Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a 47.5% implied probability for Seoul's highest temperature reaching 24°C or higher on April 19, reflecting Korea Meteorological Administration (KMA) short-range forecasts and ensemble model runs from GFS and ECMWF projecting daytime highs near 23-25°C under persistent high pressure and southerly winds advecting warm air masses. This follows an unusually warm spell, with KMA observations confirming 27.3°C on April 16—well above the mid-April climatological average of 18°C—amid spring 2026 temperature anomalies exceeding +5°C regionally. Uncertainty persists due to 2-3°C spreads in model guidance, potential cloud cover variations, and diurnal solar heating effects; key updates include KMA's twice-daily short-range revisions and April 18 observations that could refine land surface conditions.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트4월 19일 서울에서 가장 높은 기온?
4월 19일 서울에서 가장 높은 기온?
24°C 이상 46%
23°C 20%
22°C 15%
21°C 10%
신규
$19,889 거래량
신규
$19,889 거래량
2026.04.19
14°C 이하
1%
15°C
2%
16°C
2%
17°C
3%
18°C
2%
19°C
2%
20°C
6%
21°C
10%
22°C
15%
23°C
20%
24°C 이상
46%
24°C 이상 46%
23°C 20%
22°C 15%
21°C 10%
신규
$19,889 거래량
신규
$19,889 거래량
2026.04.19
14°C 이하
$2,249 거래량
1%
15°C
$4,340 거래량
2%
16°C
$3,145 거래량
2%
17°C
$1,397 거래량
3%
18°C
$2,017 거래량
2%
19°C
$1,427 거래량
2%
20°C
$1,221 거래량
6%
21°C
$849 거래량
10%
22°C
$716 거래량
15%
23°C
$759 거래량
20%
24°C 이상
$1,842 거래량
46%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a 47.5% implied probability for Seoul's highest temperature reaching 24°C or higher on April 19, reflecting Korea Meteorological Administration (KMA) short-range forecasts and ensemble model runs from GFS and ECMWF projecting daytime highs near 23-25°C under persistent high pressure and southerly winds advecting warm air masses. This follows an unusually warm spell, with KMA observations confirming 27.3°C on April 16—well above the mid-April climatological average of 18°C—amid spring 2026 temperature anomalies exceeding +5°C regionally. Uncertainty persists due to 2-3°C spreads in model guidance, potential cloud cover variations, and diurnal solar heating effects; key updates include KMA's twice-daily short-range revisions and April 18 observations that could refine land surface conditions.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
마켓 개설일: Apr 17, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
거래량
$19,889종료일
2026.04.19마켓 개설일
Apr 17, 2026, 12:05 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a 47.5% implied probability for Seoul's highest temperature reaching 24°C or higher on April 19, reflecting Korea Meteorological Administration (KMA) short-range forecasts and ensemble model runs from GFS and ECMWF projecting daytime highs near 23-25°C under persistent high pressure and southerly winds advecting warm air masses. This follows an unusually warm spell, with KMA observations confirming 27.3°C on April 16—well above the mid-April climatological average of 18°C—amid spring 2026 temperature anomalies exceeding +5°C regionally. Uncertainty persists due to 2-3°C spreads in model guidance, potential cloud cover variations, and diurnal solar heating effects; key updates include KMA's twice-daily short-range revisions and April 18 observations that could refine land surface conditions.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
거래량
$19,889종료일
2026.04.19마켓 개설일
Apr 17, 2026, 12:05 AM ETTrader consensus on Polymarket prices a 47.5% implied probability for Seoul's highest temperature reaching 24°C or higher on April 19, reflecting Korea Meteorological Administration (KMA) short-range forecasts and ensemble model runs from GFS and ECMWF projecting daytime highs near 23-25°C under persistent high pressure and southerly winds advecting warm air masses. This follows an unusually warm spell, with KMA observations confirming 27.3°C on April 16—well above the mid-April climatological average of 18°C—amid spring 2026 temperature anomalies exceeding +5°C regionally. Uncertainty persists due to 2-3°C spreads in model guidance, potential cloud cover variations, and diurnal solar heating effects; key updates include KMA's twice-daily short-range revisions and April 18 observations that could refine land surface conditions.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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