Forecast models from the National Weather Service and NOAA consensus point to a minimum temperature in Chicago on August 28 near 64–66°F under clear to partly cloudy skies and light southerly winds. Stable high pressure and a mild air mass with dew points in the upper 50s to low 60s are limiting radiational cooling overnight, while recent observations from O’Hare show similar overnight lows in the mid-60s amid comparable conditions. Trader-implied odds clustered in the 60–65°F range reflect model agreement on these factors, with modest divergence possible if evening cloud cover increases or winds remain calm enough for additional cooling toward the lower end of the range. Updated NWS guidance and morning model runs on August 28 will provide the final data for resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日8月28日のシカゴの最低気温は?
74°F or higher 47%
62-63°F 35%
64-65°F 35%
60-61°F 27%
55°F or below
26%
56-57°F
25%
58-59°F
25%
60-61°F
27%
62-63°F
35%
64-65°F
35%
66-67°F
25%
68-69°F
25%
70-71°F
15%
72-73°F
13%
74°F or higher
47%
74°F or higher 47%
62-63°F 35%
64-65°F 35%
60-61°F 27%
55°F or below
26%
56-57°F
25%
58-59°F
25%
60-61°F
27%
62-63°F
35%
64-65°F
35%
66-67°F
25%
68-69°F
25%
70-71°F
15%
72-73°F
13%
74°F or higher
47%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日: Aug 26, 2026, 9:29 PM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Forecast models from the National Weather Service and NOAA consensus point to a minimum temperature in Chicago on August 28 near 64–66°F under clear to partly cloudy skies and light southerly winds. Stable high pressure and a mild air mass with dew points in the upper 50s to low 60s are limiting radiational cooling overnight, while recent observations from O’Hare show similar overnight lows in the mid-60s amid comparable conditions. Trader-implied odds clustered in the 60–65°F range reflect model agreement on these factors, with modest divergence possible if evening cloud cover increases or winds remain calm enough for additional cooling toward the lower end of the range. Updated NWS guidance and morning model runs on August 28 will provide the final data for resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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