Recent UC Berkeley Institute of Governmental Studies polling from early March shows the California Voter ID Initiative trailing narrowly at 44% support versus 45% opposition among registered voters, with 12% undecided, reflecting deep partisan divides in the Democratic-leaning state. Democratic leaders and voting rights groups like the ACLU and League of Women Voters launched opposition campaigns in March, vowing to highlight potential barriers for mail-in, disabled, and minority voters. While Reform California reported sky-high signature validity rates on April 2—positioning the constitutional amendment for likely November 2026 ballot qualification by the June 25 deadline—trader consensus at 65.5% against passage anticipates strong Democratic turnout and messaging to sway independents and low-propensity voters.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트신규
신규
2026.11.03
신규
신규
2026.11.03
The California voter ID initiative is a proposed statewide ballot measure for the California general election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026, which would require voters to present government-issued identification in California elections.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the voter identification initiative proposed by Reform California or any other statewide ballot measure that establishes a voter ID requirement for voting in California elections is approved by a majority of voters at the California statewide general election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
If by the last legally operative deadline for placing measures on the November 3, 2026 statewide ballot, including any deadline set or modified by statute governing the initiative qualification process, no qualifying voter identification initiative has been approved for submission to voters, and there is no enacted statute or pending court order that could still place such a measure on that ballot, the market will resolve “No”.
If the election is officially rescheduled, the same rule applies to the new ballot and its corresponding deadlines.
The resolution source will be based on the official certified results of the vote as published by the California Secretary of State. Subsequent litigation, administrative challenges, or failure of any post-approval triggers will not be considered.Recent UC Berkeley Institute of Governmental Studies polling from early March shows the California Voter ID Initiative trailing narrowly at 44% support versus 45% opposition among registered voters, with 12% undecided, reflecting deep partisan divides in the Democratic-leaning state. Democratic leaders and voting rights groups like the ACLU and League of Women Voters launched opposition campaigns in March, vowing to highlight potential barriers for mail-in, disabled, and minority voters. While Reform California reported sky-high signature validity rates on April 2—positioning the constitutional amendment for likely November 2026 ballot qualification by the June 25 deadline—trader consensus at 65.5% against passage anticipates strong Democratic turnout and messaging to sway independents and low-propensity voters.
The California voter ID initiative is a proposed statewide ballot measure for the California general election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026, which would require voters to present government-issued identification in California elections.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the voter identification initiative proposed by Reform California or any other statewide ballot measure that establishes a voter ID requirement for voting in California elections is approved by a majority of voters at the California statewide general election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
If by the last legally operative deadline for placing measures on the November 3, 2026 statewide ballot, including any deadline set or modified by statute governing the initiative qualification process, no qualifying voter identification initiative has been approved for submission to voters, and there is no enacted statute or pending court order that could still place such a measure on that ballot, the market will resolve “No”.
If the election is officially rescheduled, the same rule applies to the new ballot and its corresponding deadlines.
The resolution source will be based on the official certified results of the vote as published by the California Secretary of State. Subsequent litigation, administrative challenges, or failure of any post-approval triggers will not be considered.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the voter identification initiative proposed by Reform California or any other statewide ballot measure that establishes a voter ID requirement for voting in California elections is approved by a majority of voters at the California statewide general election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
If by the last legally operative deadline for placing measures on the November 3, 2026 statewide ballot, including any deadline set or modified by statute governing the initiative qualification process, no qualifying voter identification initiative has been approved for submission to voters, and there is no enacted statute or pending court order that could still place such a measure on that ballot, the market will resolve “No”.
If the election is officially rescheduled, the same rule applies to the new ballot and its corresponding deadlines.
The resolution source will be based on the official certified results of the vote as published by the California Secretary of State. Subsequent litigation, administrative challenges, or failure of any post-approval triggers will not be considered.
