Recent meteorological forecasts from models including the Met Office and ECMWF indicate London’s overnight minimum on June 5 will register near 12°C under stable high-pressure conditions with light winds and limited cloud cover, aligning with early-June climatological norms of 10–13°C lows. This consensus has produced the market’s overwhelming 99.8% implied probability for exactly 12°C, reflecting traders’ assessment of verified observational data and minimal model spread. A realistic challenge would require an unexpected late-night radiative cooling event or rapid frontal passage that drops readings to 11°C or below, though current guidance shows no such shift before resolution at noon UTC.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日6月5日のロンドンの最低気温は？
6月5日のロンドンの最低気温は？
12°C 100.0%
6℃以下 <1%
7℃ <1%
8°C <1%
$36,837 Vol.
$36,837 Vol.
2026/06/05
6℃以下
いいえ
7℃
いいえ
8°C
いいえ
9°C
いいえ
10℃
いいえ
11°C
いいえ
12°C
はい
13°C
いいえ
14℃
いいえ
15°C
いいえ
16°C以上
いいえ
12°C 100.0%
6℃以下 <1%
7℃ <1%
8°C <1%
$36,837 Vol.
$36,837 Vol.
2026/06/05
6℃以下
$3,645 Vol.
いいえ
7℃
$469 Vol.
いいえ
8°C
$1,077 Vol.
いいえ
9°C
$6,807 Vol.
いいえ
10℃
$3,171 Vol.
いいえ
11°C
$2,013 Vol.
いいえ
12°C
$5,179 Vol.
はい
13°C
$3,518 Vol.
いいえ
14℃
$1,592 Vol.
いいえ
15°C
$2,939 Vol.
いいえ
16°C以上
$6,425 Vol.
いいえ
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent meteorological forecasts from models including the Met Office and ECMWF indicate London’s overnight minimum on June 5 will register near 12°C under stable high-pressure conditions with light winds and limited cloud cover, aligning with early-June climatological norms of 10–13°C lows. This consensus has produced the market’s overwhelming 99.8% implied probability for exactly 12°C, reflecting traders’ assessment of verified observational data and minimal model spread. A realistic challenge would require an unexpected late-night radiative cooling event or rapid frontal passage that drops readings to 11°C or below, though current guidance shows no such shift before resolution at noon UTC.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日： Jun 3, 2026, 12:38 AM ET
音量
$36,837終了日
2026/06/05マーケット開始日
Jun 3, 2026, 12:38 AM ET提案された結果: いいえ
異議申し立てなし
最終結果: いいえ
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent meteorological forecasts from models including the Met Office and ECMWF indicate London’s overnight minimum on June 5 will register near 12°C under stable high-pressure conditions with light winds and limited cloud cover, aligning with early-June climatological norms of 10–13°C lows. This consensus has produced the market’s overwhelming 99.8% implied probability for exactly 12°C, reflecting traders’ assessment of verified observational data and minimal model spread. A realistic challenge would require an unexpected late-night radiative cooling event or rapid frontal passage that drops readings to 11°C or below, though current guidance shows no such shift before resolution at noon UTC.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
音量
$36,837終了日
2026/06/05マーケット開始日
Jun 3, 2026, 12:38 AM ET提案された結果: いいえ
異議申し立てなし
最終結果: いいえ
Recent meteorological forecasts from models including the Met Office and ECMWF indicate London’s overnight minimum on June 5 will register near 12°C under stable high-pressure conditions with light winds and limited cloud cover, aligning with early-June climatological norms of 10–13°C lows. This consensus has produced the market’s overwhelming 99.8% implied probability for exactly 12°C, reflecting traders’ assessment of verified observational data and minimal model spread. A realistic challenge would require an unexpected late-night radiative cooling event or rapid frontal passage that drops readings to 11°C or below, though current guidance shows no such shift before resolution at noon UTC.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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