Israeli Defense Forces advanced rapidly to the Litani River banks in late March during ground operations in southern Lebanon, but have not crossed north amid fierce Hezbollah ambushes and heavy resistance that halted further pushes, as reported in early April. Instead, IDF completed forward deployments along defensive lines south of the river by April 7, with Defense Minister Israel Katz confirming demolitions of homes in that zone and ongoing airstrikes destroying bridges over the Litani—including the last operational crossing on April 16—to isolate Hezbollah. Army Chief Eyal Zamir designated the area south as a militant "kill zone," signaling consolidation of a buffer rather than expansion beyond. Lebanese President Joseph Aoun urged a ceasefire amid rising humanitarian concerns, tempering escalation risks before June 30. Trader consensus at 76.5% "No" reflects these stalled advances, high costs of crossing into denser Hezbollah territory, and emerging diplomatic pressures.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트예
$357,080 거래량
$357,080 거래량
2026.06.30
예
$357,080 거래량
$357,080 거래량
2026.06.30
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Israeli military personnel cross the Litani River in Lebanon by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
“Israeli military personnel” refers to members of the Israel Defense Forces (IDF) or any other official military units acting under the authority of the State of Israel. Intelligence or other non-military personnel will not count.
A “crossing” will be considered to have occurred if Israeli military personnel are confirmed to have physically traversed the Litani River in Lebanon at any point, including but not limited to by bridge, boat, swimming, wading, or temporary or permanent crossing.
Aerial insertion, parachute drops, helicopter landings, or other forms of aerial infiltration that do not involve Israeli military personnel physically traversing the Litani River will not qualify.
Mere presence on one bank of the Litani River, without confirmation that Israeli military personnel traversed the river to the opposite bank, will not qualify.
The primary resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.Israeli Defense Forces advanced rapidly to the Litani River banks in late March during ground operations in southern Lebanon, but have not crossed north amid fierce Hezbollah ambushes and heavy resistance that halted further pushes, as reported in early April. Instead, IDF completed forward deployments along defensive lines south of the river by April 7, with Defense Minister Israel Katz confirming demolitions of homes in that zone and ongoing airstrikes destroying bridges over the Litani—including the last operational crossing on April 16—to isolate Hezbollah. Army Chief Eyal Zamir designated the area south as a militant "kill zone," signaling consolidation of a buffer rather than expansion beyond. Lebanese President Joseph Aoun urged a ceasefire amid rising humanitarian concerns, tempering escalation risks before June 30. Trader consensus at 76.5% "No" reflects these stalled advances, high costs of crossing into denser Hezbollah territory, and emerging diplomatic pressures.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Israeli military personnel cross the Litani River in Lebanon by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
“Israeli military personnel” refers to members of the Israel Defense Forces (IDF) or any other official military units acting under the authority of the State of Israel. Intelligence or other non-military personnel will not count.
A “crossing” will be considered to have occurred if Israeli military personnel are confirmed to have physically traversed the Litani River in Lebanon at any point, including but not limited to by bridge, boat, swimming, wading, or temporary or permanent crossing.
Aerial insertion, parachute drops, helicopter landings, or other forms of aerial infiltration that do not involve Israeli military personnel physically traversing the Litani River will not qualify.
Mere presence on one bank of the Litani River, without confirmation that Israeli military personnel traversed the river to the opposite bank, will not qualify.
The primary resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
“Israeli military personnel” refers to members of the Israel Defense Forces (IDF) or any other official military units acting under the authority of the State of Israel. Intelligence or other non-military personnel will not count.
A “crossing” will be considered to have occurred if Israeli military personnel are confirmed to have physically traversed the Litani River in Lebanon at any point, including but not limited to by bridge, boat, swimming, wading, or temporary or permanent crossing.
Aerial insertion, parachute drops, helicopter landings, or other forms of aerial infiltration that do not involve Israeli military personnel physically traversing the Litani River will not qualify.
Mere presence on one bank of the Litani River, without confirmation that Israeli military personnel traversed the river to the opposite bank, will not qualify.
