Recent numerical weather prediction models, including GFS and ECMWF runs, indicate a maximum temperature near 23°C for Istanbul on September 15, driven by northeast winds, increasing cloud cover, and limited daytime heating under stable high pressure. This aligns with climatological norms for mid-September, where highs typically range 22–25°C. Low precipitation chances and moderate humidity support modest warming, while model consensus shows limited spread around this value. Traders appear to weigh the most probable peak from official station observations against minor variability from local urban effects or timing of any clearing. Updated short-range forecasts tomorrow will refine the exact maximum before market resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日9月15日のイスタンブールの最高気温は？
9月15日のイスタンブールの最高気温は？
23℃ 60%
22°C 26%
24℃ 11%
21°C 4%
新規
新規
2026/09/15
18℃以下
1%
19℃
1%
20℃
2%
21°C
4%
22°C
26%
23℃
60%
24℃
11%
25°C
3%
26℃
1%
27°C
1%
28℃以上
1%
23℃ 60%
22°C 26%
24℃ 11%
21°C 4%
新規
新規
2026/09/15
18℃以下
$308 Vol.
1%
19℃
$46 Vol.
1%
20℃
$110 Vol.
2%
21°C
$36 Vol.
4%
22°C
$135 Vol.
26%
23℃
$361 Vol.
60%
24℃
$104 Vol.
11%
25°C
$86 Vol.
3%
26℃
$178 Vol.
1%
27°C
$30 Vol.
1%
28℃以上
$60 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent numerical weather prediction models, including GFS and ECMWF runs, indicate a maximum temperature near 23°C for Istanbul on September 15, driven by northeast winds, increasing cloud cover, and limited daytime heating under stable high pressure. This aligns with climatological norms for mid-September, where highs typically range 22–25°C. Low precipitation chances and moderate humidity support modest warming, while model consensus shows limited spread around this value. Traders appear to weigh the most probable peak from official station observations against minor variability from local urban effects or timing of any clearing. Updated short-range forecasts tomorrow will refine the exact maximum before market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日： Sep 13, 2026, 12:58 PM ET
音量
$1,453終了日
2026/09/15マーケット開始日
Sep 13, 2026, 12:58 PM ETリゾルバー
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent numerical weather prediction models, including GFS and ECMWF runs, indicate a maximum temperature near 23°C for Istanbul on September 15, driven by northeast winds, increasing cloud cover, and limited daytime heating under stable high pressure. This aligns with climatological norms for mid-September, where highs typically range 22–25°C. Low precipitation chances and moderate humidity support modest warming, while model consensus shows limited spread around this value. Traders appear to weigh the most probable peak from official station observations against minor variability from local urban effects or timing of any clearing. Updated short-range forecasts tomorrow will refine the exact maximum before market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
音量
$1,453終了日
2026/09/15マーケット開始日
Sep 13, 2026, 12:58 PM ETリゾルバー
0x69c47De9D...Recent numerical weather prediction models, including GFS and ECMWF runs, indicate a maximum temperature near 23°C for Istanbul on September 15, driven by northeast winds, increasing cloud cover, and limited daytime heating under stable high pressure. This aligns with climatological norms for mid-September, where highs typically range 22–25°C. Low precipitation chances and moderate humidity support modest warming, while model consensus shows limited spread around this value. Traders appear to weigh the most probable peak from official station observations against minor variability from local urban effects or timing of any clearing. Updated short-range forecasts tomorrow will refine the exact maximum before market resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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