President Trump's recent social media attack on Pope Leo XIV—labeling him "weak on crime" and too liberal amid tensions over Iran policy—exemplifies his pattern of public insults toward critics, including foreign leaders like Emmanuel Macron and Keir Starmer earlier this month. Traders weigh this history of frequent Truth Social and speech barbs against domestic figures such as judges, GOP holdouts, and media outlets, alongside international friction from Strait of Hormuz threats and NATO critiques. With two weeks until April 30 resolution, upcoming cabinet confirmations, debt ceiling talks, and Iran diplomacy could prompt fresh targets, reflecting trader consensus on his combative style amid policy pressures.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato$73,482 Vol.
30 apr 2026
Barack Obama
67%
Marjorie Taylor Greene
50%
Keir Starmer
43%
Papa Leone XIV
29%
Tucker Carlson
31%
Megyn Kelly
29%
Alex Jones
14%
Pam Bondi
7%
Benjamin Netanyahu
5%
Elon Musk
4%
Viktor Orbán
4%
Vladimir Putin
3%
J.D. Vance
3%
Xi Jinping
2%
Melania Trump
1%
Candace Owens
43%
$73,482 Vol.
Barack Obama
$1,696 Vol.
67%
Marjorie Taylor Greene
$197 Vol.
50%
Keir Starmer
$305 Vol.
43%
Papa Leone XIV
$2,320 Vol.
29%
Tucker Carlson
$766 Vol.
31%
Megyn Kelly
$0 Vol.
29%
Alex Jones
$1,364 Vol.
14%
Pam Bondi
$451 Vol.
7%
Benjamin Netanyahu
$6,047 Vol.
5%
Elon Musk
$955 Vol.
4%
Viktor Orbán
$3,355 Vol.
4%
Vladimir Putin
$3,056 Vol.
3%
J.D. Vance
$6,307 Vol.
3%
Xi Jinping
$11,046 Vol.
2%
Melania Trump
$8,150 Vol.
1%
Candace Owens
$48 Vol.
43%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump makes any public statement in which he insults, mocks, or attacks the listed individual personally or professionally in a clearly negative manner between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This includes calling the individual weak, stupid, disloyal, a failure, using an insulting nickname, using other derogatory language, or using the negative form of a positive trait in a derogatory personal way (e.g., “He/She isn’t smart”). Negative forms used in reference to the individual's professional actions, policies, or decisions (e.g., “He/She isn’t being smart about this policy”) will not count. Policy disagreements stated without disparaging language will not count.
A direct reference will qualify even if the individual is not named, so long as it is reasonably clear from context that they are the subject.
Any written, verbal, or recorded public statement by Trump qualifies.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.President Trump's recent social media attack on Pope Leo XIV—labeling him "weak on crime" and too liberal amid tensions over Iran policy—exemplifies his pattern of public insults toward critics, including foreign leaders like Emmanuel Macron and Keir Starmer earlier this month. Traders weigh this history of frequent Truth Social and speech barbs against domestic figures such as judges, GOP holdouts, and media outlets, alongside international friction from Strait of Hormuz threats and NATO critiques. With two weeks until April 30 resolution, upcoming cabinet confirmations, debt ceiling talks, and Iran diplomacy could prompt fresh targets, reflecting trader consensus on his combative style amid policy pressures.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump makes any public statement in which he insults, mocks, or attacks the listed individual personally or professionally in a clearly negative manner between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This includes calling the individual weak, stupid, disloyal, a failure, using an insulting nickname, using other derogatory language, or using the negative form of a positive trait in a derogatory personal way (e.g., “He/She isn’t smart”). Negative forms used in reference to the individual's professional actions, policies, or decisions (e.g., “He/She isn’t being smart about this policy”) will not count. Policy disagreements stated without disparaging language will not count.
A direct reference will qualify even if the individual is not named, so long as it is reasonably clear from context that they are the subject.
