Trader consensus favors state Assemblyman Micah Lasher at 49.5% to win the NY-12 Democratic primary on June 23, propelled by Gov. Kathy Hochul's endorsement on April 13—her rare intervention in a primary for her former policy director—and $5 million in support from Michael Bloomberg, bolstering his fundraising edge in the open seat race to replace retiring Rep. Jerry Nadler. Assemblyman Alex Bores holds steady at 30.5% on labor endorsements like TWU Local 100 but faces scrutiny over out-of-district donations. Jack Schlossberg trails at 14% despite early poll leads and Kennedy family name recognition, as the crowded field of 14 candidates fragments progressive and establishment votes ahead of candidate forums.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoMicah Lasher 49%
Alex Bores 30%
Jack Schlossberg 14%
George Conway 2.0%
$166,923 Vol.
$166,923 Vol.
23 giu 2026
Micah Lasher
49%
Alex Bores
30%
Jack Schlossberg
14%
George Conway
2%
Scott Stringer
2%
Brad Lander
1%
Liz Krueger
1%
Julie Menin
1%
Lina Khan
1%
Erik Bottcher
1%
Andrew Cuomo
<1%
Keith Powers
<1%
Cameron Kasky
<1%
Carolyn Maloney
<1%
Chelsea Clinton
<1%
Cynthia Nixon
<1%
Liam Elkind
<1%
Brad Hoylman-Sigal
<1%
Gale Brewer
<1%
Micah Lasher 49%
Alex Bores 30%
Jack Schlossberg 14%
George Conway 2.0%
$166,923 Vol.
$166,923 Vol.
23 giu 2026
Micah Lasher
$5,712 Vol.
49%
Alex Bores
$3,498 Vol.
30%
Jack Schlossberg
$7,469 Vol.
14%
George Conway
$1,673 Vol.
2%
Scott Stringer
$8,071 Vol.
2%
Brad Lander
$11,412 Vol.
1%
Liz Krueger
$37,054 Vol.
1%
Julie Menin
$23,068 Vol.
1%
Lina Khan
$39,333 Vol.
1%
Erik Bottcher
$2,094 Vol.
1%
Andrew Cuomo
$1,759 Vol.
<1%
Keith Powers
$3,415 Vol.
<1%
Cameron Kasky
$2,574 Vol.
<1%
Carolyn Maloney
$2,110 Vol.
<1%
Chelsea Clinton
$7,373 Vol.
<1%
Cynthia Nixon
$2,138 Vol.
<1%
Liam Elkind
$1,674 Vol.
<1%
Brad Hoylman-Sigal
$5,013 Vol.
<1%
Gale Brewer
$1,481 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the NY-12 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 23, 2026.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Trader consensus favors state Assemblyman Micah Lasher at 49.5% to win the NY-12 Democratic primary on June 23, propelled by Gov. Kathy Hochul's endorsement on April 13—her rare intervention in a primary for her former policy director—and $5 million in support from Michael Bloomberg, bolstering his fundraising edge in the open seat race to replace retiring Rep. Jerry Nadler. Assemblyman Alex Bores holds steady at 30.5% on labor endorsements like TWU Local 100 but faces scrutiny over out-of-district donations. Jack Schlossberg trails at 14% despite early poll leads and Kennedy family name recognition, as the crowded field of 14 candidates fragments progressive and establishment votes ahead of candidate forums.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the NY-12 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 23, 2026.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Mercato aperto: Nov 21, 2025, 10:47 AM ET
Volume
$166,923Data di fine
23 giu 2026Mercato aperto
Nov 21, 2025, 10:47 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the NY-12 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 23, 2026.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Trader consensus favors state Assemblyman Micah Lasher at 49.5% to win the NY-12 Democratic primary on June 23, propelled by Gov. Kathy Hochul's endorsement on April 13—her rare intervention in a primary for her former policy director—and $5 million in support from Michael Bloomberg, bolstering his fundraising edge in the open seat race to replace retiring Rep. Jerry Nadler. Assemblyman Alex Bores holds steady at 30.5% on labor endorsements like TWU Local 100 but faces scrutiny over out-of-district donations. Jack Schlossberg trails at 14% despite early poll leads and Kennedy family name recognition, as the crowded field of 14 candidates fragments progressive and establishment votes ahead of candidate forums.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the NY-12 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 23, 2026.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Volume
$166,923Data di fine
23 giu 2026Mercato aperto
Nov 21, 2025, 10:47 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus favors state Assemblyman Micah Lasher at 49.5% to win the NY-12 Democratic primary on June 23, propelled by Gov. Kathy Hochul's endorsement on April 13—her rare intervention in a primary for her former policy director—and $5 million in support from Michael Bloomberg, bolstering his fundraising edge in the open seat race to replace retiring Rep. Jerry Nadler. Assemblyman Alex Bores holds steady at 30.5% on labor endorsements like TWU Local 100 but faces scrutiny over out-of-district donations. Jack Schlossberg trails at 14% despite early poll leads and Kennedy family name recognition, as the crowded field of 14 candidates fragments progressive and establishment votes ahead of candidate forums.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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