Trader consensus on Polymarket prices an 85.5% implied probability of no change in the Bank of Canada's policy rate at the June 10 meeting, reflecting the central bank's steady 2.25% target since October 2025, most recently held on March 18 amid balanced inflation and labor risks. February 2026 CPI eased to 1.8% year-over-year, within the 1-3% target band, while March employment added 14,000 jobs, holding unemployment at 6.7% and lifting average hourly wages 4.7% annually—signals of resilience curbing cut expectations (8.0% for 25 bps). Major bank forecasts anticipate holds through 2026, with hikes eyed for 2027; the April 29 decision looms as a key near-term catalyst.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日No change 86%
25 bps decrease 8%
Increase 7%
50+ bps decrease 3.8%
新規
新規
2026/06/10
50+ bps decrease
4%
25 bps decrease
8%
No change
86%
Increase
7%
No change 86%
25 bps decrease 8%
Increase 7%
50+ bps decrease 3.8%
新規
新規
2026/06/10
50+ bps decrease
$188 Vol.
4%
25 bps decrease
$836 Vol.
8%
No change
$3,569 Vol.
86%
Increase
$804 Vol.
7%
This market will resolve to the amount of basis points the target for the overnight rate is changed by versus the level it was prior to the Bank of Canada's June 2026 meeting.
If the target for the overnight rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 basis points and will resolve to the relevant bracket. For example, if the relevant rate is increased or decreased by 12.5 basis points, it will be treated as a 25 basis point change for the purposes of resolution.
The resolution source for this market is information released by the Bank of Canada after its June 10, 2026 policy meeting, as listed on the official Bank of Canada calendar: https://www.bankofcanada.ca/core-functions/monetary-policy/key-interest-rate/#target-dates
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Canada's statement for their June meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.Trader consensus on Polymarket prices an 85.5% implied probability of no change in the Bank of Canada's policy rate at the June 10 meeting, reflecting the central bank's steady 2.25% target since October 2025, most recently held on March 18 amid balanced inflation and labor risks. February 2026 CPI eased to 1.8% year-over-year, within the 1-3% target band, while March employment added 14,000 jobs, holding unemployment at 6.7% and lifting average hourly wages 4.7% annually—signals of resilience curbing cut expectations (8.0% for 25 bps). Major bank forecasts anticipate holds through 2026, with hikes eyed for 2027; the April 29 decision looms as a key near-term catalyst.
This market will resolve to the amount of basis points the target for the overnight rate is changed by versus the level it was prior to the Bank of Canada's June 2026 meeting.
If the target for the overnight rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 basis points and will resolve to the relevant bracket. For example, if the relevant rate is increased or decreased by 12.5 basis points, it will be treated as a 25 basis point change for the purposes of resolution.
The resolution source for this market is information released by the Bank of Canada after its June 10, 2026 policy meeting, as listed on the official Bank of Canada calendar: https://www.bankofcanada.ca/core-functions/monetary-policy/key-interest-rate/#target-dates
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Canada's statement for their June meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
If the target for the overnight rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 basis points and will resolve to the relevant bracket. For example, if the relevant rate is increased or decreased by 12.5 basis points, it will be treated as a 25 basis point change for the purposes of resolution.
The resolution source for this market is information released by the Bank of Canada after its June 10, 2026 policy meeting, as listed on the official Bank of Canada calendar: https://www.bankofcanada.ca/core-functions/monetary-policy/key-interest-rate/#target-dates
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Canada's statement for their June meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
マーケット開始日： Mar 24, 2026, 7:36 PM ET
音量
$5,397終了日
2026/06/10マーケット開始日
Mar 24, 2026, 7:36 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the amount of basis points the target for the overnight rate is changed by versus the level it was prior to the Bank of Canada's June 2026 meeting.
If the target for the overnight rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 basis points and will resolve to the relevant bracket. For example, if the relevant rate is increased or decreased by 12.5 basis points, it will be treated as a 25 basis point change for the purposes of resolution.
The resolution source for this market is information released by the Bank of Canada after its June 10, 2026 policy meeting, as listed on the official Bank of Canada calendar: https://www.bankofcanada.ca/core-functions/monetary-policy/key-interest-rate/#target-dates
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Canada's statement for their June meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.Trader consensus on Polymarket prices an 85.5% implied probability of no change in the Bank of Canada's policy rate at the June 10 meeting, reflecting the central bank's steady 2.25% target since October 2025, most recently held on March 18 amid balanced inflation and labor risks. February 2026 CPI eased to 1.8% year-over-year, within the 1-3% target band, while March employment added 14,000 jobs, holding unemployment at 6.7% and lifting average hourly wages 4.7% annually—signals of resilience curbing cut expectations (8.0% for 25 bps). Major bank forecasts anticipate holds through 2026, with hikes eyed for 2027; the April 29 decision looms as a key near-term catalyst.
This market will resolve to the amount of basis points the target for the overnight rate is changed by versus the level it was prior to the Bank of Canada's June 2026 meeting.
If the target for the overnight rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 basis points and will resolve to the relevant bracket. For example, if the relevant rate is increased or decreased by 12.5 basis points, it will be treated as a 25 basis point change for the purposes of resolution.
The resolution source for this market is information released by the Bank of Canada after its June 10, 2026 policy meeting, as listed on the official Bank of Canada calendar: https://www.bankofcanada.ca/core-functions/monetary-policy/key-interest-rate/#target-dates
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Canada's statement for their June meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
If the target for the overnight rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 basis points and will resolve to the relevant bracket. For example, if the relevant rate is increased or decreased by 12.5 basis points, it will be treated as a 25 basis point change for the purposes of resolution.
The resolution source for this market is information released by the Bank of Canada after its June 10, 2026 policy meeting, as listed on the official Bank of Canada calendar: https://www.bankofcanada.ca/core-functions/monetary-policy/key-interest-rate/#target-dates
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Canada's statement for their June meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
音量
$5,397終了日
2026/06/10マーケット開始日
Mar 24, 2026, 7:36 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket prices an 85.5% implied probability of no change in the Bank of Canada's policy rate at the June 10 meeting, reflecting the central bank's steady 2.25% target since October 2025, most recently held on March 18 amid balanced inflation and labor risks. February 2026 CPI eased to 1.8% year-over-year, within the 1-3% target band, while March employment added 14,000 jobs, holding unemployment at 6.7% and lifting average hourly wages 4.7% annually—signals of resilience curbing cut expectations (8.0% for 25 bps). Major bank forecasts anticipate holds through 2026, with hikes eyed for 2027; the April 29 decision looms as a key near-term catalyst.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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