Current forecasts from multiple models point to Beijing's September 15 overnight low settling in the 17–20°C range under clear skies, light southerly winds, and high pressure favoring moderate radiative cooling after daytime highs near 28–30°C. Trader consensus splits evenly between sub-10°C and 19°C+ outcomes because small shifts in dew points, wind speed, or cloud cover during the final nocturnal hours can swing the minimum by several degrees, consistent with historical September variability where daily lows have ranged from 7.6°C to over 22°C. Upcoming evening model runs and surface observations will likely narrow the distribution ahead of resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日9月15日の北京の最低気温は？
9月15日の北京の最低気温は？
9℃以下 64%
19℃以上 64%
18℃ 37%
14℃ 29%
新規
新規
2026/09/15
9℃以下
64%
10℃
5%
11℃
5%
12°C
22%
13℃
22%
14℃
29%
15℃
22%
16℃
22%
17℃
19%
18℃
37%
19℃以上
64%
9℃以下 64%
19℃以上 64%
18℃ 37%
14℃ 29%
新規
新規
2026/09/15
9℃以下
$10 Vol.
64%
10℃
$0 Vol.
5%
11℃
$0 Vol.
5%
12°C
$0 Vol.
22%
13℃
$0 Vol.
22%
14℃
$0 Vol.
29%
15℃
$0 Vol.
22%
16℃
$0 Vol.
22%
17℃
$50 Vol.
19%
18℃
$10 Vol.
37%
19℃以上
$10 Vol.
64%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from multiple models point to Beijing's September 15 overnight low settling in the 17–20°C range under clear skies, light southerly winds, and high pressure favoring moderate radiative cooling after daytime highs near 28–30°C. Trader consensus splits evenly between sub-10°C and 19°C+ outcomes because small shifts in dew points, wind speed, or cloud cover during the final nocturnal hours can swing the minimum by several degrees, consistent with historical September variability where daily lows have ranged from 7.6°C to over 22°C. Upcoming evening model runs and surface observations will likely narrow the distribution ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日： Sep 13, 2026, 1:31 PM ET
音量
$80終了日
2026/09/15マーケット開始日
Sep 13, 2026, 1:31 PM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from multiple models point to Beijing's September 15 overnight low settling in the 17–20°C range under clear skies, light southerly winds, and high pressure favoring moderate radiative cooling after daytime highs near 28–30°C. Trader consensus splits evenly between sub-10°C and 19°C+ outcomes because small shifts in dew points, wind speed, or cloud cover during the final nocturnal hours can swing the minimum by several degrees, consistent with historical September variability where daily lows have ranged from 7.6°C to over 22°C. Upcoming evening model runs and surface observations will likely narrow the distribution ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
音量
$80終了日
2026/09/15マーケット開始日
Sep 13, 2026, 1:31 PM ETCurrent forecasts from multiple models point to Beijing's September 15 overnight low settling in the 17–20°C range under clear skies, light southerly winds, and high pressure favoring moderate radiative cooling after daytime highs near 28–30°C. Trader consensus splits evenly between sub-10°C and 19°C+ outcomes because small shifts in dew points, wind speed, or cloud cover during the final nocturnal hours can swing the minimum by several degrees, consistent with historical September variability where daily lows have ranged from 7.6°C to over 22°C. Upcoming evening model runs and surface observations will likely narrow the distribution ahead of resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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