President Donald Trump's administration proposed a 20-year suspension of Iranian uranium enrichment during direct talks in Islamabad that ended April 12 without agreement, leading to a U.S. blockade of the Strait of Hormuz as leverage. Vice President JD Vance cited Iran's refusal to end enrichment as the impasse, yet Trump signaled April 14-15 that a second round of negotiations could resume within days. These proposal exchanges and diplomatic signals amid fragile ceasefire terms have driven trader consensus to 58.5% yes for a nuclear deal by June 30, reflecting the wisdom of crowds on potential progress despite persistent gaps over enrichment limits and sanctions relief, with JCPOA precedents as a benchmark.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoAccordo nucleare USA-Iran entro il 30 giugno?
Accordo nucleare USA-Iran entro il 30 giugno?
Sì
$1,156,155 Vol.
$1,156,155 Vol.
30 giu 2026
Sì
$1,156,155 Vol.
$1,156,155 Vol.
30 giu 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if an official agreement over Iranian nuclear research and/or nuclear weapon development, defined as a publicly announced mutual agreement, is reached between the United States and Iran by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If such an agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes", regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
Agreements that include the United States and Iran as parties, even if they also involve other countries (e.g., a multilateral deal like the JCPOA), will qualify for resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be an official announcement by the United States and/or the Islamic Republic of Iran, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming an agreement has been reached will also qualify.President Donald Trump's administration proposed a 20-year suspension of Iranian uranium enrichment during direct talks in Islamabad that ended April 12 without agreement, leading to a U.S. blockade of the Strait of Hormuz as leverage. Vice President JD Vance cited Iran's refusal to end enrichment as the impasse, yet Trump signaled April 14-15 that a second round of negotiations could resume within days. These proposal exchanges and diplomatic signals amid fragile ceasefire terms have driven trader consensus to 58.5% yes for a nuclear deal by June 30, reflecting the wisdom of crowds on potential progress despite persistent gaps over enrichment limits and sanctions relief, with JCPOA precedents as a benchmark.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if an official agreement over Iranian nuclear research and/or nuclear weapon development, defined as a publicly announced mutual agreement, is reached between the United States and Iran by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If such an agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes", regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
Agreements that include the United States and Iran as parties, even if they also involve other countries (e.g., a multilateral deal like the JCPOA), will qualify for resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be an official announcement by the United States and/or the Islamic Republic of Iran, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming an agreement has been reached will also qualify.
If such an agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes", regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
Agreements that include the United States and Iran as parties, even if they also involve other countries (e.g., a multilateral deal like the JCPOA), will qualify for resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be an official announcement by the United States and/or the Islamic Republic of Iran, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming an agreement has been reached will also qualify.
Mercato aperto: Dec 17, 2025, 5:47 PM ET
Volume
$1,156,155Data di fine
30 giu 2026Mercato aperto
Dec 17, 2025, 5:47 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if an official agreement over Iranian nuclear research and/or nuclear weapon development, defined as a publicly announced mutual agreement, is reached between the United States and Iran by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If such an agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes", regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
Agreements that include the United States and Iran as parties, even if they also involve other countries (e.g., a multilateral deal like the JCPOA), will qualify for resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be an official announcement by the United States and/or the Islamic Republic of Iran, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming an agreement has been reached will also qualify.President Donald Trump's administration proposed a 20-year suspension of Iranian uranium enrichment during direct talks in Islamabad that ended April 12 without agreement, leading to a U.S. blockade of the Strait of Hormuz as leverage. Vice President JD Vance cited Iran's refusal to end enrichment as the impasse, yet Trump signaled April 14-15 that a second round of negotiations could resume within days. These proposal exchanges and diplomatic signals amid fragile ceasefire terms have driven trader consensus to 58.5% yes for a nuclear deal by June 30, reflecting the wisdom of crowds on potential progress despite persistent gaps over enrichment limits and sanctions relief, with JCPOA precedents as a benchmark.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if an official agreement over Iranian nuclear research and/or nuclear weapon development, defined as a publicly announced mutual agreement, is reached between the United States and Iran by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If such an agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes", regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
Agreements that include the United States and Iran as parties, even if they also involve other countries (e.g., a multilateral deal like the JCPOA), will qualify for resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be an official announcement by the United States and/or the Islamic Republic of Iran, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming an agreement has been reached will also qualify.
If such an agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes", regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
Agreements that include the United States and Iran as parties, even if they also involve other countries (e.g., a multilateral deal like the JCPOA), will qualify for resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be an official announcement by the United States and/or the Islamic Republic of Iran, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming an agreement has been reached will also qualify.
Volume
$1,156,155Data di fine
30 giu 2026Mercato aperto
Dec 17, 2025, 5:47 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...President Donald Trump's administration proposed a 20-year suspension of Iranian uranium enrichment during direct talks in Islamabad that ended April 12 without agreement, leading to a U.S. blockade of the Strait of Hormuz as leverage. Vice President JD Vance cited Iran's refusal to end enrichment as the impasse, yet Trump signaled April 14-15 that a second round of negotiations could resume within days. These proposal exchanges and diplomatic signals amid fragile ceasefire terms have driven trader consensus to 58.5% yes for a nuclear deal by June 30, reflecting the wisdom of crowds on potential progress despite persistent gaps over enrichment limits and sanctions relief, with JCPOA precedents as a benchmark.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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