Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate clear skies and light northeast winds over Qingdao on September 3, promoting strong radiative cooling overnight after daytime highs near 29–31°C. This setup favors a minimum near 19–22°C under stable high pressure, yet the near-even split between 14°C-or-below (49.5%) and 15°C (44.0%) reflects model spread in boundary-layer mixing and exact wind speeds during the pre-dawn hours. Northerly flow from cooler continental air masses could enhance cooling if winds remain light, while slightly stronger advection or residual moisture would limit the drop. Updated short-range runs tonight will clarify whether the minimum crosses the 15°C threshold.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日9月3日の青島の最低気温は?
14℃以下 50%
15℃ 44%
16℃ <1%
17℃ <1%
14℃以下
50%
15℃
44%
16℃
<1%
17℃
<1%
18℃
<1%
19℃
<1%
20°C
<1%
21℃
<1%
22°C
<1%
23℃
<1%
24℃以上
<1%
14℃以下 50%
15℃ 44%
16℃ <1%
17℃ <1%
14℃以下
50%
15℃
44%
16℃
<1%
17℃
<1%
18℃
<1%
19℃
<1%
20°C
<1%
21℃
<1%
22°C
<1%
23℃
<1%
24℃以上
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日: Sep 1, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate clear skies and light northeast winds over Qingdao on September 3, promoting strong radiative cooling overnight after daytime highs near 29–31°C. This setup favors a minimum near 19–22°C under stable high pressure, yet the near-even split between 14°C-or-below (49.5%) and 15°C (44.0%) reflects model spread in boundary-layer mixing and exact wind speeds during the pre-dawn hours. Northerly flow from cooler continental air masses could enhance cooling if winds remain light, while slightly stronger advection or residual moisture would limit the drop. Updated short-range runs tonight will clarify whether the minimum crosses the 15°C threshold.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
外部リンクに注意してください。
外部リンクに注意してください。
よくある質問