Republican control of the U.S. House with a slim three-seat majority remains the dominant barrier to impeachment articles advancing against President Trump before June 30, reflecting trader consensus on GOP unity under Speaker Mike Johnson. Despite recent Democratic efforts—including articles filed by Reps. Larson and DeGette on April 7 amid tensions over Iran threats, and Rep. Raskin's briefing on removal options—no committee action or bipartisan support has emerged in the past week. Historical precedent shows House majorities rarely defect on partisan impeachments, and the 119th Congress runs until January 2027. Late-breaking scandals, mass GOP defections, or unforeseen legal developments could theoretically shift dynamics, though traders price these as negligible risks.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoSì
$291,942 Vol.
$291,942 Vol.
30 giu 2026
Sì
$291,942 Vol.
$291,942 Vol.
30 giu 2026
This market will resolve to “Yes“ if the US House of Representatives by simple majority vote to approve or pass one or more articles of impeachment of President Donald Trump, by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Neither trial nor conviction by the US Senate, nor removal from office, is necessary to resolve this market to “Yes“.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the federal government of the United States, however a consensus of credible reporting will be used.Republican control of the U.S. House with a slim three-seat majority remains the dominant barrier to impeachment articles advancing against President Trump before June 30, reflecting trader consensus on GOP unity under Speaker Mike Johnson. Despite recent Democratic efforts—including articles filed by Reps. Larson and DeGette on April 7 amid tensions over Iran threats, and Rep. Raskin's briefing on removal options—no committee action or bipartisan support has emerged in the past week. Historical precedent shows House majorities rarely defect on partisan impeachments, and the 119th Congress runs until January 2027. Late-breaking scandals, mass GOP defections, or unforeseen legal developments could theoretically shift dynamics, though traders price these as negligible risks.
This market will resolve to “Yes“ if the US House of Representatives by simple majority vote to approve or pass one or more articles of impeachment of President Donald Trump, by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Neither trial nor conviction by the US Senate, nor removal from office, is necessary to resolve this market to “Yes“.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the federal government of the United States, however a consensus of credible reporting will be used.
Neither trial nor conviction by the US Senate, nor removal from office, is necessary to resolve this market to “Yes“.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the federal government of the United States, however a consensus of credible reporting will be used.
Mercato aperto: Nov 5, 2025, 11:43 AM ET
Volume
$291,942Data di fine
30 giu 2026Mercato aperto
Nov 5, 2025, 11:43 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes“ if the US House of Representatives by simple majority vote to approve or pass one or more articles of impeachment of President Donald Trump, by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Neither trial nor conviction by the US Senate, nor removal from office, is necessary to resolve this market to “Yes“.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the federal government of the United States, however a consensus of credible reporting will be used.Republican control of the U.S. House with a slim three-seat majority remains the dominant barrier to impeachment articles advancing against President Trump before June 30, reflecting trader consensus on GOP unity under Speaker Mike Johnson. Despite recent Democratic efforts—including articles filed by Reps. Larson and DeGette on April 7 amid tensions over Iran threats, and Rep. Raskin's briefing on removal options—no committee action or bipartisan support has emerged in the past week. Historical precedent shows House majorities rarely defect on partisan impeachments, and the 119th Congress runs until January 2027. Late-breaking scandals, mass GOP defections, or unforeseen legal developments could theoretically shift dynamics, though traders price these as negligible risks.
This market will resolve to “Yes“ if the US House of Representatives by simple majority vote to approve or pass one or more articles of impeachment of President Donald Trump, by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Neither trial nor conviction by the US Senate, nor removal from office, is necessary to resolve this market to “Yes“.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the federal government of the United States, however a consensus of credible reporting will be used.
Neither trial nor conviction by the US Senate, nor removal from office, is necessary to resolve this market to “Yes“.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the federal government of the United States, however a consensus of credible reporting will be used.
Volume
$291,942Data di fine
30 giu 2026Mercato aperto
Nov 5, 2025, 11:43 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Republican control of the U.S. House with a slim three-seat majority remains the dominant barrier to impeachment articles advancing against President Trump before June 30, reflecting trader consensus on GOP unity under Speaker Mike Johnson. Despite recent Democratic efforts—including articles filed by Reps. Larson and DeGette on April 7 amid tensions over Iran threats, and Rep. Raskin's briefing on removal options—no committee action or bipartisan support has emerged in the past week. Historical precedent shows House majorities rarely defect on partisan impeachments, and the 119th Congress runs until January 2027. Late-breaking scandals, mass GOP defections, or unforeseen legal developments could theoretically shift dynamics, though traders price these as negligible risks.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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