Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a 62% implied probability for exactly one FOMC dissenter at the April 28-29, 2026 meeting, reflecting persistent policy divisions exposed in the March 17-18 minutes—released April 8—which noted one dovish dissent for a rate cut amid balanced two-sided risks to inflation and employment. March CPI surged 3.3% year-over-year on a 10.9% energy spike tied to Middle East tensions, up from February's 2.4%, while nonfarm payrolls added 178,000 jobs and unemployment held at 4.3%, fueling hawkish concerns despite the March dot plot's median projection of one 2026 cut to 3.4% end-year funds rate. Lower odds for zero dissents underscore trader expectations of continued divergence ahead of the vote.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트1 62%
2 28%
3 6%
0 4.0%
$44,620 거래량
$44,620 거래량
2026.04.29
0
4%
1
62%
2
28%
3
6%
4명 이상
1%
1 62%
2 28%
3 6%
0 4.0%
$44,620 거래량
$44,620 거래량
2026.04.29
0
$4,343 거래량
4%
1
$14,872 거래량
62%
2
$8,339 거래량
28%
3
$1,248 거래량
6%
4명 이상
$15,818 거래량
1%
The next Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting is scheduled for April 28-29, 2026. The policy decision will be announced at 2:00 PM Eastern Time on April 29, followed by the Fed Chair’s press conference at around 2:30 PM ET.
This market will resolve according to the number of dissenting votes recorded at the next Federal Reserve Open Market Committee monetary policy meeting, specifically those dissenting on the Fed Funds Rate decision.
The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for April 28-29, 2026, according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm.
This market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their April meeting with relevant data is issued; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a 62% implied probability for exactly one FOMC dissenter at the April 28-29, 2026 meeting, reflecting persistent policy divisions exposed in the March 17-18 minutes—released April 8—which noted one dovish dissent for a rate cut amid balanced two-sided risks to inflation and employment. March CPI surged 3.3% year-over-year on a 10.9% energy spike tied to Middle East tensions, up from February's 2.4%, while nonfarm payrolls added 178,000 jobs and unemployment held at 4.3%, fueling hawkish concerns despite the March dot plot's median projection of one 2026 cut to 3.4% end-year funds rate. Lower odds for zero dissents underscore trader expectations of continued divergence ahead of the vote.
The next Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting is scheduled for April 28-29, 2026. The policy decision will be announced at 2:00 PM Eastern Time on April 29, followed by the Fed Chair’s press conference at around 2:30 PM ET.
This market will resolve according to the number of dissenting votes recorded at the next Federal Reserve Open Market Committee monetary policy meeting, specifically those dissenting on the Fed Funds Rate decision.
The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for April 28-29, 2026, according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm.
This market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their April meeting with relevant data is issued; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
This market will resolve according to the number of dissenting votes recorded at the next Federal Reserve Open Market Committee monetary policy meeting, specifically those dissenting on the Fed Funds Rate decision.
The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for April 28-29, 2026, according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm.
This market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their April meeting with relevant data is issued; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
마켓 개설일: Mar 19, 2026, 8:12 PM ET
거래량
$44,620종료일
2026.04.29마켓 개설일
Mar 19, 2026, 8:12 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The next Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting is scheduled for April 28-29, 2026. The policy decision will be announced at 2:00 PM Eastern Time on April 29, followed by the Fed Chair’s press conference at around 2:30 PM ET.
This market will resolve according to the number of dissenting votes recorded at the next Federal Reserve Open Market Committee monetary policy meeting, specifically those dissenting on the Fed Funds Rate decision.
The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for April 28-29, 2026, according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm.
This market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their April meeting with relevant data is issued; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a 62% implied probability for exactly one FOMC dissenter at the April 28-29, 2026 meeting, reflecting persistent policy divisions exposed in the March 17-18 minutes—released April 8—which noted one dovish dissent for a rate cut amid balanced two-sided risks to inflation and employment. March CPI surged 3.3% year-over-year on a 10.9% energy spike tied to Middle East tensions, up from February's 2.4%, while nonfarm payrolls added 178,000 jobs and unemployment held at 4.3%, fueling hawkish concerns despite the March dot plot's median projection of one 2026 cut to 3.4% end-year funds rate. Lower odds for zero dissents underscore trader expectations of continued divergence ahead of the vote.
The next Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting is scheduled for April 28-29, 2026. The policy decision will be announced at 2:00 PM Eastern Time on April 29, followed by the Fed Chair’s press conference at around 2:30 PM ET.
This market will resolve according to the number of dissenting votes recorded at the next Federal Reserve Open Market Committee monetary policy meeting, specifically those dissenting on the Fed Funds Rate decision.
The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for April 28-29, 2026, according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm.
This market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their April meeting with relevant data is issued; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
This market will resolve according to the number of dissenting votes recorded at the next Federal Reserve Open Market Committee monetary policy meeting, specifically those dissenting on the Fed Funds Rate decision.
The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for April 28-29, 2026, according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm.
This market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their April meeting with relevant data is issued; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
거래량
$44,620종료일
2026.04.29마켓 개설일
Mar 19, 2026, 8:12 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a 62% implied probability for exactly one FOMC dissenter at the April 28-29, 2026 meeting, reflecting persistent policy divisions exposed in the March 17-18 minutes—released April 8—which noted one dovish dissent for a rate cut amid balanced two-sided risks to inflation and employment. March CPI surged 3.3% year-over-year on a 10.9% energy spike tied to Middle East tensions, up from February's 2.4%, while nonfarm payrolls added 178,000 jobs and unemployment held at 4.3%, fueling hawkish concerns despite the March dot plot's median projection of one 2026 cut to 3.4% end-year funds rate. Lower odds for zero dissents underscore trader expectations of continued divergence ahead of the vote.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
외부 링크에 주의하세요.
외부 링크에 주의하세요.
자주 묻는 질문