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Trump approval Up or Down this week?

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Trump approval Up or Down this week?

4월 18

4월 18

Up

39% 확률
Polymarket
신규

Up

39% 확률
Polymarket
신규
This market will resolve to "Up" if Donald Trump's Silver Bulletin approval rating is higher on April 17, 2026, than on April 10, 2026. This market will resolve to "Down" if Donald Trump's Silver Bulletin approval rating is higher on April 10, 2026, than on April 17, 2026. This market will resolve to 50-50 if Donald Trump's Silver Bulletin approval rating is the same on each date. The data point for the second reference date will only be considered once a subsequent day’s data point has been published, thereby finalizing the value for the second date. If no data point is published for the first reference date, the most recent prior day with a published data point will be used instead. If no data point is published for the second reference date by 12:00 PM ET on the third calendar day after that date, the most recent prior day with a published data point will be used instead. This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used. The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.President Trump's approval rating has plunged to record lows of 36-41% in early April polls from Reuters, CNN, and RealClearPolitics, fueling trader consensus at 61.5% implied probability for a further decline this week amid backlash from the escalating Iran conflict and spiking gas prices. Recent surveys highlight disapproval exceeding 56%, with erosion among Latino voters, young men, and even Republican base supporters over inflation and economic handling. No countervailing positive catalysts have emerged in the past week, as ongoing military actions and foreign policy risks dominate sentiment, outweighing incumbency advantages in this closely tracked weekly metric.

This market will resolve to "Up" if Donald Trump's Silver Bulletin approval rating is higher on April 17, 2026, than on April 10, 2026.

This market will resolve to "Down" if Donald Trump's Silver Bulletin approval rating is higher on April 10, 2026, than on April 17, 2026.

This market will resolve to 50-50 if Donald Trump's Silver Bulletin approval rating is the same on each date.

The data point for the second reference date will only be considered once a subsequent day’s data point has been published, thereby finalizing the value for the second date.

If no data point is published for the first reference date, the most recent prior day with a published data point will be used instead.

If no data point is published for the second reference date by 12:00 PM ET on the third calendar day after that date, the most recent prior day with a published data point will be used instead.

This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.

The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
거래량
$4,271
종료일
2026.04.18
마켓 개설일
Apr 10, 2026, 10:06 AM ET
This market will resolve to "Up" if Donald Trump's Silver Bulletin approval rating is higher on April 17, 2026, than on April 10, 2026. This market will resolve to "Down" if Donald Trump's Silver Bulletin approval rating is higher on April 10, 2026, than on April 17, 2026. This market will resolve to 50-50 if Donald Trump's Silver Bulletin approval rating is the same on each date. The data point for the second reference date will only be considered once a subsequent day’s data point has been published, thereby finalizing the value for the second date. If no data point is published for the first reference date, the most recent prior day with a published data point will be used instead. If no data point is published for the second reference date by 12:00 PM ET on the third calendar day after that date, the most recent prior day with a published data point will be used instead. This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used. The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
This market will resolve to "Up" if Donald Trump's Silver Bulletin approval rating is higher on April 17, 2026, than on April 10, 2026. This market will resolve to "Down" if Donald Trump's Silver Bulletin approval rating is higher on April 10, 2026, than on April 17, 2026. This market will resolve to 50-50 if Donald Trump's Silver Bulletin approval rating is the same on each date. The data point for the second reference date will only be considered once a subsequent day’s data point has been published, thereby finalizing the value for the second date. If no data point is published for the first reference date, the most recent prior day with a published data point will be used instead. If no data point is published for the second reference date by 12:00 PM ET on the third calendar day after that date, the most recent prior day with a published data point will be used instead. This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used. The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.President Trump's approval rating has plunged to record lows of 36-41% in early April polls from Reuters, CNN, and RealClearPolitics, fueling trader consensus at 61.5% implied probability for a further decline this week amid backlash from the escalating Iran conflict and spiking gas prices. Recent surveys highlight disapproval exceeding 56%, with erosion among Latino voters, young men, and even Republican base supporters over inflation and economic handling. No countervailing positive catalysts have emerged in the past week, as ongoing military actions and foreign policy risks dominate sentiment, outweighing incumbency advantages in this closely tracked weekly metric.

This market will resolve to "Up" if Donald Trump's Silver Bulletin approval rating is higher on April 17, 2026, than on April 10, 2026.

