**Forecast consensus from IMD and international models points to a minimum temperature of 26–28°C in Lucknow on August 30, aligning with the market’s clustered probabilities around those outcomes.** Persistent southwest monsoon conditions, including a low-pressure area over northeast Uttar Pradesh and scattered thundershowers, maintain high humidity (often 80–94%) and cloud cover that limits nocturnal radiative cooling. Recent observations show overnight lows near 27°C with minimal day-to-day change, while light winds and elevated dew points further suppress temperature drops. These factors create a narrow range where 27°C holds the edge in trader sentiment, though slight variations in rainfall timing or model runs could shift the exact minimum recorded at the official station.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日8月30日のラクナウの最低気温は?
27°C 50%
24°C 48%
25°C 48%
29°C 48%
21°C or below
1%
22°C
13%
23°C
22%
24°C
48%
25°C
48%
26°C
30%
27°C
38%
28°C
27%
29°C
48%
30°C
8%
31°C or higher
4%
27°C 50%
24°C 48%
25°C 48%
29°C 48%
21°C or below
1%
22°C
13%
23°C
22%
24°C
48%
25°C
48%
26°C
30%
27°C
38%
28°C
27%
29°C
48%
30°C
8%
31°C or higher
4%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日: Aug 28, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
**Forecast consensus from IMD and international models points to a minimum temperature of 26–28°C in Lucknow on August 30, aligning with the market’s clustered probabilities around those outcomes.** Persistent southwest monsoon conditions, including a low-pressure area over northeast Uttar Pradesh and scattered thundershowers, maintain high humidity (often 80–94%) and cloud cover that limits nocturnal radiative cooling. Recent observations show overnight lows near 27°C with minimal day-to-day change, while light winds and elevated dew points further suppress temperature drops. These factors create a narrow range where 27°C holds the edge in trader sentiment, though slight variations in rainfall timing or model runs could shift the exact minimum recorded at the official station.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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