Any written, verbal, or recorded public statement by Trump qualifies.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
This includes calling the individual weak, stupid, disloyal, a failure, using an insulting nickname, using other derogatory language, or using the negative form of a positive trait in a derogatory personal way (e.g., “He/She isn’t smart”). Negative forms used in reference to the individual's professional actions, policies, or decisions (e.g., “He/She isn’t being smart about this policy”) will not count. Policy disagreements stated without disparaging language will not count.
A direct reference will qualify even if the individual is not named, so long as it is reasonably clear from context that they are the subject.
Any written, verbal, or recorded public statement by Trump qualifies.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Mercato aperto: Apr 13, 2026, 6:36 PM ET
Volume
$73,482Data di fine
30 apr 2026Mercato aperto
Apr 13, 2026, 6:36 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump makes any public statement in which he insults, mocks, or attacks the listed individual personally or professionally in a clearly negative manner between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This includes calling the individual weak, stupid, disloyal, a failure, using an insulting nickname, using other derogatory language, or using the negative form of a positive trait in a derogatory personal way (e.g., “He/She isn’t smart”). Negative forms used in reference to the individual's professional actions, policies, or decisions (e.g., “He/She isn’t being smart about this policy”) will not count. Policy disagreements stated without disparaging language will not count.
A direct reference will qualify even if the individual is not named, so long as it is reasonably clear from context that they are the subject.
Any written, verbal, or recorded public statement by Trump qualifies.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.President Trump's recent social media attack on Pope Leo XIV—labeling him "weak on crime" and too liberal amid tensions over Iran policy—exemplifies his pattern of public insults toward critics, including foreign leaders like Emmanuel Macron and Keir Starmer earlier this month. Traders weigh this history of frequent Truth Social and speech barbs against domestic figures such as judges, GOP holdouts, and media outlets, alongside international friction from Strait of Hormuz threats and NATO critiques. With two weeks until April 30 resolution, upcoming cabinet confirmations, debt ceiling talks, and Iran diplomacy could prompt fresh targets, reflecting trader consensus on his combative style amid policy pressures.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump makes any public statement in which he insults, mocks, or attacks the listed individual personally or professionally in a clearly negative manner between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This includes calling the individual weak, stupid, disloyal, a failure, using an insulting nickname, using other derogatory language, or using the negative form of a positive trait in a derogatory personal way (e.g., “He/She isn’t smart”). Negative forms used in reference to the individual's professional actions, policies, or decisions (e.g., “He/She isn’t being smart about this policy”) will not count. Policy disagreements stated without disparaging language will not count.
A direct reference will qualify even if the individual is not named, so long as it is reasonably clear from context that they are the subject.
Any written, verbal, or recorded public statement by Trump qualifies.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
This includes calling the individual weak, stupid, disloyal, a failure, using an insulting nickname, using other derogatory language, or using the negative form of a positive trait in a derogatory personal way (e.g., “He/She isn’t smart”). Negative forms used in reference to the individual's professional actions, policies, or decisions (e.g., “He/She isn’t being smart about this policy”) will not count. Policy disagreements stated without disparaging language will not count.
A direct reference will qualify even if the individual is not named, so long as it is reasonably clear from context that they are the subject.
Any written, verbal, or recorded public statement by Trump qualifies.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Volume
$73,482Data di fine
30 apr 2026Mercato aperto
Apr 13, 2026, 6:36 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...President Trump's recent social media attack on Pope Leo XIV—labeling him "weak on crime" and too liberal amid tensions over Iran policy—exemplifies his pattern of public insults toward critics, including foreign leaders like Emmanuel Macron and Keir Starmer earlier this month. Traders weigh this history of frequent Truth Social and speech barbs against domestic figures such as judges, GOP holdouts, and media outlets, alongside international friction from Strait of Hormuz threats and NATO critiques. With two weeks until April 30 resolution, upcoming cabinet confirmations, debt ceiling talks, and Iran diplomacy could prompt fresh targets, reflecting trader consensus on his combative style amid policy pressures.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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