This market will resolve to "Down" if Donald Trump's Silver Bulletin approval rating is higher on April 10, 2026, than on April 17, 2026.

This market will resolve to 50-50 if Donald Trump's Silver Bulletin approval rating is the same on each date.

The data point for the second reference date will only be considered once a subsequent day’s data point has been published, thereby finalizing the value for the second date.

If no data point is published for the first reference date, the most recent prior day with a published data point will be used instead.

If no data point is published for the second reference date by 12:00 PM ET on the third calendar day after that date, the most recent prior day with a published data point will be used instead.

This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.

The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
거래량
$4,271
종료일
2026.04.18
마켓 개설일
Apr 10, 2026, 10:06 AM ET
This market will resolve to "Up" if Donald Trump's Silver Bulletin approval rating is higher on April 17, 2026, than on April 10, 2026. This market will resolve to "Down" if Donald Trump's Silver Bulletin approval rating is higher on April 10, 2026, than on April 17, 2026. This market will resolve to 50-50 if Donald Trump's Silver Bulletin approval rating is the same on each date. The data point for the second reference date will only be considered once a subsequent day’s data point has been published, thereby finalizing the value for the second date. If no data point is published for the first reference date, the most recent prior day with a published data point will be used instead. If no data point is published for the second reference date by 12:00 PM ET on the third calendar day after that date, the most recent prior day with a published data point will be used instead. This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used. The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

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자주 묻는 질문

"Trump approval Up or Down this week?"은 Polymarket의 일일 예측 마켓으로, 트레이더들이 Trump approval Up or Down this week?의 가격이 제목에 명시된 일일 기간 동안 시작 가격보다 높게("Up") 또는 낮게("Down") 끝날지에 대한 주식을 매수 및 매도합니다. 현재 마켓 확률은 "Down"에 대해 61%입니다. 61% 가격은 마켓이 해당 결과에 61%의 확률을 부여한다는 의미입니다. 가격은 트레이더들이 실시간 Trump approval Up or Down this week? 가격 변동에 반응함에 따라 실시간으로 업데이트됩니다. 정확한 결과의 주식은 마켓 정산 시 각 $1에 교환 가능합니다.

"Trump approval Up or Down this week?"은 Polymarket의 활성 단기 마켓입니다. 일일 기간이 진행됨에 따라 거래량이 빠르게 축적될 수 있습니다 — 이 기간이 종료되기 전에 일찍 참여하여 확률을 설정하세요.

"Trump approval Up or Down this week?"에서 거래하려면 April 17 정오 ET에 Trump approval Up or Down this week?의 가격이 April 10 정오 ET의 Trump approval Up or Down this week? 가격보다 높을("Up") 것인지 낮을("Down") 것인지 결정하세요. 가격이 일일 기준으로 오를 것으로 생각하면 "Up"을 매수하고, 하락할 것으로 생각하면 "Down"을 매수하세요. 금액을 입력하고 "거래"를 클릭하세요. 정산 시 선택한 결과가 맞으면 각 주식은 $1.00을 지급합니다. 틀리면 주식은 $0의 가치입니다.

"Trump approval Up or Down this week?"의 현재 확률은 "Down"에 대해 61%이며, Polymarket 크라우드가 현재 Trump approval Up or Down this week?의 가격이 이 일일 기간 동안 down으로 끝날 확률을 61%로 보고 있음을 의미합니다. 이 확률은 트레이더들이 실시간 Trump approval Up or Down this week? 가격 데이터에 반응함에 따라 실시간으로 업데이트됩니다. 하루 종일 확률은 그날의 가격 행동이 전개됨에 따라 변화하는 심리를 반영합니다. 자주 확인하거나 기간이 종료되기 전에 지금 거래하세요.

"Trump approval Up or Down this week?" 마켓은 Binance TRUMP-APPROVAL/USDT 1분 캔들 종가를 사용하여 April 17 정오 ET의 Trump approval Up or Down this week? 가격과 April 10 정오 ET의 가격을 비교하여 정산됩니다. April 17 정오 가격이 높으면 "Up", 낮으면 "Down", 같으면 50-50으로 정산됩니다. 이 페이지의 "규칙" 섹션에서 완전한 정산 기준과 데이터 출처를 검토할 수 있습니다.