol.
$797,480 Vol.
19 apr 2026
Juan Pablo Velasco
83%
Otto Ritter
15%
Juan Carlos Medrano
<1%
Mauricio Quezada
<1%
Chi Hyun Chung
<1%
Julio César Tórrez
<1%
Guido Eduardo Nayar
<1%
Miguel Cadima
<1%
Vladimir Peña
<1%
Luis Fernando Camacho
<1%
Juan Pablo Velasco 83.4%
Otto Ritter 15.4%
Juan Carlos Medrano <1%
Mauricio Quezada <1%
$797,480 Vol.
$797,480 Vol.
19 apr 2026
Juan Pablo Velasco
$334,813 Vol.
83%
Otto Ritter
$105,538 Vol.
15%
Juan Carlos Medrano
$26,745 Vol.
<1%
Mauricio Quezada
$21,893 Vol.
<1%
Chi Hyun Chung
$26,234 Vol.
<1%
Julio César Tórrez
$26,347 Vol.
<1%
Guido Eduardo Nayar
$50,705 Vol.
<1%
Miguel Cadima
$23,254 Vol.
<1%
Vladimir Peña
$38,716 Vol.
<1%
Luis Fernando Camacho
$143,235 Vol.
<1%
The Santa Cruz gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Bolivia on March 22, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Bolivian electoral authority, the Tribunal Supremo Electoral (TSE) (https://www.oep.org.bo).Trader consensus strongly favors Juan Pablo Velasco at 85% implied probability to win Bolivia's Santa Cruz governorship runoff on April 19, reflecting his first-round lead of 29% on March 22—edging Otto Ritter's 27% and eliminating incumbent Luis Fernando Camacho—and a post-debate Ipsos CIESMORI poll released April 12 showing Velasco ahead 44%-35% among decided voters, with 15% undecided. The April 12 debate underscored contrasts in fiscal autonomy proposals, with Velasco advocating a 50% national tribute pact, boosting his momentum among undecideds and consolidation of conservative support in this key opposition stronghold. Ritter trails amid scrutiny of his alliances, though late shifts remain possible before polls close.
The Santa Cruz gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Bolivia on March 22, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Bolivian electoral authority, the Tribunal Supremo Electoral (TSE) (https://www.oep.org.bo).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Bolivian electoral authority, the Tribunal Supremo Electoral (TSE) (https://www.oep.org.bo).
Mercato aperto: Jan 20, 2026, 11:20 AM ET
Volume
$797,480Data di fine
19 apr 2026Mercato aperto
Jan 20, 2026, 11:20 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...The Santa Cruz gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Bolivia on March 22, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Bolivian electoral authority, the Tribunal Supremo Electoral (TSE) (https://www.oep.org.bo).Trader consensus strongly favors Juan Pablo Velasco at 85% implied probability to win Bolivia's Santa Cruz governorship runoff on April 19, reflecting his first-round lead of 29% on March 22—edging Otto Ritter's 27% and eliminating incumbent Luis Fernando Camacho—and a post-debate Ipsos CIESMORI poll released April 12 showing Velasco ahead 44%-35% among decided voters, with 15% undecided. The April 12 debate underscored contrasts in fiscal autonomy proposals, with Velasco advocating a 50% national tribute pact, boosting his momentum among undecideds and consolidation of conservative support in this key opposition stronghold. Ritter trails amid scrutiny of his alliances, though late shifts remain possible before polls close.
The Santa Cruz gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Bolivia on March 22, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Bolivian electoral authority, the Tribunal Supremo Electoral (TSE) (https://www.oep.org.bo).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Bolivian electoral authority, the Tribunal Supremo Electoral (TSE) (https://www.oep.org.bo).
Volume
$797,480Data di fine
19 apr 2026Mercato aperto
Jan 20, 2026, 11:20 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus strongly favors Juan Pablo Velasco at 85% implied probability to win Bolivia's Santa Cruz governorship runoff on April 19, reflecting his first-round lead of 29% on March 22—edging Otto Ritter's 27% and eliminating incumbent Luis Fernando Camacho—and a post-debate Ipsos CIESMORI poll released April 12 showing Velasco ahead 44%-35% among decided voters, with 15% undecided. The April 12 debate underscored contrasts in fiscal autonomy proposals, with Velasco advocating a 50% national tribute pact, boosting his momentum among undecideds and consolidation of conservative support in this key opposition stronghold. Ritter trails amid scrutiny of his alliances, though late shifts remain possible before polls close.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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