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Politica·Primarie

VA-02 Democratic Primary Winner

icon for VA-02 Democratic Primary Winner
Politica·Primarie

VA-02 Democratic Primary Winner

Elaine Luria 94%

Matt Strickler 2.8%

Patrick Mosolf 1.9%

Burk Stringfellow 1.4%

Polymarket
NUOVO

Elaine Luria 94%

Matt Strickler 2.8%

Patrick Mosolf 1.9%

Burk Stringfellow 1.4%

Polymarket
NUOVO

Elaine Luria

$2,420 Vol.

94%

Matt Strickler

$643 Vol.

3%

Patrick Mosolf

$1,564 Vol.

2%

Burk Stringfellow

$665 Vol.

1%

James Osyf

$1,216 Vol.

1%

Nila Devanath

$1,156 Vol.

1%

Nicolaus Sleister

$1,137 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the VA-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 16, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Elaine Luria holds a commanding lead in the VA-02 Democratic primary due to her prior two terms representing the district, substantial fundraising advantage exceeding $2.3 million in cash on hand compared to minimal amounts for other candidates, and endorsements from Virginia's governor-elect Abigail Spanberger along with U.S. senators Mark Warner and Tim Kaine. The Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee has also prioritized the seat on its Red to Blue target list for the general election rematch against incumbent Republican Jen Kiggans. These institutional and resource factors have consolidated support behind the former representative ahead of the August 4 primary. Other candidates including Patrick Mosolf and Nila Devanath remain active but trail significantly in visibility and funding, leaving limited room for a shift absent major late developments such as unexpected withdrawals or shifts in party alignment.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the VA-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 16, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Volume
$8,801
Data di fine
16 giu 2026
Mercato aperto
Nov 25, 2025, 4:33 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the VA-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 16, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the VA-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 16, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Elaine Luria holds a commanding lead in the VA-02 Democratic primary due to her prior two terms representing the district, substantial fundraising advantage exceeding $2.3 million in cash on hand compared to minimal amounts for other candidates, and endorsements from Virginia's governor-elect Abigail Spanberger along with U.S. senators Mark Warner and Tim Kaine. The Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee has also prioritized the seat on its Red to Blue target list for the general election rematch against incumbent Republican Jen Kiggans. These institutional and resource factors have consolidated support behind the former representative ahead of the August 4 primary. Other candidates including Patrick Mosolf and Nila Devanath remain active but trail significantly in visibility and funding, leaving limited room for a shift absent major late developments such as unexpected withdrawals or shifts in party alignment.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the VA-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 16, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Volume
$8,801
Data di fine
16 giu 2026
Mercato aperto
Nov 25, 2025, 4:33 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the VA-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 16, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

Fai attenzione ai link esterni.

Domande frequenti

"VA-02 Democratic Primary Winner" è un mercato predittivo su Polymarket con 7 possibili esiti dove i trader comprano e vendono azioni in base a ciò che credono accadrà. L'esito attualmente in testa è "Elaine Luria" a 94%, seguito da "Matt Strickler" a 3%. I prezzi riflettono probabilità aggregate in tempo reale. Ad esempio, un'azione quotata a 94¢ implica che il mercato assegna collettivamente una probabilità di 94% a quell'esito. Queste quote cambiano continuamente man mano che i trader reagiscono a nuovi sviluppi e informazioni. Le azioni nell'esito corretto possono essere riscattate per $1 ciascuna alla risoluzione del mercato.

"VA-02 Democratic Primary Winner" è un mercato appena creato su Polymarket, lanciato il Nov 25, 2025. Come mercato nuovo, questa è la tua opportunità di essere tra i primi trader a stabilire le quote e i segnali di prezzo iniziali del mercato. Puoi anche aggiungere questa pagina ai preferiti per monitorare il volume e l'attività di trading man mano che il mercato guadagna visibilità.

Per fare trading su "VA-02 Democratic Primary Winner", esplora i 7 esiti disponibili elencati in questa pagina. Ogni esito mostra un prezzo corrente che rappresenta la probabilità implicita del mercato. Per prendere una posizione, seleziona l'esito che ritieni più probabile, scegli "Sì" per fare trading a suo favore o "No" per fare trading contro di esso, inserisci il tuo importo e clicca "Trading". Se il tuo esito scelto è corretto alla risoluzione del mercato, le tue azioni "Sì" pagano $1 ciascuna. Se è errato, pagano $0. Puoi anche vendere le tue azioni in qualsiasi momento prima della risoluzione se vuoi consolidare un profitto o limitare una perdita.

L'attuale favorito per "VA-02 Democratic Primary Winner" è "Elaine Luria" a 94%, il che significa che il mercato assegna una probabilità di 94% a quell'esito. L'esito successivo più vicino è "Matt Strickler" a 3%. Queste quote si aggiornano in tempo reale man mano che i trader comprano e vendono azioni, quindi riflettono l'ultima visione collettiva di ciò che è più probabile che accada. Controlla frequentemente o aggiungi questa pagina ai preferiti per seguire come cambiano le quote man mano che emergono nuove informazioni.

Le regole di risoluzione per "VA-02 Democratic Primary Winner" definiscono esattamente cosa deve accadere affinché ogni esito venga dichiarato vincitore — comprese le fonti di dati ufficiali utilizzate per determinare il risultato. Puoi consultare i criteri completi di risoluzione nella sezione "Regole" di questa pagina sopra i commenti. Ti consigliamo di leggere attentamente le regole prima di fare trading, poiché specificano le condizioni precise, i casi limite e le fonti che regolano come viene risolto questo mercato.