Monsoon conditions over Lucknow on August 29 feature high humidity near 90% and frequent cloud cover from active southwest monsoon flow, which limits nocturnal radiative cooling and keeps overnight lows from dropping sharply. Official forecasts from IMD and other models indicate a minimum near 27°C, consistent with recent observations of 26.6°C on August 28 and typical August baselines around 25–27°C. The tight clustering of market-implied odds between 25°C and 27°C reflects uncertainty in exact rainfall timing and convective cloud persistence, which can either enhance or suppress cooling by a degree or two depending on storm timing and wind patterns. Updated model runs and official minimum readings will resolve the outcome.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日8月29日のラクナウの最低気温は?
26°C 41%
25°C 40%
23°C 20%
24°C 14%
22°C or below
6%
23°C
20%
24°C
14%
25°C
40%
26°C
41%
27°C
45%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C or higher
<1%
26°C 41%
25°C 40%
23°C 20%
24°C 14%
22°C or below
6%
23°C
20%
24°C
14%
25°C
40%
26°C
41%
27°C
45%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日: Aug 27, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Monsoon conditions over Lucknow on August 29 feature high humidity near 90% and frequent cloud cover from active southwest monsoon flow, which limits nocturnal radiative cooling and keeps overnight lows from dropping sharply. Official forecasts from IMD and other models indicate a minimum near 27°C, consistent with recent observations of 26.6°C on August 28 and typical August baselines around 25–27°C. The tight clustering of market-implied odds between 25°C and 27°C reflects uncertainty in exact rainfall timing and convective cloud persistence, which can either enhance or suppress cooling by a degree or two depending on storm timing and wind patterns. Updated model runs and official minimum readings will resolve the outcome.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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