Recent generic congressional ballot polls show Democrats leading Republicans by 7–11 points, aligning with the historical tendency for the opposition party to gain ground in midterms under a Republican administration. Economic concerns and President Trump's approval ratings in the low-to-mid 40s have reinforced this positioning ahead of November 2026. Forecasters highlight numerous competitive House districts and Senate map dynamics that favor Democratic net gains, while special election results and early fundraising trends have further supported expectations of a substantial opposition surge. Traders price these factors into the 74.5% implied probability for a blue wave outcome.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日はい
$52,969 Vol.
$52,969 Vol.
2026/11/30
はい
$52,969 Vol.
$52,969 Vol.
2026/11/30
This market will resolve to “Yes” if both of the following conditions are met as a result of the 2026 midterm elections:
- Democrats hold 218 or more seats in the House
- Democrats hold 49 or more seats in the Senate
Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market will remain open until it is confirmed that at least one of the above conditions has not been met, or until all of the above conditions have been met.
The full rules for this market can be found here:
https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/BlueWave.pdfRecent generic congressional ballot polls show Democrats leading Republicans by 7–11 points, aligning with the historical tendency for the opposition party to gain ground in midterms under a Republican administration. Economic concerns and President Trump's approval ratings in the low-to-mid 40s have reinforced this positioning ahead of November 2026. Forecasters highlight numerous competitive House districts and Senate map dynamics that favor Democratic net gains, while special election results and early fundraising trends have further supported expectations of a substantial opposition surge. Traders price these factors into the 74.5% implied probability for a blue wave outcome.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if both of the following conditions are met as a result of the 2026 midterm elections:
- Democrats hold 218 or more seats in the House
- Democrats hold 49 or more seats in the Senate
Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market will remain open until it is confirmed that at least one of the above conditions has not been met, or until all of the above conditions have been met.
The full rules for this market can be found here:
https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/BlueWave.pdf
- Democrats hold 218 or more seats in the House
- Democrats hold 49 or more seats in the Senate
Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market will remain open until it is confirmed that at least one of the above conditions has not been met, or until all of the above conditions have been met.
The full rules for this market can be found here:
https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/BlueWave.pdf
マーケット開始日： Jan 13, 2026, 7:52 PM ET
音量
$52,969終了日
2026/11/30マーケット開始日
Jan 13, 2026, 7:52 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if both of the following conditions are met as a result of the 2026 midterm elections:
- Democrats hold 218 or more seats in the House
- Democrats hold 49 or more seats in the Senate
Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market will remain open until it is confirmed that at least one of the above conditions has not been met, or until all of the above conditions have been met.
The full rules for this market can be found here:
https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/BlueWave.pdfRecent generic congressional ballot polls show Democrats leading Republicans by 7–11 points, aligning with the historical tendency for the opposition party to gain ground in midterms under a Republican administration. Economic concerns and President Trump's approval ratings in the low-to-mid 40s have reinforced this positioning ahead of November 2026. Forecasters highlight numerous competitive House districts and Senate map dynamics that favor Democratic net gains, while special election results and early fundraising trends have further supported expectations of a substantial opposition surge. Traders price these factors into the 74.5% implied probability for a blue wave outcome.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if both of the following conditions are met as a result of the 2026 midterm elections:
- Democrats hold 218 or more seats in the House
- Democrats hold 49 or more seats in the Senate
Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market will remain open until it is confirmed that at least one of the above conditions has not been met, or until all of the above conditions have been met.
The full rules for this market can be found here:
https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/BlueWave.pdf
- Democrats hold 218 or more seats in the House
- Democrats hold 49 or more seats in the Senate
Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market will remain open until it is confirmed that at least one of the above conditions has not been met, or until all of the above conditions have been met.
The full rules for this market can be found here:
https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/BlueWave.pdf
音量
$52,969終了日
2026/11/30マーケット開始日
Jan 13, 2026, 7:52 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Recent generic congressional ballot polls show Democrats leading Republicans by 7–11 points, aligning with the historical tendency for the opposition party to gain ground in midterms under a Republican administration. Economic concerns and President Trump's approval ratings in the low-to-mid 40s have reinforced this positioning ahead of November 2026. Forecasters highlight numerous competitive House districts and Senate map dynamics that favor Democratic net gains, while special election results and early fundraising trends have further supported expectations of a substantial opposition surge. Traders price these factors into the 74.5% implied probability for a blue wave outcome.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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