Trader consensus favors zero Gold Cards issued in 2026 at 41%, reflecting no verified issuances to date despite the program's September 2025 launch via executive order and early administration claims of $1.3 billion in commitments by December 2025. DHS processing, including Form I-140G approvals and background vetting for the $1 million green card pathway, has advanced slowly amid legal challenges from groups like Public Citizen alleging an illegal pay-to-play scheme. Recent March 2026 reporting highlights the program's tough sell against cheaper EB-5 alternatives, with Barron's noting limited uptake among high-net-worth applicants. Ongoing lawsuits and procedural hurdles position low-volume outcomes as next likely, while high sales buckets face significant barriers absent accelerated agency action.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트0 41%
1-100 22.4%
2,500~5,000 6.2%
1천~2천5백 6.0%
$136,914 거래량
$136,914 거래량
0
41%
1-100
19%
101-1천
3%
1천~2천5백
6%
2,500~5,000
6%
5천~1만
4%
10,000~25,000
3%
2만5천~10만
4%
>10만
6%
0 41%
1-100 22.4%
2,500~5,000 6.2%
1천~2천5백 6.0%
$136,914 거래량
$136,914 거래량
0
41%
1-100
19%
101-1천
3%
1천~2천5백
6%
2,500~5,000
6%
5천~1만
4%
10,000~25,000
3%
2만5천~10만
4%
>10만
6%
This market will resolve according to the number of individuals who purchase a “Gold Card” between January 1 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
Any individual participating in a new program created after February 26, 2025, by the Trump Administration which is either referred to as a Gold Card, or involves a new pathway to U.S. citizenship, work permits, or any other form of legal residency status in exchange for payments or investment will qualify.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source will be official information from the Trump Administration. If the Trump Administration does not publish the number of individuals who receive Gold Cards by December 31, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting.
마켓 개설일: Nov 5, 2025, 11:33 AM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the number of individuals who purchase a “Gold Card” between January 1 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
Any individual participating in a new program created after February 26, 2025, by the Trump Administration which is either referred to as a Gold Card, or involves a new pathway to U.S. citizenship, work permits, or any other form of legal residency status in exchange for payments or investment will qualify.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source will be official information from the Trump Administration. If the Trump Administration does not publish the number of individuals who receive Gold Cards by December 31, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus favors zero Gold Cards issued in 2026 at 41%, reflecting no verified issuances to date despite the program's September 2025 launch via executive order and early administration claims of $1.3 billion in commitments by December 2025. DHS processing, including Form I-140G approvals and background vetting for the $1 million green card pathway, has advanced slowly amid legal challenges from groups like Public Citizen alleging an illegal pay-to-play scheme. Recent March 2026 reporting highlights the program's tough sell against cheaper EB-5 alternatives, with Barron's noting limited uptake among high-net-worth applicants. Ongoing lawsuits and procedural hurdles position low-volume outcomes as next likely, while high sales buckets face significant barriers absent accelerated agency action.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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