The primary resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
마켓 개설일: Mar 17, 2026, 7:50 PM ET
거래량
$357,080종료일
2026.06.30마켓 개설일
Mar 17, 2026, 7:50 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if Israeli military personnel cross the Litani River in Lebanon by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
“Israeli military personnel” refers to members of the Israel Defense Forces (IDF) or any other official military units acting under the authority of the State of Israel. Intelligence or other non-military personnel will not count.
A “crossing” will be considered to have occurred if Israeli military personnel are confirmed to have physically traversed the Litani River in Lebanon at any point, including but not limited to by bridge, boat, swimming, wading, or temporary or permanent crossing.
Aerial insertion, parachute drops, helicopter landings, or other forms of aerial infiltration that do not involve Israeli military personnel physically traversing the Litani River will not qualify.
Mere presence on one bank of the Litani River, without confirmation that Israeli military personnel traversed the river to the opposite bank, will not qualify.
The primary resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.Israeli Defense Forces advanced rapidly to the Litani River banks in late March during ground operations in southern Lebanon, but have not crossed north amid fierce Hezbollah ambushes and heavy resistance that halted further pushes, as reported in early April. Instead, IDF completed forward deployments along defensive lines south of the river by April 7, with Defense Minister Israel Katz confirming demolitions of homes in that zone and ongoing airstrikes destroying bridges over the Litani—including the last operational crossing on April 16—to isolate Hezbollah. Army Chief Eyal Zamir designated the area south as a militant "kill zone," signaling consolidation of a buffer rather than expansion beyond. Lebanese President Joseph Aoun urged a ceasefire amid rising humanitarian concerns, tempering escalation risks before June 30. Trader consensus at 76.5% "No" reflects these stalled advances, high costs of crossing into denser Hezbollah territory, and emerging diplomatic pressures.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Israeli military personnel cross the Litani River in Lebanon by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
“Israeli military personnel” refers to members of the Israel Defense Forces (IDF) or any other official military units acting under the authority of the State of Israel. Intelligence or other non-military personnel will not count.
A “crossing” will be considered to have occurred if Israeli military personnel are confirmed to have physically traversed the Litani River in Lebanon at any point, including but not limited to by bridge, boat, swimming, wading, or temporary or permanent crossing.
Aerial insertion, parachute drops, helicopter landings, or other forms of aerial infiltration that do not involve Israeli military personnel physically traversing the Litani River will not qualify.
Mere presence on one bank of the Litani River, without confirmation that Israeli military personnel traversed the river to the opposite bank, will not qualify.
The primary resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
“Israeli military personnel” refers to members of the Israel Defense Forces (IDF) or any other official military units acting under the authority of the State of Israel. Intelligence or other non-military personnel will not count.
A “crossing” will be considered to have occurred if Israeli military personnel are confirmed to have physically traversed the Litani River in Lebanon at any point, including but not limited to by bridge, boat, swimming, wading, or temporary or permanent crossing.
Aerial insertion, parachute drops, helicopter landings, or other forms of aerial infiltration that do not involve Israeli military personnel physically traversing the Litani River will not qualify.
Mere presence on one bank of the Litani River, without confirmation that Israeli military personnel traversed the river to the opposite bank, will not qualify.
The primary resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
거래량
$357,080종료일
2026.06.30마켓 개설일
Mar 17, 2026, 7:50 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Israeli Defense Forces advanced rapidly to the Litani River banks in late March during ground operations in southern Lebanon, but have not crossed north amid fierce Hezbollah ambushes and heavy resistance that halted further pushes, as reported in early April. Instead, IDF completed forward deployments along defensive lines south of the river by April 7, with Defense Minister Israel Katz confirming demolitions of homes in that zone and ongoing airstrikes destroying bridges over the Litani—including the last operational crossing on April 16—to isolate Hezbollah. Army Chief Eyal Zamir designated the area south as a militant "kill zone," signaling consolidation of a buffer rather than expansion beyond. Lebanese President Joseph Aoun urged a ceasefire amid rising humanitarian concerns, tempering escalation risks before June 30. Trader consensus at 76.5% "No" reflects these stalled advances, high costs of crossing into denser Hezbollah territory, and emerging diplomatic pressures.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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