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Affluenza alle urne nelle elezioni parlamentari ungheresi del 2026

Market icon

Affluenza alle urne nelle elezioni parlamentari ungheresi del 2026

77–80% 97.5%

80%+ 1.7%

74–77% <1%

<65% <1%

Polymarket

$1,311,910 Vol.

77–80% 97.5%

80%+ 1.7%

74–77% <1%

<65% <1%

Polymarket

$1,311,910 Vol.

La partecipazione degli elettori sarà inferiore al 65% alle elezioni parlamentari ungheresi del 2026? icon

<65%

$94,991 Vol.

<1%

L'affluenza degli elettori sarà tra il 65 e il 68% alle elezioni parlamentari ungheresi del 2026? icon

65–68%

$55,417 Vol.

<1%

L'affluenza degli elettori sarà tra il 68% e il 71% nelle elezioni parlamentari ungheresi del 2026? icon

68–71%

$135,631 Vol.

<1%

L'affluenza degli elettori sarà tra il 71% e il 74% nelle elezioni parlamentari ungheresi del 2026? icon

71–74%

$131,907 Vol.

<1%

L'affluenza degli elettori sarà tra il 74 e il 77% alle elezioni parlamentari ungheresi del 2026? icon

74–77%

$275,319 Vol.

<1%

L'affluenza degli elettori sarà tra il 77 e l'80% alle elezioni parlamentari ungheresi del 2026? icon

77–80%

$244,319 Vol.

98%

L'affluenza degli elettori supererà l'80% nelle elezioni parlamentari ungheresi del 2026? icon

80%+

$374,364 Vol.

2%

Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Hungary on April 12, 2026. This market will resolve based on the official voter turnout rate for the 2026 Hungary Parliamentary election, defined as the total number of votes cast divided by the total number of eligible voters. All eligible voters includes eligible voters voting by mail or without a Hungarian address. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket. If the results of this election are not known by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. This market will resolve based on the official results as reported by the Hungarian government, including the Hungarian Election Authority (Nemzeti Választási Iroda) (valasztas.hu).Preliminary data from Hungary's National Election Office shows voter turnout for the April 12, 2026, parliamentary election at approximately 79%, the highest in the country's democratic history and firmly within the 77–80% range commanding trader consensus at 97.3%. This surge stems from intense competition between Prime Minister Viktor Orbán's Fidesz party and challenger Péter Magyar's Tisza party, which won a supermajority amid widespread anti-corruption sentiment, economic grievances, and youth mobilization—early voting hit records like 74% by 5 p.m., eclipsing 2022's 73% final figure. Pre-election polls anticipated elevated participation in this single-round National Assembly contest for 199 seats. Final certification could incorporate overseas ballots or invalids, but only substantial discrepancies—such as widespread challenges or recounts—would realistically shift odds from this near-certain positioning.

Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Hungary on April 12, 2026.

This market will resolve based on the official voter turnout rate for the 2026 Hungary Parliamentary election, defined as the total number of votes cast divided by the total number of eligible voters. All eligible voters includes eligible voters voting by mail or without a Hungarian address.

If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.

If the results of this election are not known by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.

This market will resolve based on the official results as reported by the Hungarian government, including the Hungarian Election Authority (Nemzeti Választási Iroda) (valasztas.hu).
Volume
$1,311,910
Data di fine
12 apr 2026
Mercato aperto
Mar 13, 2026, 2:23 PM ET
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Hungary on April 12, 2026. This market will resolve based on the official voter turnout rate for the 2026 Hungary Parliamentary election, defined as the total number of votes cast divided by the total number of eligible voters. All eligible voters includes eligible voters voting by mail or without a Hungarian address. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket. If the results of this election are not known by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. This market will resolve based on the official results as reported by the Hungarian government, including the Hungarian Election Authority (Nemzeti Választási Iroda) (valasztas.hu).
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Hungary on April 12, 2026. This market will resolve based on the official voter turnout rate for the 2026 Hungary Parliamentary election, defined as the total number of votes cast divided by the total number of eligible voters. All eligible voters includes eligible voters voting by mail or without a Hungarian address. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket. If the results of this election are not known by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. This market will resolve based on the official results as reported by the Hungarian government, including the Hungarian Election Authority (Nemzeti Választási Iroda) (valasztas.hu).Preliminary data from Hungary's National Election Office shows voter turnout for the April 12, 2026, parliamentary election at approximately 79%, the highest in the country's democratic history and firmly within the 77–80% range commanding trader consensus at 97.3%. This surge stems from intense competition between Prime Minister Viktor Orbán's Fidesz party and challenger Péter Magyar's Tisza party, which won a supermajority amid widespread anti-corruption sentiment, economic grievances, and youth mobilization—early voting hit records like 74% by 5 p.m., eclipsing 2022's 73% final figure. Pre-election polls anticipated elevated participation in this single-round National Assembly contest for 199 seats. Final certification could incorporate overseas ballots or invalids, but only substantial discrepancies—such as widespread challenges or recounts—would realistically shift odds from this near-certain positioning.

Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Hungary on April 12, 2026.

This market will resolve based on the official voter turnout rate for the 2026 Hungary Parliamentary election, defined as the total number of votes cast divided by the total number of eligible voters. All eligible voters includes eligible voters voting by mail or without a Hungarian address.

If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.

If the results of this election are not known by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.

This market will resolve based on the official results as reported by the Hungarian government, including the Hungarian Election Authority (Nemzeti Választási Iroda) (valasztas.hu).
Volume
$1,311,910
Data di fine
12 apr 2026
Mercato aperto
Mar 13, 2026, 2:23 PM ET
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Hungary on April 12, 2026. This market will resolve based on the official voter turnout rate for the 2026 Hungary Parliamentary election, defined as the total number of votes cast divided by the total number of eligible voters. All eligible voters includes eligible voters voting by mail or without a Hungarian address. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket. If the results of this election are not known by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. This market will resolve based on the official results as reported by the Hungarian government, including the Hungarian Election Authority (Nemzeti Választási Iroda) (valasztas.hu).

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Domande frequenti

"Affluenza alle urne nelle elezioni parlamentari ungheresi del 2026" è un mercato predittivo su Polymarket con 7 possibili esiti dove i trader comprano e vendono azioni in base a ciò che credono accadrà. L'esito attualmente in testa è "77–80%" a 98%, seguito da "80%+" a 2%. I prezzi riflettono probabilità aggregate in tempo reale. Ad esempio, un'azione quotata a 98¢ implica che il mercato assegna collettivamente una probabilità di 98% a quell'esito. Queste quote cambiano continuamente man mano che i trader reagiscono a nuovi sviluppi e informazioni. Le azioni nell'esito corretto possono essere riscattate per $1 ciascuna alla risoluzione del mercato.

Ad oggi, "Affluenza alle urne nelle elezioni parlamentari ungheresi del 2026" ha generato $1.3 million in volume totale di trading dal lancio del mercato il Mar 13, 2026. Questo livello di attività di trading riflette un forte coinvolgimento della comunità Polymarket e contribuisce a garantire che le quote attuali siano informate da un ampio pool di partecipanti al mercato. Puoi seguire i movimenti di prezzo in tempo reale e fare trading su qualsiasi esito direttamente su questa pagina.

Per fare trading su "Affluenza alle urne nelle elezioni parlamentari ungheresi del 2026", esplora i 7 esiti disponibili elencati in questa pagina. Ogni esito mostra un prezzo corrente che rappresenta la probabilità implicita del mercato. Per prendere una posizione, seleziona l'esito che ritieni più probabile, scegli "Sì" per fare trading a suo favore o "No" per fare trading contro di esso, inserisci il tuo importo e clicca "Trading". Se il tuo esito scelto è corretto alla risoluzione del mercato, le tue azioni "Sì" pagano $1 ciascuna. Se è errato, pagano $0. Puoi anche vendere le tue azioni in qualsiasi momento prima della risoluzione se vuoi consolidare un profitto o limitare una perdita.

L'attuale favorito per "Affluenza alle urne nelle elezioni parlamentari ungheresi del 2026" è "77–80%" a 98%, il che significa che il mercato assegna una probabilità di 98% a quell'esito. L'esito successivo più vicino è "80%+" a 2%. Queste quote si aggiornano in tempo reale man mano che i trader comprano e vendono azioni, quindi riflettono l'ultima visione collettiva di ciò che è più probabile che accada. Controlla frequentemente o aggiungi questa pagina ai preferiti per seguire come cambiano le quote man mano che emergono nuove informazioni.

Le regole di risoluzione per "Affluenza alle urne nelle elezioni parlamentari ungheresi del 2026" definiscono esattamente cosa deve accadere affinché ogni esito venga dichiarato vincitore — comprese le fonti di dati ufficiali utilizzate per determinare il risultato. Puoi consultare i criteri completi di risoluzione nella sezione "Regole" di questa pagina sopra i commenti. Ti consigliamo di leggere attentamente le regole prima di fare trading, poiché specificano le condizioni precise, i casi limite e le fonti che regolano come viene risolto questo mercato.