Trader consensus prices "Yes" at 87% for Donald Trump publicly insulting someone on April 16, driven by his recent escalation against Pope Leo XIV—including Truth Social posts labeling the pontiff "weak on crime and foreign policy" as late as April 13 amid Iran tensions—following an offensive AI-generated image controversy. This fits Trump's established pattern of personal attacks via social media, speeches, and interviews, seen earlier this month in mocking French President Macron's marriage, calling House Minority Leader Hakeem Jeffries "low IQ," and deeming a Fox News host a "real loser." No major speeches are scheduled today, but routine Truth Social activity and potential press interactions heighten expectations for combative rhetoric.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato$135,151 Vol.
15 apr 2026
16 aprile
92%
17 aprile
92%
18 aprile
82%
19 aprile
70%
20 aprile
73%
21 aprile
77%
22 aprile
81%
23 aprile
85%
24 aprile
81%
25 aprile
83%
26 aprile
70%
27 aprile
79%
28 aprile
71%
29 aprile
80%
30 aprile
82%
$135,151 Vol.
16 aprile
$3,513 Vol.
92%
17 aprile
$7,764 Vol.
92%
18 aprile
$4,674 Vol.
82%
19 aprile
$248 Vol.
70%
20 aprile
$920 Vol.
73%
21 aprile
$6,065 Vol.
77%
22 aprile
$3,113 Vol.
81%
23 aprile
$7,676 Vol.
85%
24 aprile
$5,872 Vol.
81%
25 aprile
$4,898 Vol.
83%
26 aprile
$2,220 Vol.
70%
27 aprile
$5,907 Vol.
79%
28 aprile
$394 Vol.
71%
29 aprile
$3,608 Vol.
80%
30 aprile
$441 Vol.
82%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump makes any public statement in which he insults, mocks, or attacks any non-fictional individual personally or professionally in a clearly negative manner on the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This includes calling the individual weak, stupid, disloyal, a failure, using an insulting nickname, using other derogatory language, or using the negative form of a positive trait in a derogatory personal way (e.g., “He/She isn’t smart”). Negative forms used in reference to the individual's professional actions, policies, or decisions (e.g., “He/She isn’t being smart about this policy”) will not count. Policy disagreements stated without disparaging language will not count.
A direct reference will qualify even if the individual is not named, so long as it is reasonably clear from context that they are the subject.
Any written, verbal, or recorded public statement by Trump qualifies.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.Trader consensus prices "Yes" at 87% for Donald Trump publicly insulting someone on April 16, driven by his recent escalation against Pope Leo XIV—including Truth Social posts labeling the pontiff "weak on crime and foreign policy" as late as April 13 amid Iran tensions—following an offensive AI-generated image controversy. This fits Trump's established pattern of personal attacks via social media, speeches, and interviews, seen earlier this month in mocking French President Macron's marriage, calling House Minority Leader Hakeem Jeffries "low IQ," and deeming a Fox News host a "real loser." No major speeches are scheduled today, but routine Truth Social activity and potential press interactions heighten expectations for combative rhetoric.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump makes any public statement in which he insults, mocks, or attacks any non-fictional individual personally or professionally in a clearly negative manner on the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This includes calling the individual weak, stupid, disloyal, a failure, using an insulting nickname, using other derogatory language, or using the negative form of a positive trait in a derogatory personal way (e.g., “He/She isn’t smart”). Negative forms used in reference to the individual's professional actions, policies, or decisions (e.g., “He/She isn’t being smart about this policy”) will not count. Policy disagreements stated without disparaging language will not count.
A direct reference will qualify even if the individual is not named, so long as it is reasonably clear from context that they are the subject.
Any written, verbal, or recorded public statement by Trump qualifies.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
This includes calling the individual weak, stupid, disloyal, a failure, using an insulting nickname, using other derogatory language, or using the negative form of a positive trait in a derogatory personal way (e.g., “He/She isn’t smart”). Negative forms used in reference to the individual's professional actions, policies, or decisions (e.g., “He/She isn’t being smart about this policy”) will not count. Policy disagreements stated without disparaging language will not count.
