Simone Venturini leads trader consensus at 53.5% implied probability to win Venice's mayoral election as the centre-right coalition candidate backed by Fratelli d'Italia, Lega, Forza Italia, and civic lists, continuing the administration of outgoing mayor Luigi Brugnaro who secured a first-round victory in 2020. Recent polls from March placed him around 36% in a fragmented field heading to a June 7-8 runoff, but April campaign momentum on security and suburban issues—highlighted in clashes with challenger Andrea Martella (37.5%) of the centre-left PD-led alliance—has boosted expectations of an outright May 24-25 win or strong runoff edge. Minor candidates like Michele Boldrin trail amid coalition consolidation.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoVenice Mayoral Election Winner
Venice Mayoral Election Winner
Simone Venturini 54%
Andrea Martella 38%
Michele Boldrin 3.4%
Pierangelo Del Zotto <1%

Simone Venturini
54%

Andrea Martella
38%

Michele Boldrin
3%

Pierangelo Del Zotto
<1%

Giovanni Andrea Martini
<1%
Simone Venturini 54%
Andrea Martella 38%
Michele Boldrin 3.4%
Pierangelo Del Zotto <1%

Simone Venturini
54%

Andrea Martella
38%

Michele Boldrin
3%

Pierangelo Del Zotto
<1%

Giovanni Andrea Martini
<1%
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Venice as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.
This market includes any potential second round. If the result of this election isn't known by April 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from Venice.
Mercato aperto: Apr 6, 2026, 6:14 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Venice as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.
This market includes any potential second round. If the result of this election isn't known by April 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from Venice.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Simone Venturini leads trader consensus at 53.5% implied probability to win Venice's mayoral election as the centre-right coalition candidate backed by Fratelli d'Italia, Lega, Forza Italia, and civic lists, continuing the administration of outgoing mayor Luigi Brugnaro who secured a first-round victory in 2020. Recent polls from March placed him around 36% in a fragmented field heading to a June 7-8 runoff, but April campaign momentum on security and suburban issues—highlighted in clashes with challenger Andrea Martella (37.5%) of the centre-left PD-led alliance—has boosted expectations of an outright May 24-25 win or strong runoff edge. Minor candidates like Michele Boldrin trail amid coalition consolidation.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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