Trader consensus on the West Bengal Legislative Assembly election, scheduled for April 23 and 29 across 294 seats, prices AITC at 57.9% and BJP at 40.6% for most seats or forming government, mirroring recent opinion polls like CVoter and Matrize showing a razor-thin AITC lead of 140-160 seats to BJP's 130-150 in a narrowing vote share contest. Incumbent AITC benefits from Mamata Banerjee's frontrunner status as preferred chief minister and welfare schemes, while BJP gains traction via anti-incumbency, Hindu voter consolidation, and the Special Intensive Revision of electoral rolls that deleted over 5 million names—allegedly infiltrators per BJP claims. In the last 48 hours, TMC accused ECI of selective "logical discrepancy" scrutiny favoring BJP, countered by Amit Shah's rallies stressing border security, with heavy central force deployments in deletion-heavy districts like Murshidabad signaling high-stakes phase one polling.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoVincitore delle elezioni dell'Assemblea legislativa del Bengala Occidentale
Vincitore delle elezioni dell'Assemblea legislativa del Bengala Occidentale
AITC 57.9%
BJP 40.6%
CPI <1%
CPI(M) <1%
$1,883,576 Vol.
$1,883,576 Vol.
29 apr 2026
AITC
58%
BJP
41%
CPI
<1%
CPI(M)
<1%
INC
<1%
BGPM
<1%
AITC 57.9%
BJP 40.6%
CPI <1%
CPI(M) <1%
$1,883,576 Vol.
$1,883,576 Vol.
29 apr 2026
AITC
$99,806 Vol.
58%
BJP
$150,851 Vol.
41%
CPI
$792,255 Vol.
<1%
CPI(M)
$27,185 Vol.
<1%
INC
$21,707 Vol.
<1%
BGPM
$791,772 Vol.
<1%
Parliamentary elections are to be scheduled to be held in West Bengal, India, in March–April 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next West Bengal Legislative Assembly election.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the West Bengal Parliament.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Indian government, specifically the Election Commission of India (ECI) (eci.gov.in). If there are multiple reports, this market will resolve based on the one that includes the most Assembly Constituents (AC).Trader consensus on the West Bengal Legislative Assembly election, scheduled for April 23 and 29 across 294 seats, prices AITC at 57.9% and BJP at 40.6% for most seats or forming government, mirroring recent opinion polls like CVoter and Matrize showing a razor-thin AITC lead of 140-160 seats to BJP's 130-150 in a narrowing vote share contest. Incumbent AITC benefits from Mamata Banerjee's frontrunner status as preferred chief minister and welfare schemes, while BJP gains traction via anti-incumbency, Hindu voter consolidation, and the Special Intensive Revision of electoral rolls that deleted over 5 million names—allegedly infiltrators per BJP claims. In the last 48 hours, TMC accused ECI of selective "logical discrepancy" scrutiny favoring BJP, countered by Amit Shah's rallies stressing border security, with heavy central force deployments in deletion-heavy districts like Murshidabad signaling high-stakes phase one polling.
Parliamentary elections are to be scheduled to be held in West Bengal, India, in March–April 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next West Bengal Legislative Assembly election.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the West Bengal Parliament.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Indian government, specifically the Election Commission of India (ECI) (eci.gov.in). If there are multiple reports, this market will resolve based on the one that includes the most Assembly Constituents (AC).
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next West Bengal Legislative Assembly election.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the West Bengal Parliament.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Indian government, specifically the Election Commission of India (ECI) (eci.gov.in). If there are multiple reports, this market will resolve based on the one that includes the most Assembly Constituents (AC).
Mercato aperto: Dec 23, 2025, 3:13 PM ET
Volume
$1,883,576Data di fine
29 apr 2026Mercato aperto
Dec 23, 2025, 3:13 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Parliamentary elections are to be scheduled to be held in West Bengal, India, in March–April 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next West Bengal Legislative Assembly election.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the West Bengal Parliament.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Indian government, specifically the Election Commission of India (ECI) (eci.gov.in). If there are multiple reports, this market will resolve based on the one that includes the most Assembly Constituents (AC).Trader consensus on the West Bengal Legislative Assembly election, scheduled for April 23 and 29 across 294 seats, prices AITC at 57.9% and BJP at 40.6% for most seats or forming government, mirroring recent opinion polls like CVoter and Matrize showing a razor-thin AITC lead of 140-160 seats to BJP's 130-150 in a narrowing vote share contest. Incumbent AITC benefits from Mamata Banerjee's frontrunner status as preferred chief minister and welfare schemes, while BJP gains traction via anti-incumbency, Hindu voter consolidation, and the Special Intensive Revision of electoral rolls that deleted over 5 million names—allegedly infiltrators per BJP claims. In the last 48 hours, TMC accused ECI of selective "logical discrepancy" scrutiny favoring BJP, countered by Amit Shah's rallies stressing border security, with heavy central force deployments in deletion-heavy districts like Murshidabad signaling high-stakes phase one polling.
Parliamentary elections are to be scheduled to be held in West Bengal, India, in March–April 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next West Bengal Legislative Assembly election.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the West Bengal Parliament.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Indian government, specifically the Election Commission of India (ECI) (eci.gov.in). If there are multiple reports, this market will resolve based on the one that includes the most Assembly Constituents (AC).
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next West Bengal Legislative Assembly election.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the West Bengal Parliament.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Indian government, specifically the Election Commission of India (ECI) (eci.gov.in). If there are multiple reports, this market will resolve based on the one that includes the most Assembly Constituents (AC).
Volume
$1,883,576Data di fine
29 apr 2026Mercato aperto
Dec 23, 2025, 3:13 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus on the West Bengal Legislative Assembly election, scheduled for April 23 and 29 across 294 seats, prices AITC at 57.9% and BJP at 40.6% for most seats or forming government, mirroring recent opinion polls like CVoter and Matrize showing a razor-thin AITC lead of 140-160 seats to BJP's 130-150 in a narrowing vote share contest. Incumbent AITC benefits from Mamata Banerjee's frontrunner status as preferred chief minister and welfare schemes, while BJP gains traction via anti-incumbency, Hindu voter consolidation, and the Special Intensive Revision of electoral rolls that deleted over 5 million names—allegedly infiltrators per BJP claims. In the last 48 hours, TMC accused ECI of selective "logical discrepancy" scrutiny favoring BJP, countered by Amit Shah's rallies stressing border security, with heavy central force deployments in deletion-heavy districts like Murshidabad signaling high-stakes phase one polling.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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