Trader consensus heavily favors no confirmation of the "I beat Bush" Epstein email sender by year-end at 87%, reflecting DOJ inaction since Rep. Ro Khanna's February 12 call to unredact the February 3, 2016, message from newly released files, despite pushback from Trump administration Deputy AG Todd Blanche; no further disclosures have occurred in the past two months amid ongoing Epstein document reviews. Gwendolyn Beck tops alternatives at 9% implied probability, fitting the email's boast of exceeding Jeb Bush's 5,238 Iowa caucus votes with her own 5,420 from Virginia's 8th congressional district race, plus her documented Epstein ties including 30 flight log entries. Marco Rubio trails at 6% on early speculation as a 2016 primary rival who outperformed Bush statewide, while Carson, Trump, Paul, and Cruz see minimal support due to mismatches with the "one congressional district" claim and casual "Love ya" tone.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트Not revealed in 2026 89%
Gwendolyn Beck 13.2%
Ben Carson 3.5%
Marco Rubio 1.7%
$12,117 거래량
$12,117 거래량

Not revealed in 2026
86%

Gwendolyn Beck
12%

Ben Carson
3%

Marco Rubio
9%

Donald Trump
1%

Rand Paul
1%

Ted Cruz
<1%
Not revealed in 2026 89%
Gwendolyn Beck 13.2%
Ben Carson 3.5%
Marco Rubio 1.7%
$12,117 거래량
$12,117 거래량

Not revealed in 2026
86%

Gwendolyn Beck
12%

Ben Carson
3%

Marco Rubio
9%

Donald Trump
1%

Rand Paul
1%

Ted Cruz
<1%
This market will resolve to the individual whose email account is confirmed to have sent the specified message by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
If no individual's email account is confirmed to have sent the message by the end date, this market will resolve to "Not revealed in 2026".
The identity of the account must be revealed unambiguously, for example, through a public unredaction of the document in question, which clearly and definitively reveals the sender’s address.
Official statements regarding the sender’s identity, or any confirmation that does not involve public unredaction of the specified document, including access limited to House members, congressional committees, or other restricted parties, will qualify only if there is a broad consensus as to their truthfulness.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
마켓 개설일: Feb 13, 2026, 4:48 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve to the individual whose email account is confirmed to have sent the specified message by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
If no individual's email account is confirmed to have sent the message by the end date, this market will resolve to "Not revealed in 2026".
The identity of the account must be revealed unambiguously, for example, through a public unredaction of the document in question, which clearly and definitively reveals the sender’s address.
Official statements regarding the sender’s identity, or any confirmation that does not involve public unredaction of the specified document, including access limited to House members, congressional committees, or other restricted parties, will qualify only if there is a broad consensus as to their truthfulness.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus heavily favors no confirmation of the "I beat Bush" Epstein email sender by year-end at 87%, reflecting DOJ inaction since Rep. Ro Khanna's February 12 call to unredact the February 3, 2016, message from newly released files, despite pushback from Trump administration Deputy AG Todd Blanche; no further disclosures have occurred in the past two months amid ongoing Epstein document reviews. Gwendolyn Beck tops alternatives at 9% implied probability, fitting the email's boast of exceeding Jeb Bush's 5,238 Iowa caucus votes with her own 5,420 from Virginia's 8th congressional district race, plus her documented Epstein ties including 30 flight log entries. Marco Rubio trails at 6% on early speculation as a 2016 primary rival who outperformed Bush statewide, while Carson, Trump, Paul, and Cruz see minimal support due to mismatches with the "one congressional district" claim and casual "Love ya" tone.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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