Trader consensus on Polymarket implies a 54.5% chance Howard Lutnick exits as Secretary of Commerce by December 31, 2026, reflecting a closely contested balance amid bipartisan resignation pressure and reported White House frustrations. Newly released documents in early February 2026 revealed Lutnick's previously undisclosed business ties and visits to Jeffrey Epstein's island post-2008 conviction, prompting calls to resign from figures like Sen. Adam Schiff (D-CA) and Rep. Thomas Massie (R-KY), plus a House Democrats letter and advocacy groups. Politico reported President Trump's disappointment with Lutnick over policy execution in early April, following recent cabinet departures like Attorney General Pam Bondi. Lutnick remains in post, appearing at a Tax Day event April 15, underscoring his position's stability unless scandals escalate, congressional oversight intensifies, or further executive dissatisfaction prompts a shakeup.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트신규
신규
2026.12.31
신규
신규
2026.12.31
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Howard Lutnick ceases to be the US Secretary of Commerce for any period of time between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Lutnick's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the Trump administration however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Trader consensus on Polymarket implies a 54.5% chance Howard Lutnick exits as Secretary of Commerce by December 31, 2026, reflecting a closely contested balance amid bipartisan resignation pressure and reported White House frustrations. Newly released documents in early February 2026 revealed Lutnick's previously undisclosed business ties and visits to Jeffrey Epstein's island post-2008 conviction, prompting calls to resign from figures like Sen. Adam Schiff (D-CA) and Rep. Thomas Massie (R-KY), plus a House Democrats letter and advocacy groups. Politico reported President Trump's disappointment with Lutnick over policy execution in early April, following recent cabinet departures like Attorney General Pam Bondi. Lutnick remains in post, appearing at a Tax Day event April 15, underscoring his position's stability unless scandals escalate, congressional oversight intensifies, or further executive dissatisfaction prompts a shakeup.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Howard Lutnick ceases to be the US Secretary of Commerce for any period of time between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Lutnick's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the Trump administration however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
An announcement of Lutnick's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the Trump administration however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
마켓 개설일: Mar 31, 2026, 4:16 PM ET
거래량
$6,764종료일
2026.12.31마켓 개설일
Mar 31, 2026, 4:16 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if Howard Lutnick ceases to be the US Secretary of Commerce for any period of time between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Lutnick's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the Trump administration however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Trader consensus on Polymarket implies a 54.5% chance Howard Lutnick exits as Secretary of Commerce by December 31, 2026, reflecting a closely contested balance amid bipartisan resignation pressure and reported White House frustrations. Newly released documents in early February 2026 revealed Lutnick's previously undisclosed business ties and visits to Jeffrey Epstein's island post-2008 conviction, prompting calls to resign from figures like Sen. Adam Schiff (D-CA) and Rep. Thomas Massie (R-KY), plus a House Democrats letter and advocacy groups. Politico reported President Trump's disappointment with Lutnick over policy execution in early April, following recent cabinet departures like Attorney General Pam Bondi. Lutnick remains in post, appearing at a Tax Day event April 15, underscoring his position's stability unless scandals escalate, congressional oversight intensifies, or further executive dissatisfaction prompts a shakeup.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Howard Lutnick ceases to be the US Secretary of Commerce for any period of time between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Lutnick's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the Trump administration however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
An announcement of Lutnick's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the Trump administration however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
거래량
$6,764종료일
2026.12.31마켓 개설일
Mar 31, 2026, 4:16 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Trader consensus on Polymarket implies a 54.5% chance Howard Lutnick exits as Secretary of Commerce by December 31, 2026, reflecting a closely contested balance amid bipartisan resignation pressure and reported White House frustrations. Newly released documents in early February 2026 revealed Lutnick's previously undisclosed business ties and visits to Jeffrey Epstein's island post-2008 conviction, prompting calls to resign from figures like Sen. Adam Schiff (D-CA) and Rep. Thomas Massie (R-KY), plus a House Democrats letter and advocacy groups. Politico reported President Trump's disappointment with Lutnick over policy execution in early April, following recent cabinet departures like Attorney General Pam Bondi. Lutnick remains in post, appearing at a Tax Day event April 15, underscoring his position's stability unless scandals escalate, congressional oversight intensifies, or further executive dissatisfaction prompts a shakeup.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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