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Politica·Elon Musk

Will Elon Musk go on Joe Rogan before June 30?

Market icon
Politica·Elon Musk

Will Elon Musk go on Joe Rogan before June 30?

30% probabilità
Polymarket
NUOVO
30% probabilità
Polymarket
NUOVO
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Elon Musk is a guest on any "The Joe Rogan Experience" podcast episode between December 1, 2025 and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If a consensus of credible reporting confirms Elon Musk recorded an episode with Rogan before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes" regardless of when/if it is released. The primary resolution source for this market will be Spotify and/or Youtube, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Trader consensus prices a 70% chance that Elon Musk will not appear as a guest on The Joe Rogan Experience before June 30, 2026, reflecting no announcements, rumors, or scheduling hints since the market window opened December 1, 2025—despite Musk's prior episodes like #2404 in late October 2025. Musk's demanding role co-leading the Department of Government Efficiency (DOGE) alongside Vivek Ramaswamy, advising President Trump on federal spending cuts and regulatory reforms, has dominated his calendar amid congressional hearings, White House briefings, and ongoing Tesla Cybercab production and SpaceX Starship tests. With roughly 75 days remaining and no recent signals from Musk or Rogan of an interview, traders weigh his packed executive schedule against historical patterns of sporadic, election-timed appearances.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Elon Musk is a guest on any "The Joe Rogan Experience" podcast episode between December 1, 2025 and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

If a consensus of credible reporting confirms Elon Musk recorded an episode with Rogan before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes" regardless of when/if it is released.

The primary resolution source for this market will be Spotify and/or Youtube, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$3,261
Data di fine
30 giu 2026
Mercato aperto
Dec 1, 2025, 5:12 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Elon Musk is a guest on any "The Joe Rogan Experience" podcast episode between December 1, 2025 and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If a consensus of credible reporting confirms Elon Musk recorded an episode with Rogan before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes" regardless of when/if it is released. The primary resolution source for this market will be Spotify and/or Youtube, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Elon Musk is a guest on any "The Joe Rogan Experience" podcast episode between December 1, 2025 and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If a consensus of credible reporting confirms Elon Musk recorded an episode with Rogan before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes" regardless of when/if it is released. The primary resolution source for this market will be Spotify and/or Youtube, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Trader consensus prices a 70% chance that Elon Musk will not appear as a guest on The Joe Rogan Experience before June 30, 2026, reflecting no announcements, rumors, or scheduling hints since the market window opened December 1, 2025—despite Musk's prior episodes like #2404 in late October 2025. Musk's demanding role co-leading the Department of Government Efficiency (DOGE) alongside Vivek Ramaswamy, advising President Trump on federal spending cuts and regulatory reforms, has dominated his calendar amid congressional hearings, White House briefings, and ongoing Tesla Cybercab production and SpaceX Starship tests. With roughly 75 days remaining and no recent signals from Musk or Rogan of an interview, traders weigh his packed executive schedule against historical patterns of sporadic, election-timed appearances.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Elon Musk is a guest on any "The Joe Rogan Experience" podcast episode between December 1, 2025 and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

If a consensus of credible reporting confirms Elon Musk recorded an episode with Rogan before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes" regardless of when/if it is released.

The primary resolution source for this market will be Spotify and/or Youtube, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$3,261
Data di fine
30 giu 2026
Mercato aperto
Dec 1, 2025, 5:12 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Elon Musk is a guest on any "The Joe Rogan Experience" podcast episode between December 1, 2025 and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If a consensus of credible reporting confirms Elon Musk recorded an episode with Rogan before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes" regardless of when/if it is released. The primary resolution source for this market will be Spotify and/or Youtube, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

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Domande frequenti

"Will Elon Musk go on Joe Rogan before June 30?" è un mercato predittivo su Polymarket dove i trader comprano e vendono azioni "Sì" o "No" in base a se credono che questo evento accadrà. La probabilità attuale aggregata è 30% per "Yes". Ad esempio, se "Sì" è quotato a 30¢, il mercato assegna collettivamente una probabilità di 30% che questo evento si verifichi. Queste quote cambiano continuamente man mano che i trader reagiscono a nuovi sviluppi e informazioni. Le azioni nell'esito corretto possono essere riscattate per $1 ciascuna alla risoluzione del mercato.

"Will Elon Musk go on Joe Rogan before June 30?" è un mercato appena creato su Polymarket, lanciato il Dec 1, 2025. Come mercato nuovo, questa è la tua opportunità di essere tra i primi trader a stabilire le quote e i segnali di prezzo iniziali del mercato. Puoi anche aggiungere questa pagina ai preferiti per monitorare il volume e l'attività di trading man mano che il mercato guadagna visibilità.

Per fare trading su "Will Elon Musk go on Joe Rogan before June 30?", scegli semplicemente se ritieni che la risposta sia "Sì" o "No". Ogni lato ha un prezzo corrente che riflette la probabilità implicita del mercato. Inserisci il tuo importo e clicca "Trading". Se compri azioni "Sì" e l'esito si risolve come "Sì", ogni azione paga $1. Se si risolve come "No", le tue azioni "Sì" pagano $0. Puoi anche vendere le tue azioni in qualsiasi momento prima della risoluzione se vuoi consolidare un profitto o limitare una perdita.

La probabilità attuale per "Will Elon Musk go on Joe Rogan before June 30?" è 30% per "Yes". Questo significa che la comunità Polymarket attualmente ritiene che ci sia una probabilità di 30% che questo evento si verifichi. Queste quote si aggiornano in tempo reale basandosi sulle operazioni effettive, fornendo un segnale continuamente aggiornato di ciò che il mercato si aspetta accada.

Le regole di risoluzione per "Will Elon Musk go on Joe Rogan before June 30?" definiscono esattamente cosa deve accadere affinché ogni esito venga dichiarato vincitore — comprese le fonti di dati ufficiali utilizzate per determinare il risultato. Puoi consultare i criteri completi di risoluzione nella sezione "Regole" di questa pagina sopra i commenti. Ti consigliamo di leggere attentamente le regole prima di fare trading, poiché specificano le condizioni precise, i casi limite e le fonti che regolano come viene risolto questo mercato.