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Politica·Canada

Toronto Mayoral Election Winner

Market icon
Politica·Canada

Toronto Mayoral Election Winner

Olivia Chow 77%

Brad Bradford 11%

Ana Bailão 6%

Kevin Clarke 2.5%

Polymarket
NUOVO

Olivia Chow 77%

Brad Bradford 11%

Ana Bailão 6%

Kevin Clarke 2.5%

Polymarket
NUOVO
Will Olivia Chow win the 2026 Toronto mayoral election? icon

Olivia Chow

$4,078 Vol.

77%

Will Brad Bradford win the 2026 Toronto mayoral election? icon

Brad Bradford

$715 Vol.

11%

Will Ana Bailão win the 2026 Toronto mayoral election? icon

Ana Bailão

$1,972 Vol.

6%

Will Kevin Clarke win the 2026 Toronto mayoral election? icon

Kevin Clarke

$383 Vol.

3%

Will John Tory win the 2026 Toronto mayoral election? icon

John Tory

$311 Vol.

2%

Will Michael Ford win the 2026 Toronto mayoral election? icon

Michael Ford

$1,031 Vol.

2%

Will Anthony Furey win the 2026 Toronto mayoral election? icon

Anthony Furey

$410 Vol.

1%

Will Marco Mendicino win the 2026 Toronto mayoral election? icon

Marco Mendicino

$331 Vol.

<1%

The 2026 Toronto mayoral election is currently scheduled to be held on October 26, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Toronto as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from Toronto.Incumbent Mayor Olivia Chow's commanding position in recent polls, including a March Liaison Strategies survey showing her at 44% against Brad Bradford's 26% and Michael Ford's 16%, underpins trader consensus pricing her re-election odds at 77% for the October 26, 2026, municipal election. Former Mayor John Tory's early March announcement ruling out a comeback removed a potential close rival, where prior polling had shown narrower leads for Chow, while her steady 55% approval rating signals voter satisfaction amid budget and transit challenges. City Councillor Bradford trails as the main challenger, with former Deputy Mayor Ana Bailão and others facing uphill battles; nominations open May 1, potentially clarifying the field amid high early undecided rates.

The 2026 Toronto mayoral election is currently scheduled to be held on October 26, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Toronto as a result of this election.

Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.

If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from Toronto.
Volume
$9,231
Data di fine
26 ott 2026
Mercato aperto
Apr 1, 2026, 2:37 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
The 2026 Toronto mayoral election is currently scheduled to be held on October 26, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Toronto as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from Toronto.
The 2026 Toronto mayoral election is currently scheduled to be held on October 26, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Toronto as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from Toronto.Incumbent Mayor Olivia Chow's commanding position in recent polls, including a March Liaison Strategies survey showing her at 44% against Brad Bradford's 26% and Michael Ford's 16%, underpins trader consensus pricing her re-election odds at 77% for the October 26, 2026, municipal election. Former Mayor John Tory's early March announcement ruling out a comeback removed a potential close rival, where prior polling had shown narrower leads for Chow, while her steady 55% approval rating signals voter satisfaction amid budget and transit challenges. City Councillor Bradford trails as the main challenger, with former Deputy Mayor Ana Bailão and others facing uphill battles; nominations open May 1, potentially clarifying the field amid high early undecided rates.

The 2026 Toronto mayoral election is currently scheduled to be held on October 26, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Toronto as a result of this election.

Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.

If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from Toronto.
Volume
$9,231
Data di fine
26 ott 2026
Mercato aperto
Apr 1, 2026, 2:37 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
The 2026 Toronto mayoral election is currently scheduled to be held on October 26, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Toronto as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from Toronto.

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Domande frequenti

"Toronto Mayoral Election Winner" è un mercato predittivo su Polymarket con 8 possibili esiti dove i trader comprano e vendono azioni in base a ciò che credono accadrà. L'esito attualmente in testa è "Olivia Chow" a 77%, seguito da "Brad Bradford" a 11%. I prezzi riflettono probabilità aggregate in tempo reale. Ad esempio, un'azione quotata a 77¢ implica che il mercato assegna collettivamente una probabilità di 77% a quell'esito. Queste quote cambiano continuamente man mano che i trader reagiscono a nuovi sviluppi e informazioni. Le azioni nell'esito corretto possono essere riscattate per $1 ciascuna alla risoluzione del mercato.

"Toronto Mayoral Election Winner" è un mercato appena creato su Polymarket, lanciato il Apr 1, 2026. Come mercato nuovo, questa è la tua opportunità di essere tra i primi trader a stabilire le quote e i segnali di prezzo iniziali del mercato. Puoi anche aggiungere questa pagina ai preferiti per monitorare il volume e l'attività di trading man mano che il mercato guadagna visibilità.

Per fare trading su "Toronto Mayoral Election Winner", esplora i 8 esiti disponibili elencati in questa pagina. Ogni esito mostra un prezzo corrente che rappresenta la probabilità implicita del mercato. Per prendere una posizione, seleziona l'esito che ritieni più probabile, scegli "Sì" per fare trading a suo favore o "No" per fare trading contro di esso, inserisci il tuo importo e clicca "Trading". Se il tuo esito scelto è corretto alla risoluzione del mercato, le tue azioni "Sì" pagano $1 ciascuna. Se è errato, pagano $0. Puoi anche vendere le tue azioni in qualsiasi momento prima della risoluzione se vuoi consolidare un profitto o limitare una perdita.

L'attuale favorito per "Toronto Mayoral Election Winner" è "Olivia Chow" a 77%, il che significa che il mercato assegna una probabilità di 77% a quell'esito. L'esito successivo più vicino è "Brad Bradford" a 11%. Queste quote si aggiornano in tempo reale man mano che i trader comprano e vendono azioni, quindi riflettono l'ultima visione collettiva di ciò che è più probabile che accada. Controlla frequentemente o aggiungi questa pagina ai preferiti per seguire come cambiano le quote man mano che emergono nuove informazioni.

Le regole di risoluzione per "Toronto Mayoral Election Winner" definiscono esattamente cosa deve accadere affinché ogni esito venga dichiarato vincitore — comprese le fonti di dati ufficiali utilizzate per determinare il risultato. Puoi consultare i criteri completi di risoluzione nella sezione "Regole" di questa pagina sopra i commenti. Ti consigliamo di leggere attentamente le regole prima di fare trading, poiché specificano le condizioni precise, i casi limite e le fonti che regolano come viene risolto questo mercato.