The Supreme Court's April 6 order vacated a D.C. Circuit ruling upholding Steve Bannon's 2022 contempt of Congress conviction, remanding the case and enabling the Trump administration's DOJ to seek dismissal in the interests of justice—a motion already filed in district court. Despite this favorable development, traders price "No" at 83.5% implied probability, reflecting the tight two-week timeline to April 30 and procedural uncertainties in lower court adjudication, including potential delays or challenges before formal exoneration via dismissal or vacatur. No further judicial actions have been reported since early April, underscoring the crowded wisdom of Polymarket crowds on resolution timing amid ongoing legal proceedings.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트$13,517 거래량
$13,517 거래량
2026.04.30
$13,517 거래량
$13,517 거래량
2026.04.30
On April 6, 2026, the United States Supreme Court threw out an appellate ruling that had upheld Steve Bannon’s 2022 conviction on Contempt of Congress charges (see: https://apnews.com/article/supreme-court-capitol-riot-bannon-trump-4a4cf324096fc1bfed204d42b54d191e).
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Bannon’s 2022 Contempt of Congress conviction is dismissed, overturned, vacated, or otherwise reversed by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A qualifying reversal requires that a United States court or other competent legal authority formally nullify the conviction itself. The vacating of appellate rulings, procedural actions toward reconsideration, or other changes which do not themselves result in the nullification of the conviction, will not alone count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from relevant courts; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The Supreme Court's April 6 order vacated a D.C. Circuit ruling upholding Steve Bannon's 2022 contempt of Congress conviction, remanding the case and enabling the Trump administration's DOJ to seek dismissal in the interests of justice—a motion already filed in district court. Despite this favorable development, traders price "No" at 83.5% implied probability, reflecting the tight two-week timeline to April 30 and procedural uncertainties in lower court adjudication, including potential delays or challenges before formal exoneration via dismissal or vacatur. No further judicial actions have been reported since early April, underscoring the crowded wisdom of Polymarket crowds on resolution timing amid ongoing legal proceedings.
On April 6, 2026, the United States Supreme Court threw out an appellate ruling that had upheld Steve Bannon’s 2022 conviction on Contempt of Congress charges (see: https://apnews.com/article/supreme-court-capitol-riot-bannon-trump-4a4cf324096fc1bfed204d42b54d191e).
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Bannon’s 2022 Contempt of Congress conviction is dismissed, overturned, vacated, or otherwise reversed by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A qualifying reversal requires that a United States court or other competent legal authority formally nullify the conviction itself. The vacating of appellate rulings, procedural actions toward reconsideration, or other changes which do not themselves result in the nullification of the conviction, will not alone count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from relevant courts; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Bannon’s 2022 Contempt of Congress conviction is dismissed, overturned, vacated, or otherwise reversed by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A qualifying reversal requires that a United States court or other competent legal authority formally nullify the conviction itself. The vacating of appellate rulings, procedural actions toward reconsideration, or other changes which do not themselves result in the nullification of the conviction, will not alone count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from relevant courts; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
마켓 개설일: Apr 6, 2026, 5:30 PM ET
거래량
$13,517종료일
2026.04.30마켓 개설일
Apr 6, 2026, 5:30 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...On April 6, 2026, the United States Supreme Court threw out an appellate ruling that had upheld Steve Bannon’s 2022 conviction on Contempt of Congress charges (see: https://apnews.com/article/supreme-court-capitol-riot-bannon-trump-4a4cf324096fc1bfed204d42b54d191e).
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Bannon’s 2022 Contempt of Congress conviction is dismissed, overturned, vacated, or otherwise reversed by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A qualifying reversal requires that a United States court or other competent legal authority formally nullify the conviction itself. The vacating of appellate rulings, procedural actions toward reconsideration, or other changes which do not themselves result in the nullification of the conviction, will not alone count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from relevant courts; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The Supreme Court's April 6 order vacated a D.C. Circuit ruling upholding Steve Bannon's 2022 contempt of Congress conviction, remanding the case and enabling the Trump administration's DOJ to seek dismissal in the interests of justice—a motion already filed in district court. Despite this favorable development, traders price "No" at 83.5% implied probability, reflecting the tight two-week timeline to April 30 and procedural uncertainties in lower court adjudication, including potential delays or challenges before formal exoneration via dismissal or vacatur. No further judicial actions have been reported since early April, underscoring the crowded wisdom of Polymarket crowds on resolution timing amid ongoing legal proceedings.
On April 6, 2026, the United States Supreme Court threw out an appellate ruling that had upheld Steve Bannon’s 2022 conviction on Contempt of Congress charges (see: https://apnews.com/article/supreme-court-capitol-riot-bannon-trump-4a4cf324096fc1bfed204d42b54d191e).
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Bannon’s 2022 Contempt of Congress conviction is dismissed, overturned, vacated, or otherwise reversed by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A qualifying reversal requires that a United States court or other competent legal authority formally nullify the conviction itself. The vacating of appellate rulings, procedural actions toward reconsideration, or other changes which do not themselves result in the nullification of the conviction, will not alone count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from relevant courts; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Bannon’s 2022 Contempt of Congress conviction is dismissed, overturned, vacated, or otherwise reversed by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A qualifying reversal requires that a United States court or other competent legal authority formally nullify the conviction itself. The vacating of appellate rulings, procedural actions toward reconsideration, or other changes which do not themselves result in the nullification of the conviction, will not alone count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from relevant courts; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
거래량
$13,517종료일
2026.04.30마켓 개설일
Apr 6, 2026, 5:30 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...The Supreme Court's April 6 order vacated a D.C. Circuit ruling upholding Steve Bannon's 2022 contempt of Congress conviction, remanding the case and enabling the Trump administration's DOJ to seek dismissal in the interests of justice—a motion already filed in district court. Despite this favorable development, traders price "No" at 83.5% implied probability, reflecting the tight two-week timeline to April 30 and procedural uncertainties in lower court adjudication, including potential delays or challenges before formal exoneration via dismissal or vacatur. No further judicial actions have been reported since early April, underscoring the crowded wisdom of Polymarket crowds on resolution timing amid ongoing legal proceedings.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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