Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell's term ends May 15, 2026, amid a DOJ criminal probe into Fed headquarters renovation cost overruns and his congressional testimony, launched in January. On April 15, President Trump renewed threats to fire Powell from his Board of Governors seat—extending to 2028—if he remains post-term, while vowing not to drop the investigation despite federal prosecutors being denied access to Fed headquarters. Senate Majority Leader John Thune and Sen. Thom Tillis urged wrapping up the probe to enable confirmation of nominee Kevin Warsh, whose hearing is April 21; Tillis conditions his vote on closure. Traders weigh GOP institutional pressures against Trump's hardline stance and legal hurdles to removal under the Federal Reserve Act, with Powell pledging to stay until the inquiry resolves.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoTrump drops Powell investigation by…?
Trump drops Powell investigation by…?
$18,111 Vol.
30 apr 2026
April 30
16%
June 30
70%
$18,111 Vol.
April 30
$16,465 Vol.
16%
June 30
$1,646 Vol.
70%
Federal prosecutors opened a criminal investigation into Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell over his congressional testimony in June 2025 about the renovation of the Central Bank’s headquarters (See: https://www.cnn.com/2026/01/11/business/federal-prosecutors-criminal-investigation-federal-reserve-chair-jerome-powell).
This market will resolve to “Yes” if this criminal investigation into Jerome Powell is dropped by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
The investigation will be considered to be dropped if it is definitively announced by the DoJ, Donald Trump, or other relevant members of the Trump Administration that the investigation is or will be ended without proceeding to any charges or indictment, or if the investigation is otherwise confirmed to have ended without charges by a broad consensus of credible reporting.
Official statements from Donald Trump or other Trump Administration officials will only suffice to resolve this market to “Yes” if they definitively indicate that the investigation is or will be ended without proceeding to any charges or indictment. Suggestions, informal statements, statements that there will be no charges for now, or other statements that do not meet this standard will not alone qualify.
If the United States federal government formally charges or announces a criminal indictment of Jerome Powell as a result of this investigation, within this market’s timeframe, this market will immediately resolve to “No”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the United States Federal Government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell's term ends May 15, 2026, amid a DOJ criminal probe into Fed headquarters renovation cost overruns and his congressional testimony, launched in January. On April 15, President Trump renewed threats to fire Powell from his Board of Governors seat—extending to 2028—if he remains post-term, while vowing not to drop the investigation despite federal prosecutors being denied access to Fed headquarters. Senate Majority Leader John Thune and Sen. Thom Tillis urged wrapping up the probe to enable confirmation of nominee Kevin Warsh, whose hearing is April 21; Tillis conditions his vote on closure. Traders weigh GOP institutional pressures against Trump's hardline stance and legal hurdles to removal under the Federal Reserve Act, with Powell pledging to stay until the inquiry resolves.
Federal prosecutors opened a criminal investigation into Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell over his congressional testimony in June 2025 about the renovation of the Central Bank’s headquarters (See: https://www.cnn.com/2026/01/11/business/federal-prosecutors-criminal-investigation-federal-reserve-chair-jerome-powell).
This market will resolve to “Yes” if this criminal investigation into Jerome Powell is dropped by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
The investigation will be considered to be dropped if it is definitively announced by the DoJ, Donald Trump, or other relevant members of the Trump Administration that the investigation is or will be ended without proceeding to any charges or indictment, or if the investigation is otherwise confirmed to have ended without charges by a broad consensus of credible reporting.
Official statements from Donald Trump or other Trump Administration officials will only suffice to resolve this market to “Yes” if they definitively indicate that the investigation is or will be ended without proceeding to any charges or indictment. Suggestions, informal statements, statements that there will be no charges for now, or other statements that do not meet this standard will not alone qualify.
If the United States federal government formally charges or announces a criminal indictment of Jerome Powell as a result of this investigation, within this market’s timeframe, this market will immediately resolve to “No”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the United States Federal Government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if this criminal investigation into Jerome Powell is dropped by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
The investigation will be considered to be dropped if it is definitively announced by the DoJ, Donald Trump, or other relevant members of the Trump Administration that the investigation is or will be ended without proceeding to any charges or indictment, or if the investigation is otherwise confirmed to have ended without charges by a broad consensus of credible reporting.
Official statements from Donald Trump or other Trump Administration officials will only suffice to resolve this market to “Yes” if they definitively indicate that the investigation is or will be ended without proceeding to any charges or indictment. Suggestions, informal statements, statements that there will be no charges for now, or other statements that do not meet this standard will not alone qualify.
