**Current numerical weather prediction models, including those from agencies like the Korea Meteorological Administration, indicate overnight lows for Busan on August 30 near 25–26°C amid ongoing humid conditions and scattered thunderstorm activity.** This aligns with the closely bunched market probabilities, where 22°C or below leads modestly at 38% but outcomes from 23–26°C cluster tightly, reflecting trader assessment of forecast spread rather than a single deterministic outcome. High humidity (often 85–92%) and cloud cover limit radiative cooling after sunset, as water vapor and clouds trap heat near the surface. Light southwesterly winds further moderate temperature drops. Any breaks in cloudiness or reduced precipitation could allow slightly greater cooling toward the lower end of the distribution, consistent with historical August minima averaging 23–24°C. Conversely, persistent storms or marine influence from the nearby sea tend to hold minima above 25°C. Resolution hinges on the precise timing of any overnight clearing versus ongoing convective activity, with updated model runs and local observations expected to refine the range before the daily minimum is recorded.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日8月30日の釜山の最低気温は?
22°C or below 76%
25°C 30%
26°C 27%
23°C 26%
22°C or below
76%
23°C
26%
24°C
25%
25°C
30%
26°C
27%
27°C
26%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C or higher
<1%
22°C or below 76%
25°C 30%
26°C 27%
23°C 26%
22°C or below
76%
23°C
26%
24°C
25%
25°C
30%
26°C
27%
27°C
26%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rkpk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日: Aug 28, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rkpk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
**Current numerical weather prediction models, including those from agencies like the Korea Meteorological Administration, indicate overnight lows for Busan on August 30 near 25–26°C amid ongoing humid conditions and scattered thunderstorm activity.** This aligns with the closely bunched market probabilities, where 22°C or below leads modestly at 38% but outcomes from 23–26°C cluster tightly, reflecting trader assessment of forecast spread rather than a single deterministic outcome. High humidity (often 85–92%) and cloud cover limit radiative cooling after sunset, as water vapor and clouds trap heat near the surface. Light southwesterly winds further moderate temperature drops. Any breaks in cloudiness or reduced precipitation could allow slightly greater cooling toward the lower end of the distribution, consistent with historical August minima averaging 23–24°C. Conversely, persistent storms or marine influence from the nearby sea tend to hold minima above 25°C. Resolution hinges on the precise timing of any overnight clearing versus ongoing convective activity, with updated model runs and local observations expected to refine the range before the daily minimum is recorded.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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