No BRICS member has issued a formal withdrawal notice or public signal of intent to exit in 2026, sustaining trader consensus around the 94% implied probability for "No." All ten full members attended the May foreign ministers meeting in New Delhi under India's chairmanship despite internal divisions over the Iran conflict and West Asia developments that blocked a joint statement. External pressures such as U.S. tariff policies and prior accession reversals like Argentina's have not triggered leadership shifts or policy reversals among current participants. Ongoing applications for partner status and preparations for the September summit in New Delhi further reflect bloc continuity rather than fragmentation.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日ある国は2026年にBRICSから離脱するでしょうか？
ある国は2026年にBRICSから離脱するでしょうか？
はい
6% 確率
$76,430 Vol.
$76,430 Vol.
2026/12/31
はい
6% 確率
$76,430 Vol.
$76,430 Vol.
2026/12/31
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any member state formally withdraws from BRICS or provides an official notice of denunciation to BRICS between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A notice of denunciation refers to the submission of a notice of withdrawal.
The resolution source will be official information from the relevant government and BRICS; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.No BRICS member has issued a formal withdrawal notice or public signal of intent to exit in 2026, sustaining trader consensus around the 94% implied probability for "No." All ten full members attended the May foreign ministers meeting in New Delhi under India's chairmanship despite internal divisions over the Iran conflict and West Asia developments that blocked a joint statement. External pressures such as U.S. tariff policies and prior accession reversals like Argentina's have not triggered leadership shifts or policy reversals among current participants. Ongoing applications for partner status and preparations for the September summit in New Delhi further reflect bloc continuity rather than fragmentation.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any member state formally withdraws from BRICS or provides an official notice of denunciation to BRICS between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A notice of denunciation refers to the submission of a notice of withdrawal.
The resolution source will be official information from the relevant government and BRICS; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
A notice of denunciation refers to the submission of a notice of withdrawal.
The resolution source will be official information from the relevant government and BRICS; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
マーケット開始日： Jan 7, 2026, 5:10 PM ET
音量
$76,430終了日
2027/01/01マーケット開始日
Jan 7, 2026, 5:10 PM ETリゾルバー
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if any member state formally withdraws from BRICS or provides an official notice of denunciation to BRICS between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A notice of denunciation refers to the submission of a notice of withdrawal.
The resolution source will be official information from the relevant government and BRICS; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.No BRICS member has issued a formal withdrawal notice or public signal of intent to exit in 2026, sustaining trader consensus around the 94% implied probability for "No." All ten full members attended the May foreign ministers meeting in New Delhi under India's chairmanship despite internal divisions over the Iran conflict and West Asia developments that blocked a joint statement. External pressures such as U.S. tariff policies and prior accession reversals like Argentina's have not triggered leadership shifts or policy reversals among current participants. Ongoing applications for partner status and preparations for the September summit in New Delhi further reflect bloc continuity rather than fragmentation.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any member state formally withdraws from BRICS or provides an official notice of denunciation to BRICS between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A notice of denunciation refers to the submission of a notice of withdrawal.
The resolution source will be official information from the relevant government and BRICS; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
A notice of denunciation refers to the submission of a notice of withdrawal.
The resolution source will be official information from the relevant government and BRICS; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
音量
$76,430終了日
2027/01/01マーケット開始日
Jan 7, 2026, 5:10 PM ETリゾルバー
0x65070BE91...No BRICS member has issued a formal withdrawal notice or public signal of intent to exit in 2026, sustaining trader consensus around the 94% implied probability for "No." All ten full members attended the May foreign ministers meeting in New Delhi under India's chairmanship despite internal divisions over the Iran conflict and West Asia developments that blocked a joint statement. External pressures such as U.S. tariff policies and prior accession reversals like Argentina's have not triggered leadership shifts or policy reversals among current participants. Ongoing applications for partner status and preparations for the September summit in New Delhi further reflect bloc continuity rather than fragmentation.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
外部リンクに注意してください。
外部リンクに注意してください。
よくある質問