Current numerical weather model consensus for Shenzhen on June 23 points to a daytime high near 32 °C, driven by the East Asian monsoon’s warm, moist southwesterly flow under a subtropical high-pressure ridge. Recent regional heavy rainfall and elevated sea-surface temperatures have increased atmospheric humidity and cloud cover, which can suppress peak readings by 1–2 °C through reduced insolation or brief showers, while clearer intervals or stronger solar heating could push values toward 33–34 °C. Historical June climatology shows averages of 31–32 °C, but early-season heat anomalies and variable steering patterns introduce modest uncertainty reflected in the closely bunched market-implied odds between 31 °C and 33 °C.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日Highest temperature in Shenzhen on June 23?
Highest temperature in Shenzhen on June 23?
34°C 100.0%
26°C or below <1%
27°C <1%
28°C <1%
$85,102 Vol.
$85,102 Vol.
2026/06/23
26°C or below
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C
No
33°C
No
34°C
Yes
35°C
No
36°C or higher
No
34°C 100.0%
26°C or below <1%
27°C <1%
28°C <1%
$85,102 Vol.
$85,102 Vol.
2026/06/23
26°C or below
$286 Vol.
No
27°C
$293 Vol.
No
28°C
$286 Vol.
No
29°C
$1,951 Vol.
No
30°C
$2,024 Vol.
No
31°C
$6,549 Vol.
No
32°C
$18,752 Vol.
No
33°C
$28,137 Vol.
No
34°C
$9,998 Vol.
Yes
35°C
$9,015 Vol.
No
36°C or higher
$7,811 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current numerical weather model consensus for Shenzhen on June 23 points to a daytime high near 32 °C, driven by the East Asian monsoon’s warm, moist southwesterly flow under a subtropical high-pressure ridge. Recent regional heavy rainfall and elevated sea-surface temperatures have increased atmospheric humidity and cloud cover, which can suppress peak readings by 1–2 °C through reduced insolation or brief showers, while clearer intervals or stronger solar heating could push values toward 33–34 °C. Historical June climatology shows averages of 31–32 °C, but early-season heat anomalies and variable steering patterns introduce modest uncertainty reflected in the closely bunched market-implied odds between 31 °C and 33 °C.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日： Jun 21, 2026, 12:09 AM ET
音量
$85,102終了日
2026/06/23マーケット開始日
Jun 21, 2026, 12:09 AM ET提案された結果: No
異議申し立てなし
最終結果: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current numerical weather model consensus for Shenzhen on June 23 points to a daytime high near 32 °C, driven by the East Asian monsoon’s warm, moist southwesterly flow under a subtropical high-pressure ridge. Recent regional heavy rainfall and elevated sea-surface temperatures have increased atmospheric humidity and cloud cover, which can suppress peak readings by 1–2 °C through reduced insolation or brief showers, while clearer intervals or stronger solar heating could push values toward 33–34 °C. Historical June climatology shows averages of 31–32 °C, but early-season heat anomalies and variable steering patterns introduce modest uncertainty reflected in the closely bunched market-implied odds between 31 °C and 33 °C.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
音量
$85,102終了日
2026/06/23マーケット開始日
Jun 21, 2026, 12:09 AM ET提案された結果: No
異議申し立てなし
最終結果: No
Current numerical weather model consensus for Shenzhen on June 23 points to a daytime high near 32 °C, driven by the East Asian monsoon’s warm, moist southwesterly flow under a subtropical high-pressure ridge. Recent regional heavy rainfall and elevated sea-surface temperatures have increased atmospheric humidity and cloud cover, which can suppress peak readings by 1–2 °C through reduced insolation or brief showers, while clearer intervals or stronger solar heating could push values toward 33–34 °C. Historical June climatology shows averages of 31–32 °C, but early-season heat anomalies and variable steering patterns introduce modest uncertainty reflected in the closely bunched market-implied odds between 31 °C and 33 °C.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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