Preliminary data from Hungary's National Election Office shows voter turnout for the April 12, 2026, parliamentary election at approximately 79%, the highest in the country's democratic history and firmly within the 77–80% range commanding trader consensus at 97.3%. This surge stems from intense competition between Prime Minister Viktor Orbán's Fidesz party and challenger Péter Magyar's Tisza party, which won a supermajority amid widespread anti-corruption sentiment, economic grievances, and youth mobilization—early voting hit records like 74% by 5 p.m., eclipsing 2022's 73% final figure. Pre-election polls anticipated elevated participation in this single-round National Assembly contest for 199 seats. Final certification could incorporate overseas ballots or invalids, but only substantial discrepancies—such as widespread challenges or recounts—would realistically shift odds from this near-certain positioning.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato77–80% 97.5%
80%+ 1.7%
74–77% <1%
<65% <1%
$1,311,910 Vol.
$1,311,910 Vol.

<65%
<1%

65–68%
<1%

68–71%
<1%

71–74%
<1%

74–77%
<1%

77–80%
98%

80%+
2%
77–80% 97.5%
80%+ 1.7%
74–77% <1%
<65% <1%
$1,311,910 Vol.
$1,311,910 Vol.

<65%
<1%

65–68%
<1%

68–71%
<1%

71–74%
<1%

74–77%
<1%

77–80%
98%

80%+
2%
This market will resolve based on the official voter turnout rate for the 2026 Hungary Parliamentary election, defined as the total number of votes cast divided by the total number of eligible voters. All eligible voters includes eligible voters voting by mail or without a Hungarian address.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
If the results of this election are not known by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve based on the official results as reported by the Hungarian government, including the Hungarian Election Authority (Nemzeti Választási Iroda) (valasztas.hu).
Mercato aperto: Mar 13, 2026, 2:23 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the official voter turnout rate for the 2026 Hungary Parliamentary election, defined as the total number of votes cast divided by the total number of eligible voters. All eligible voters includes eligible voters voting by mail or without a Hungarian address.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
If the results of this election are not known by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve based on the official results as reported by the Hungarian government, including the Hungarian Election Authority (Nemzeti Választási Iroda) (valasztas.hu).
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Preliminary data from Hungary's National Election Office shows voter turnout for the April 12, 2026, parliamentary election at approximately 79%, the highest in the country's democratic history and firmly within the 77–80% range commanding trader consensus at 97.3%. This surge stems from intense competition between Prime Minister Viktor Orbán's Fidesz party and challenger Péter Magyar's Tisza party, which won a supermajority amid widespread anti-corruption sentiment, economic grievances, and youth mobilization—early voting hit records like 74% by 5 p.m., eclipsing 2022's 73% final figure. Pre-election polls anticipated elevated participation in this single-round National Assembly contest for 199 seats. Final certification could incorporate overseas ballots or invalids, but only substantial discrepancies—such as widespread challenges or recounts—would realistically shift odds from this near-certain positioning.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
Fai attenzione ai link esterni.
Fai attenzione ai link esterni.
Domande frequenti