A direct reference will qualify even if the individual is not named, so long as it is reasonably clear from context that they are the subject.
Any written, verbal, or recorded public statement by Trump qualifies.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Mercato aperto: Apr 10, 2026, 4:58 PM ET
Volume
$135,151Data di fine
30 apr 2026Mercato aperto
Apr 10, 2026, 4:58 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Esito proposto: Sì
Nessuna contestazione
Esito finale: Sì
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump makes any public statement in which he insults, mocks, or attacks any non-fictional individual personally or professionally in a clearly negative manner on the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This includes calling the individual weak, stupid, disloyal, a failure, using an insulting nickname, using other derogatory language, or using the negative form of a positive trait in a derogatory personal way (e.g., “He/She isn’t smart”). Negative forms used in reference to the individual's professional actions, policies, or decisions (e.g., “He/She isn’t being smart about this policy”) will not count. Policy disagreements stated without disparaging language will not count.
A direct reference will qualify even if the individual is not named, so long as it is reasonably clear from context that they are the subject.
Any written, verbal, or recorded public statement by Trump qualifies.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.Trader consensus prices "Yes" at 87% for Donald Trump publicly insulting someone on April 16, driven by his recent escalation against Pope Leo XIV—including Truth Social posts labeling the pontiff "weak on crime and foreign policy" as late as April 13 amid Iran tensions—following an offensive AI-generated image controversy. This fits Trump's established pattern of personal attacks via social media, speeches, and interviews, seen earlier this month in mocking French President Macron's marriage, calling House Minority Leader Hakeem Jeffries "low IQ," and deeming a Fox News host a "real loser." No major speeches are scheduled today, but routine Truth Social activity and potential press interactions heighten expectations for combative rhetoric.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump makes any public statement in which he insults, mocks, or attacks any non-fictional individual personally or professionally in a clearly negative manner on the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This includes calling the individual weak, stupid, disloyal, a failure, using an insulting nickname, using other derogatory language, or using the negative form of a positive trait in a derogatory personal way (e.g., “He/She isn’t smart”). Negative forms used in reference to the individual's professional actions, policies, or decisions (e.g., “He/She isn’t being smart about this policy”) will not count. Policy disagreements stated without disparaging language will not count.
A direct reference will qualify even if the individual is not named, so long as it is reasonably clear from context that they are the subject.
Any written, verbal, or recorded public statement by Trump qualifies.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
This includes calling the individual weak, stupid, disloyal, a failure, using an insulting nickname, using other derogatory language, or using the negative form of a positive trait in a derogatory personal way (e.g., “He/She isn’t smart”). Negative forms used in reference to the individual's professional actions, policies, or decisions (e.g., “He/She isn’t being smart about this policy”) will not count. Policy disagreements stated without disparaging language will not count.
A direct reference will qualify even if the individual is not named, so long as it is reasonably clear from context that they are the subject.
Any written, verbal, or recorded public statement by Trump qualifies.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Volume
$135,151Data di fine
30 apr 2026Mercato aperto
Apr 10, 2026, 4:58 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Esito proposto: Sì
Nessuna contestazione
Esito finale: Sì
Trader consensus prices "Yes" at 87% for Donald Trump publicly insulting someone on April 16, driven by his recent escalation against Pope Leo XIV—including Truth Social posts labeling the pontiff "weak on crime and foreign policy" as late as April 13 amid Iran tensions—following an offensive AI-generated image controversy. This fits Trump's established pattern of personal attacks via social media, speeches, and interviews, seen earlier this month in mocking French President Macron's marriage, calling House Minority Leader Hakeem Jeffries "low IQ," and deeming a Fox News host a "real loser." No major speeches are scheduled today, but routine Truth Social activity and potential press interactions heighten expectations for combative rhetoric.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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