In Minnesota's 2nd Congressional District open Democratic primary—triggered by Rep. Angie Craig's Senate bid—trader consensus favors state Sen. Matt Little at 53% implied probability, driven by his dominant 43% in the recent DFL CD2 congressional straw poll versus state Sen. Matt Klein's 21% and state Rep. Kaela Berg's 7%. Little's pledge to abide by the DFL endorsement process, backed by National Nurses United and state Sen. Erin Maye Quade, bolsters his momentum amid ongoing organizing unit conventions concluded last week. Klein holds at 37% on strong Q4 2025 fundraising ($565K raised, $328K cash on hand), edging Berg's labor endorsements from flight attendants and steelworkers despite her $132K haul. The August 11 primary looms as the contest remains fluid.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoMatt Little 63%
Matt Klein 30%
Kaela Berg 10.3%
$28,825 Vol.
$28,825 Vol.
11 ago 2026
Matt Little
53%
Matt Klein
37%
Kaela Berg
16%
Matt Little 63%
Matt Klein 30%
Kaela Berg 10.3%
$28,825 Vol.
$28,825 Vol.
11 ago 2026
Matt Little
$20,088 Vol.
53%
Matt Klein
$6,565 Vol.
37%
Kaela Berg
$2,172 Vol.
16%
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the MN-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on August 11, 2026.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.In Minnesota's 2nd Congressional District open Democratic primary—triggered by Rep. Angie Craig's Senate bid—trader consensus favors state Sen. Matt Little at 53% implied probability, driven by his dominant 43% in the recent DFL CD2 congressional straw poll versus state Sen. Matt Klein's 21% and state Rep. Kaela Berg's 7%. Little's pledge to abide by the DFL endorsement process, backed by National Nurses United and state Sen. Erin Maye Quade, bolsters his momentum amid ongoing organizing unit conventions concluded last week. Klein holds at 37% on strong Q4 2025 fundraising ($565K raised, $328K cash on hand), edging Berg's labor endorsements from flight attendants and steelworkers despite her $132K haul. The August 11 primary looms as the contest remains fluid.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the MN-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on August 11, 2026.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Mercato aperto: Dec 1, 2025, 4:02 PM ET
Volume
$28,825Data di fine
11 ago 2026Mercato aperto
Dec 1, 2025, 4:02 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the MN-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on August 11, 2026.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.In Minnesota's 2nd Congressional District open Democratic primary—triggered by Rep. Angie Craig's Senate bid—trader consensus favors state Sen. Matt Little at 53% implied probability, driven by his dominant 43% in the recent DFL CD2 congressional straw poll versus state Sen. Matt Klein's 21% and state Rep. Kaela Berg's 7%. Little's pledge to abide by the DFL endorsement process, backed by National Nurses United and state Sen. Erin Maye Quade, bolsters his momentum amid ongoing organizing unit conventions concluded last week. Klein holds at 37% on strong Q4 2025 fundraising ($565K raised, $328K cash on hand), edging Berg's labor endorsements from flight attendants and steelworkers despite her $132K haul. The August 11 primary looms as the contest remains fluid.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the MN-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on August 11, 2026.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Volume
$28,825Data di fine
11 ago 2026Mercato aperto
Dec 1, 2025, 4:02 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...In Minnesota's 2nd Congressional District open Democratic primary—triggered by Rep. Angie Craig's Senate bid—trader consensus favors state Sen. Matt Little at 53% implied probability, driven by his dominant 43% in the recent DFL CD2 congressional straw poll versus state Sen. Matt Klein's 21% and state Rep. Kaela Berg's 7%. Little's pledge to abide by the DFL endorsement process, backed by National Nurses United and state Sen. Erin Maye Quade, bolsters his momentum amid ongoing organizing unit conventions concluded last week. Klein holds at 37% on strong Q4 2025 fundraising ($565K raised, $328K cash on hand), edging Berg's labor endorsements from flight attendants and steelworkers despite her $132K haul. The August 11 primary looms as the contest remains fluid.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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