마켓 개설일: Mar 16, 2026, 6:02 PM ET
거래량
$6,452종료일
2026.11.03마켓 개설일
Mar 16, 2026, 6:02 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...The California voter ID initiative is a proposed statewide ballot measure for the California general election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026, which would require voters to present government-issued identification in California elections.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the voter identification initiative proposed by Reform California or any other statewide ballot measure that establishes a voter ID requirement for voting in California elections is approved by a majority of voters at the California statewide general election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
If by the last legally operative deadline for placing measures on the November 3, 2026 statewide ballot, including any deadline set or modified by statute governing the initiative qualification process, no qualifying voter identification initiative has been approved for submission to voters, and there is no enacted statute or pending court order that could still place such a measure on that ballot, the market will resolve “No”.
If the election is officially rescheduled, the same rule applies to the new ballot and its corresponding deadlines.
The resolution source will be based on the official certified results of the vote as published by the California Secretary of State. Subsequent litigation, administrative challenges, or failure of any post-approval triggers will not be considered.Recent UC Berkeley Institute of Governmental Studies polling from early March shows the California Voter ID Initiative trailing narrowly at 44% support versus 45% opposition among registered voters, with 12% undecided, reflecting deep partisan divides in the Democratic-leaning state. Democratic leaders and voting rights groups like the ACLU and League of Women Voters launched opposition campaigns in March, vowing to highlight potential barriers for mail-in, disabled, and minority voters. While Reform California reported sky-high signature validity rates on April 2—positioning the constitutional amendment for likely November 2026 ballot qualification by the June 25 deadline—trader consensus at 65.5% against passage anticipates strong Democratic turnout and messaging to sway independents and low-propensity voters.
The California voter ID initiative is a proposed statewide ballot measure for the California general election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026, which would require voters to present government-issued identification in California elections.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the voter identification initiative proposed by Reform California or any other statewide ballot measure that establishes a voter ID requirement for voting in California elections is approved by a majority of voters at the California statewide general election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
If by the last legally operative deadline for placing measures on the November 3, 2026 statewide ballot, including any deadline set or modified by statute governing the initiative qualification process, no qualifying voter identification initiative has been approved for submission to voters, and there is no enacted statute or pending court order that could still place such a measure on that ballot, the market will resolve “No”.
If the election is officially rescheduled, the same rule applies to the new ballot and its corresponding deadlines.
The resolution source will be based on the official certified results of the vote as published by the California Secretary of State. Subsequent litigation, administrative challenges, or failure of any post-approval triggers will not be considered.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the voter identification initiative proposed by Reform California or any other statewide ballot measure that establishes a voter ID requirement for voting in California elections is approved by a majority of voters at the California statewide general election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
If by the last legally operative deadline for placing measures on the November 3, 2026 statewide ballot, including any deadline set or modified by statute governing the initiative qualification process, no qualifying voter identification initiative has been approved for submission to voters, and there is no enacted statute or pending court order that could still place such a measure on that ballot, the market will resolve “No”.
If the election is officially rescheduled, the same rule applies to the new ballot and its corresponding deadlines.
The resolution source will be based on the official certified results of the vote as published by the California Secretary of State. Subsequent litigation, administrative challenges, or failure of any post-approval triggers will not be considered.
거래량
$6,452종료일
2026.11.03마켓 개설일
Mar 16, 2026, 6:02 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Recent UC Berkeley Institute of Governmental Studies polling from early March shows the California Voter ID Initiative trailing narrowly at 44% support versus 45% opposition among registered voters, with 12% undecided, reflecting deep partisan divides in the Democratic-leaning state. Democratic leaders and voting rights groups like the ACLU and League of Women Voters launched opposition campaigns in March, vowing to highlight potential barriers for mail-in, disabled, and minority voters. While Reform California reported sky-high signature validity rates on April 2—positioning the constitutional amendment for likely November 2026 ballot qualification by the June 25 deadline—trader consensus at 65.5% against passage anticipates strong Democratic turnout and messaging to sway independents and low-propensity voters.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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