Trader consensus on Polymarket favors center-right candidate Simone Venturini at 53.5% implied probability to win Venice's mayoral election, driven by his position as the endorsed successor to outgoing mayor Luigi Brugnaro and the coalition's dominance in Veneto region's proportional representation system. Center-left challenger Andrea Martella holds 37.5%, buoyed by a broad alliance including PD, M5S, and left-leaning lists, amid a closely contested first-round vote scheduled for May 24-25, with potential runoff on June 7-8. Recent developments include Venturini's April 8 presentation of his 36-person slate in Mestre and heated exchanges with Martella over bolstering local police amid security concerns, reinforcing the frontrunner's incumbency edge while others like Michele Boldrin lag at 4.3% due to fragmented support.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoVenice Mayoral Election Winner
Venice Mayoral Election Winner
Simone Venturini 54%
Andrea Martella 38%
Michele Boldrin 4.3%
Pierangelo Del Zotto <1%

Simone Venturini
54%

Andrea Martella
38%

Michele Boldrin
4%

Pierangelo Del Zotto
<1%

Giovanni Andrea Martini
<1%
Simone Venturini 54%
Andrea Martella 38%
Michele Boldrin 4.3%
Pierangelo Del Zotto <1%

Simone Venturini
54%

Andrea Martella
38%

Michele Boldrin
4%

Pierangelo Del Zotto
<1%

Giovanni Andrea Martini
<1%
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Venice as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.
This market includes any potential second round. If the result of this election isn't known by April 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from Venice.
Mercato aperto: Apr 6, 2026, 6:14 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Venice as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.
This market includes any potential second round. If the result of this election isn't known by April 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from Venice.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket favors center-right candidate Simone Venturini at 53.5% implied probability to win Venice's mayoral election, driven by his position as the endorsed successor to outgoing mayor Luigi Brugnaro and the coalition's dominance in Veneto region's proportional representation system. Center-left challenger Andrea Martella holds 37.5%, buoyed by a broad alliance including PD, M5S, and left-leaning lists, amid a closely contested first-round vote scheduled for May 24-25, with potential runoff on June 7-8. Recent developments include Venturini's April 8 presentation of his 36-person slate in Mestre and heated exchanges with Martella over bolstering local police amid security concerns, reinforcing the frontrunner's incumbency edge while others like Michele Boldrin lag at 4.3% due to fragmented support.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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