US special forces entered Venezuela on January 3, 2026, for a precision operation capturing Nicolás Maduro and his wife, after which officials including Defense Secretary Johnson stated no further troop deployments were expected, contributing to trader consensus assigning low probabilities to near-term re-entry. A US embassy reopened in Caracas in February with a small Marine security detachment—debated by some as qualifying under the market's criteria for physical entry into terrestrial territory—but no large-scale ground presence has been confirmed since the raid. Regional naval buildup persists amid diplomatic transition efforts, with Maduro's US prosecution and potential congressional hearings on Venezuela policy as key upcoming catalysts that could shift military dynamics.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트$1,281,977 거래량
2026.01.31
6월 30일
10%
$1,281,977 거래량
6월 30일
$197,214 거래량
10%
This market will resolve to “Yes” if active US military personnel physically enter Venezuela at any point between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET.
Military special operation forces will qualify; however, intelligence operatives will not count.
US military personnel must physically enter the terrestrial territory of Venezuela to qualify. Entering Venezuela's maritime or aerial territory will not count.
Military contractors, military advisors, or high-ranking US service members entering Venezuela for diplomatic purposes (and their accompanying entourage) will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.US special forces entered Venezuela on January 3, 2026, for a precision operation capturing Nicolás Maduro and his wife, after which officials including Defense Secretary Johnson stated no further troop deployments were expected, contributing to trader consensus assigning low probabilities to near-term re-entry. A US embassy reopened in Caracas in February with a small Marine security detachment—debated by some as qualifying under the market's criteria for physical entry into terrestrial territory—but no large-scale ground presence has been confirmed since the raid. Regional naval buildup persists amid diplomatic transition efforts, with Maduro's US prosecution and potential congressional hearings on Venezuela policy as key upcoming catalysts that could shift military dynamics.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if active US military personnel physically enter Venezuela at any point between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET.
Military special operation forces will qualify; however, intelligence operatives will not count.
US military personnel must physically enter the terrestrial territory of Venezuela to qualify. Entering Venezuela's maritime or aerial territory will not count.
Military contractors, military advisors, or high-ranking US service members entering Venezuela for diplomatic purposes (and their accompanying entourage) will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Military special operation forces will qualify; however, intelligence operatives will not count.
US military personnel must physically enter the terrestrial territory of Venezuela to qualify. Entering Venezuela's maritime or aerial territory will not count.
Military contractors, military advisors, or high-ranking US service members entering Venezuela for diplomatic purposes (and their accompanying entourage) will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
마켓 개설일: Jan 4, 2026, 2:05 PM ET
거래량
$1,281,977종료일
2026.06.30마켓 개설일
Jan 4, 2026, 2:05 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if active US military personnel physically enter Venezuela at any point between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET.
Military special operation forces will qualify; however, intelligence operatives will not count.
US military personnel must physically enter the terrestrial territory of Venezuela to qualify. Entering Venezuela's maritime or aerial territory will not count.
Military contractors, military advisors, or high-ranking US service members entering Venezuela for diplomatic purposes (and their accompanying entourage) will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.US special forces entered Venezuela on January 3, 2026, for a precision operation capturing Nicolás Maduro and his wife, after which officials including Defense Secretary Johnson stated no further troop deployments were expected, contributing to trader consensus assigning low probabilities to near-term re-entry. A US embassy reopened in Caracas in February with a small Marine security detachment—debated by some as qualifying under the market's criteria for physical entry into terrestrial territory—but no large-scale ground presence has been confirmed since the raid. Regional naval buildup persists amid diplomatic transition efforts, with Maduro's US prosecution and potential congressional hearings on Venezuela policy as key upcoming catalysts that could shift military dynamics.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if active US military personnel physically enter Venezuela at any point between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET.
Military special operation forces will qualify; however, intelligence operatives will not count.
US military personnel must physically enter the terrestrial territory of Venezuela to qualify. Entering Venezuela's maritime or aerial territory will not count.
Military contractors, military advisors, or high-ranking US service members entering Venezuela for diplomatic purposes (and their accompanying entourage) will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Military special operation forces will qualify; however, intelligence operatives will not count.
US military personnel must physically enter the terrestrial territory of Venezuela to qualify. Entering Venezuela's maritime or aerial territory will not count.
Military contractors, military advisors, or high-ranking US service members entering Venezuela for diplomatic purposes (and their accompanying entourage) will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
거래량
$1,281,977종료일
2026.06.30마켓 개설일
Jan 4, 2026, 2:05 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...US special forces entered Venezuela on January 3, 2026, for a precision operation capturing Nicolás Maduro and his wife, after which officials including Defense Secretary Johnson stated no further troop deployments were expected, contributing to trader consensus assigning low probabilities to near-term re-entry. A US embassy reopened in Caracas in February with a small Marine security detachment—debated by some as qualifying under the market's criteria for physical entry into terrestrial territory—but no large-scale ground presence has been confirmed since the raid. Regional naval buildup persists amid diplomatic transition efforts, with Maduro's US prosecution and potential congressional hearings on Venezuela policy as key upcoming catalysts that could shift military dynamics.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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