Israeli Defense Forces have completed forward deployments along a defense line in southern Lebanon south of the Litani River, establishing operational control up to but not beyond the waterway, as confirmed by military statements on April 7. Senior IDF officers indicated no plans for deeper advances, focusing instead on a buffer zone to neutralize Hezbollah threats while destroying key Litani bridges to block resupply from the north. Defense Minister Israel Katz's late-March announcements emphasized security control reaching the river without crossing it, amid international criticism and fragile ceasefire talks. Trader consensus at 78.5% "No" reflects this strategic restraint, with limited escalation signals despite ongoing airstrikes and ground operations through mid-April. Potential shifts could arise from diplomatic breakthroughs or Hezbollah provocations before June 30.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트예
$358,340 거래량
$358,340 거래량
2026.06.30
예
$358,340 거래량
$358,340 거래량
2026.06.30
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Israeli military personnel cross the Litani River in Lebanon by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
“Israeli military personnel” refers to members of the Israel Defense Forces (IDF) or any other official military units acting under the authority of the State of Israel. Intelligence or other non-military personnel will not count.
A “crossing” will be considered to have occurred if Israeli military personnel are confirmed to have physically traversed the Litani River in Lebanon at any point, including but not limited to by bridge, boat, swimming, wading, or temporary or permanent crossing.
Aerial insertion, parachute drops, helicopter landings, or other forms of aerial infiltration that do not involve Israeli military personnel physically traversing the Litani River will not qualify.
Mere presence on one bank of the Litani River, without confirmation that Israeli military personnel traversed the river to the opposite bank, will not qualify.
The primary resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.Israeli Defense Forces have completed forward deployments along a defense line in southern Lebanon south of the Litani River, establishing operational control up to but not beyond the waterway, as confirmed by military statements on April 7. Senior IDF officers indicated no plans for deeper advances, focusing instead on a buffer zone to neutralize Hezbollah threats while destroying key Litani bridges to block resupply from the north. Defense Minister Israel Katz's late-March announcements emphasized security control reaching the river without crossing it, amid international criticism and fragile ceasefire talks. Trader consensus at 78.5% "No" reflects this strategic restraint, with limited escalation signals despite ongoing airstrikes and ground operations through mid-April. Potential shifts could arise from diplomatic breakthroughs or Hezbollah provocations before June 30.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Israeli military personnel cross the Litani River in Lebanon by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
“Israeli military personnel” refers to members of the Israel Defense Forces (IDF) or any other official military units acting under the authority of the State of Israel. Intelligence or other non-military personnel will not count.
A “crossing” will be considered to have occurred if Israeli military personnel are confirmed to have physically traversed the Litani River in Lebanon at any point, including but not limited to by bridge, boat, swimming, wading, or temporary or permanent crossing.
Aerial insertion, parachute drops, helicopter landings, or other forms of aerial infiltration that do not involve Israeli military personnel physically traversing the Litani River will not qualify.
Mere presence on one bank of the Litani River, without confirmation that Israeli military personnel traversed the river to the opposite bank, will not qualify.
The primary resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
“Israeli military personnel” refers to members of the Israel Defense Forces (IDF) or any other official military units acting under the authority of the State of Israel. Intelligence or other non-military personnel will not count.
A “crossing” will be considered to have occurred if Israeli military personnel are confirmed to have physically traversed the Litani River in Lebanon at any point, including but not limited to by bridge, boat, swimming, wading, or temporary or permanent crossing.
Aerial insertion, parachute drops, helicopter landings, or other forms of aerial infiltration that do not involve Israeli military personnel physically traversing the Litani River will not qualify.
Mere presence on one bank of the Litani River, without confirmation that Israeli military personnel traversed the river to the opposite bank, will not qualify.
The primary resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
마켓 개설일: Mar 17, 2026, 7:50 PM ET
거래량
$358,340종료일
2026.06.30마켓 개설일
Mar 17, 2026, 7:50 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if Israeli military personnel cross the Litani River in Lebanon by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
“Israeli military personnel” refers to members of the Israel Defense Forces (IDF) or any other official military units acting under the authority of the State of Israel. Intelligence or other non-military personnel will not count.
A “crossing” will be considered to have occurred if Israeli military personnel are confirmed to have physically traversed the Litani River in Lebanon at any point, including but not limited to by bridge, boat, swimming, wading, or temporary or permanent crossing.
Aerial insertion, parachute drops, helicopter landings, or other forms of aerial infiltration that do not involve Israeli military personnel physically traversing the Litani River will not qualify.
Mere presence on one bank of the Litani River, without confirmation that Israeli military personnel traversed the river to the opposite bank, will not qualify.
The primary resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.Israeli Defense Forces have completed forward deployments along a defense line in southern Lebanon south of the Litani River, establishing operational control up to but not beyond the waterway, as confirmed by military statements on April 7. Senior IDF officers indicated no plans for deeper advances, focusing instead on a buffer zone to neutralize Hezbollah threats while destroying key Litani bridges to block resupply from the north. Defense Minister Israel Katz's late-March announcements emphasized security control reaching the river without crossing it, amid international criticism and fragile ceasefire talks. Trader consensus at 78.5% "No" reflects this strategic restraint, with limited escalation signals despite ongoing airstrikes and ground operations through mid-April. Potential shifts could arise from diplomatic breakthroughs or Hezbollah provocations before June 30.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Israeli military personnel cross the Litani River in Lebanon by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
“Israeli military personnel” refers to members of the Israel Defense Forces (IDF) or any other official military units acting under the authority of the State of Israel. Intelligence or other non-military personnel will not count.
A “crossing” will be considered to have occurred if Israeli military personnel are confirmed to have physically traversed the Litani River in Lebanon at any point, including but not limited to by bridge, boat, swimming, wading, or temporary or permanent crossing.
Aerial insertion, parachute drops, helicopter landings, or other forms of aerial infiltration that do not involve Israeli military personnel physically traversing the Litani River will not qualify.
Mere presence on one bank of the Litani River, without confirmation that Israeli military personnel traversed the river to the opposite bank, will not qualify.
The primary resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
“Israeli military personnel” refers to members of the Israel Defense Forces (IDF) or any other official military units acting under the authority of the State of Israel. Intelligence or other non-military personnel will not count.
A “crossing” will be considered to have occurred if Israeli military personnel are confirmed to have physically traversed the Litani River in Lebanon at any point, including but not limited to by bridge, boat, swimming, wading, or temporary or permanent crossing.
Aerial insertion, parachute drops, helicopter landings, or other forms of aerial infiltration that do not involve Israeli military personnel physically traversing the Litani River will not qualify.
Mere presence on one bank of the Litani River, without confirmation that Israeli military personnel traversed the river to the opposite bank, will not qualify.
The primary resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
거래량
$358,340종료일
2026.06.30마켓 개설일
Mar 17, 2026, 7:50 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Israeli Defense Forces have completed forward deployments along a defense line in southern Lebanon south of the Litani River, establishing operational control up to but not beyond the waterway, as confirmed by military statements on April 7. Senior IDF officers indicated no plans for deeper advances, focusing instead on a buffer zone to neutralize Hezbollah threats while destroying key Litani bridges to block resupply from the north. Defense Minister Israel Katz's late-March announcements emphasized security control reaching the river without crossing it, amid international criticism and fragile ceasefire talks. Trader consensus at 78.5% "No" reflects this strategic restraint, with limited escalation signals despite ongoing airstrikes and ground operations through mid-April. Potential shifts could arise from diplomatic breakthroughs or Hezbollah provocations before June 30.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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