If the United States federal government formally charges or announces a criminal indictment of Jerome Powell as a result of this investigation, within this market’s timeframe, this market will immediately resolve to “No”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the United States Federal Government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Mercato aperto: Mar 26, 2026, 7:53 PM ET
Volume
$18,111Data di fine
30 giu 2026Mercato aperto
Mar 26, 2026, 7:53 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Federal prosecutors opened a criminal investigation into Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell over his congressional testimony in June 2025 about the renovation of the Central Bank’s headquarters (See: https://www.cnn.com/2026/01/11/business/federal-prosecutors-criminal-investigation-federal-reserve-chair-jerome-powell).
This market will resolve to “Yes” if this criminal investigation into Jerome Powell is dropped by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
The investigation will be considered to be dropped if it is definitively announced by the DoJ, Donald Trump, or other relevant members of the Trump Administration that the investigation is or will be ended without proceeding to any charges or indictment, or if the investigation is otherwise confirmed to have ended without charges by a broad consensus of credible reporting.
Official statements from Donald Trump or other Trump Administration officials will only suffice to resolve this market to “Yes” if they definitively indicate that the investigation is or will be ended without proceeding to any charges or indictment. Suggestions, informal statements, statements that there will be no charges for now, or other statements that do not meet this standard will not alone qualify.
If the United States federal government formally charges or announces a criminal indictment of Jerome Powell as a result of this investigation, within this market’s timeframe, this market will immediately resolve to “No”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the United States Federal Government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell's term ends May 15, 2026, amid a DOJ criminal probe into Fed headquarters renovation cost overruns and his congressional testimony, launched in January. On April 15, President Trump renewed threats to fire Powell from his Board of Governors seat—extending to 2028—if he remains post-term, while vowing not to drop the investigation despite federal prosecutors being denied access to Fed headquarters. Senate Majority Leader John Thune and Sen. Thom Tillis urged wrapping up the probe to enable confirmation of nominee Kevin Warsh, whose hearing is April 21; Tillis conditions his vote on closure. Traders weigh GOP institutional pressures against Trump's hardline stance and legal hurdles to removal under the Federal Reserve Act, with Powell pledging to stay until the inquiry resolves.
Federal prosecutors opened a criminal investigation into Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell over his congressional testimony in June 2025 about the renovation of the Central Bank’s headquarters (See: https://www.cnn.com/2026/01/11/business/federal-prosecutors-criminal-investigation-federal-reserve-chair-jerome-powell).
This market will resolve to “Yes” if this criminal investigation into Jerome Powell is dropped by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
The investigation will be considered to be dropped if it is definitively announced by the DoJ, Donald Trump, or other relevant members of the Trump Administration that the investigation is or will be ended without proceeding to any charges or indictment, or if the investigation is otherwise confirmed to have ended without charges by a broad consensus of credible reporting.
Official statements from Donald Trump or other Trump Administration officials will only suffice to resolve this market to “Yes” if they definitively indicate that the investigation is or will be ended without proceeding to any charges or indictment. Suggestions, informal statements, statements that there will be no charges for now, or other statements that do not meet this standard will not alone qualify.
If the United States federal government formally charges or announces a criminal indictment of Jerome Powell as a result of this investigation, within this market’s timeframe, this market will immediately resolve to “No”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the United States Federal Government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if this criminal investigation into Jerome Powell is dropped by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
The investigation will be considered to be dropped if it is definitively announced by the DoJ, Donald Trump, or other relevant members of the Trump Administration that the investigation is or will be ended without proceeding to any charges or indictment, or if the investigation is otherwise confirmed to have ended without charges by a broad consensus of credible reporting.
Official statements from Donald Trump or other Trump Administration officials will only suffice to resolve this market to “Yes” if they definitively indicate that the investigation is or will be ended without proceeding to any charges or indictment. Suggestions, informal statements, statements that there will be no charges for now, or other statements that do not meet this standard will not alone qualify.
If the United States federal government formally charges or announces a criminal indictment of Jerome Powell as a result of this investigation, within this market’s timeframe, this market will immediately resolve to “No”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the United States Federal Government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$18,111Data di fine
30 giu 2026Mercato aperto
Mar 26, 2026, 7:53 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell's term ends May 15, 2026, amid a DOJ criminal probe into Fed headquarters renovation cost overruns and his congressional testimony, launched in January. On April 15, President Trump renewed threats to fire Powell from his Board of Governors seat—extending to 2028—if he remains post-term, while vowing not to drop the investigation despite federal prosecutors being denied access to Fed headquarters. Senate Majority Leader John Thune and Sen. Thom Tillis urged wrapping up the probe to enable confirmation of nominee Kevin Warsh, whose hearing is April 21; Tillis conditions his vote on closure. Traders weigh GOP institutional pressures against Trump's hardline stance and legal hurdles to removal under the Federal Reserve Act, with Powell pledging to stay until the inquiry resolves.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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