Trader consensus overwhelmingly favors 77–80% voter turnout in Hungary's April 12, 2026, parliamentary election, reflecting record-breaking participation reported by the National Election Commission, which clocked 77.8% by 6:30 p.m.—surpassing the prior high of 70.5% from 2002 and well above 2022's 69.9%. This surge stems from intense polarization in the high-stakes contest between Viktor Orbán's Fidesz and challenger Péter Magyar's Tisza party, mobilizing apathetic voters amid economic pressures and EU tensions after 16 years of Fidesz dominance. Early voting shattered norms, with turnout exceeding 74% by 5 p.m. Final certification awaits overseas and provisional ballots, but discrepancies large enough to shift bins appear improbable barring recounts or procedural disputes.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato77–80% 94.0%
80%+ 4.1%
74–77% <1%
<65% <1%
$1,328,513 Vol.
$1,328,513 Vol.

<65%
<1%

65–68%
<1%

68–71%
<1%

71–74%
<1%

74–77%
<1%

77–80%
94%

80%+
4%
77–80% 94.0%
80%+ 4.1%
74–77% <1%
<65% <1%
$1,328,513 Vol.
$1,328,513 Vol.

<65%
<1%

65–68%
<1%

68–71%
<1%

71–74%
<1%

74–77%
<1%

77–80%
94%

80%+
4%
This market will resolve based on the official voter turnout rate for the 2026 Hungary Parliamentary election, defined as the total number of votes cast divided by the total number of eligible voters. All eligible voters includes eligible voters voting by mail or without a Hungarian address.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
If the results of this election are not known by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve based on the official results as reported by the Hungarian government, including the Hungarian Election Authority (Nemzeti Választási Iroda) (valasztas.hu).
Mercato aperto: Mar 13, 2026, 2:23 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the official voter turnout rate for the 2026 Hungary Parliamentary election, defined as the total number of votes cast divided by the total number of eligible voters. All eligible voters includes eligible voters voting by mail or without a Hungarian address.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
If the results of this election are not known by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve based on the official results as reported by the Hungarian government, including the Hungarian Election Authority (Nemzeti Választási Iroda) (valasztas.hu).
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus overwhelmingly favors 77–80% voter turnout in Hungary's April 12, 2026, parliamentary election, reflecting record-breaking participation reported by the National Election Commission, which clocked 77.8% by 6:30 p.m.—surpassing the prior high of 70.5% from 2002 and well above 2022's 69.9%. This surge stems from intense polarization in the high-stakes contest between Viktor Orbán's Fidesz and challenger Péter Magyar's Tisza party, mobilizing apathetic voters amid economic pressures and EU tensions after 16 years of Fidesz dominance. Early voting shattered norms, with turnout exceeding 74% by 5 p.m. Final certification awaits overseas and provisional ballots, but discrepancies large enough to shift bins appear improbable barring recounts or procedural disputes.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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