US military forces launched targeted strikes on Caracas on January 3, 2026, capturing Venezuelan President Nicolás Maduro and his wife in an operation the Trump administration framed as law enforcement against narco-terrorism, explicitly rejecting claims of war or occupation. Congressional Democrats introduced H.Con.Res.64 and war powers resolutions to require authorization for hostilities, but Senate Republicans blocked votes in mid-January, preserving executive flexibility under the War Powers Resolution. No formal declaration of war—a rare congressional action last used in World War II—has materialized, with traders pricing low probabilities amid historical reliance on Authorizations for Use of Military Force (AUMF) or executive orders. No major developments have occurred in the past 30 days, though oversight hearings and potential diplomatic shifts could influence outcomes ahead of the market's resolution date.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato$1,236,728 Vol.
31 dic 2025
30 giugno 2026
2%
$1,236,728 Vol.
30 giugno 2026
$471,302 Vol.
2%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States formally declares war on Venezuela through an act of Congress between December 15, 2025, and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
To qualify, Congress must pass a formal declaration of war, consistent with its constitutional authority under Article I, Section 8. Authorizations for the use of military force (AUMFs), executive orders, presidential statements, or military actions do not qualify unless accompanied by a formal declaration of war enacted by Congress and signed into law.
The resolution source will be a clear consensus of credible reporting.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States formally declares war on Venezuela through an act of Congress between December 15 and December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
To qualify, Congress must pass a formal declaration of war, consistent with its constitutional authority under Article I, Section 8. Authorizations for the use of military force (AUMFs), executive orders, presidential statements, or military actions do not qualify unless accompanied by a formal declaration of war enacted by Congress and signed into law.
The resolution source will be a clear consensus of credible reporting.US military forces launched targeted strikes on Caracas on January 3, 2026, capturing Venezuelan President Nicolás Maduro and his wife in an operation the Trump administration framed as law enforcement against narco-terrorism, explicitly rejecting claims of war or occupation. Congressional Democrats introduced H.Con.Res.64 and war powers resolutions to require authorization for hostilities, but Senate Republicans blocked votes in mid-January, preserving executive flexibility under the War Powers Resolution. No formal declaration of war—a rare congressional action last used in World War II—has materialized, with traders pricing low probabilities amid historical reliance on Authorizations for Use of Military Force (AUMF) or executive orders. No major developments have occurred in the past 30 days, though oversight hearings and potential diplomatic shifts could influence outcomes ahead of the market's resolution date.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States formally declares war on Venezuela through an act of Congress between December 15, 2025, and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
To qualify, Congress must pass a formal declaration of war, consistent with its constitutional authority under Article I, Section 8. Authorizations for the use of military force (AUMFs), executive orders, presidential statements, or military actions do not qualify unless accompanied by a formal declaration of war enacted by Congress and signed into law.
The resolution source will be a clear consensus of credible reporting.
To qualify, Congress must pass a formal declaration of war, consistent with its constitutional authority under Article I, Section 8. Authorizations for the use of military force (AUMFs), executive orders, presidential statements, or military actions do not qualify unless accompanied by a formal declaration of war enacted by Congress and signed into law.
The resolution source will be a clear consensus of credible reporting.
Mercato aperto: Dec 16, 2025, 2:21 PM ET
Volume
$1,236,728Data di fine
30 giu 2026Mercato aperto
Dec 16, 2025, 2:21 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States formally declares war on Venezuela through an act of Congress between December 15, 2025, and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
To qualify, Congress must pass a formal declaration of war, consistent with its constitutional authority under Article I, Section 8. Authorizations for the use of military force (AUMFs), executive orders, presidential statements, or military actions do not qualify unless accompanied by a formal declaration of war enacted by Congress and signed into law.
The resolution source will be a clear consensus of credible reporting.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States formally declares war on Venezuela through an act of Congress between December 15 and December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
To qualify, Congress must pass a formal declaration of war, consistent with its constitutional authority under Article I, Section 8. Authorizations for the use of military force (AUMFs), executive orders, presidential statements, or military actions do not qualify unless accompanied by a formal declaration of war enacted by Congress and signed into law.
The resolution source will be a clear consensus of credible reporting.US military forces launched targeted strikes on Caracas on January 3, 2026, capturing Venezuelan President Nicolás Maduro and his wife in an operation the Trump administration framed as law enforcement against narco-terrorism, explicitly rejecting claims of war or occupation. Congressional Democrats introduced H.Con.Res.64 and war powers resolutions to require authorization for hostilities, but Senate Republicans blocked votes in mid-January, preserving executive flexibility under the War Powers Resolution. No formal declaration of war—a rare congressional action last used in World War II—has materialized, with traders pricing low probabilities amid historical reliance on Authorizations for Use of Military Force (AUMF) or executive orders. No major developments have occurred in the past 30 days, though oversight hearings and potential diplomatic shifts could influence outcomes ahead of the market's resolution date.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States formally declares war on Venezuela through an act of Congress between December 15, 2025, and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
To qualify, Congress must pass a formal declaration of war, consistent with its constitutional authority under Article I, Section 8. Authorizations for the use of military force (AUMFs), executive orders, presidential statements, or military actions do not qualify unless accompanied by a formal declaration of war enacted by Congress and signed into law.
The resolution source will be a clear consensus of credible reporting.
To qualify, Congress must pass a formal declaration of war, consistent with its constitutional authority under Article I, Section 8. Authorizations for the use of military force (AUMFs), executive orders, presidential statements, or military actions do not qualify unless accompanied by a formal declaration of war enacted by Congress and signed into law.
The resolution source will be a clear consensus of credible reporting.
Volume
$1,236,728Data di fine
30 giu 2026Mercato aperto
Dec 16, 2025, 2:21 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...US military forces launched targeted strikes on Caracas on January 3, 2026, capturing Venezuelan President Nicolás Maduro and his wife in an operation the Trump administration framed as law enforcement against narco-terrorism, explicitly rejecting claims of war or occupation. Congressional Democrats introduced H.Con.Res.64 and war powers resolutions to require authorization for hostilities, but Senate Republicans blocked votes in mid-January, preserving executive flexibility under the War Powers Resolution. No formal declaration of war—a rare congressional action last used in World War II—has materialized, with traders pricing low probabilities amid historical reliance on Authorizations for Use of Military Force (AUMF) or executive orders. No major developments have occurred in the past 30 days, though oversight hearings and potential diplomatic shifts could influence outcomes ahead of the market's resolution date.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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