Recent forecasts from European models indicate the lowest temperature in Munich on September 9 will likely settle between 12–13°C, driven by persistent cloud cover and light rain that limited nocturnal radiative cooling. High humidity near 80–90% and light southwesterly winds kept dew points elevated around 10°C, preventing sharper drops typical under clear skies. This aligns with the historical average low of 11°C for the date while current surface observations show overnight readings stabilizing near 11–12°C. Traders weigh these stable conditions against potential model revisions as the final minimum is recorded, with 12°C and 13°C outcomes commanding nearly equal implied probabilities due to narrow uncertainty in the temperature trajectory.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日9月9日のミュンヘンの最低気温は?
13°C 99.5%
8°C以下 <1%
9℃ <1%
10°C <1%
$1,480 Vol.
$1,480 Vol.
8°C以下
いいえ
9℃
いいえ
10°C
いいえ
11℃
いいえ
12°C
いいえ
13°C
はい
14°C
いいえ
15℃
いいえ
16℃
いいえ
17°C
いいえ
18℃以上
いいえ
13°C 99.5%
8°C以下 <1%
9℃ <1%
10°C <1%
$1,480 Vol.
$1,480 Vol.
8°C以下
いいえ
9℃
いいえ
10°C
いいえ
11℃
いいえ
12°C
いいえ
13°C
はい
14°C
いいえ
15℃
いいえ
16℃
いいえ
17°C
いいえ
18℃以上
いいえ
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日: Sep 7, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
提案された結果: いいえ
異議申し立てなし
最終結果: いいえ
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
提案された結果: いいえ
異議申し立てなし
最終結果: いいえ
Recent forecasts from European models indicate the lowest temperature in Munich on September 9 will likely settle between 12–13°C, driven by persistent cloud cover and light rain that limited nocturnal radiative cooling. High humidity near 80–90% and light southwesterly winds kept dew points elevated around 10°C, preventing sharper drops typical under clear skies. This aligns with the historical average low of 11°C for the date while current surface observations show overnight readings stabilizing near 11–12°C. Traders weigh these stable conditions against potential model revisions as the final minimum is recorded, with 12°C and 13°C outcomes commanding nearly equal implied probabilities due to narrow uncertainty in the temperature trajectory.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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外部リンクに注意してください。
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