Following the 21-hour first round of direct US-Iran talks in Islamabad that concluded April 12 without agreement, diplomats via Pakistani mediation are arranging a second round potentially as soon as Thursday amid a fragile two-week ceasefire and US blockade of the Strait of Hormuz. US Vice President JD Vance, special envoy Steve Witkoff, and Jared Kushner led the American delegation opposite Iranian Parliament Speaker Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf and Foreign Minister Abbas Araghchi, addressing sticking points like sanctions relief, nuclear restrictions, proxy forces, and shipping access. Trader consensus reflects expectations of delegation continuity from this precedent, with confirmation of participants, venue, and agenda likely to drive shifts; President Trump indicated talks could resume within days.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트$13,393 거래량
Donald Trump
7%
Marco Rubio
10%
J.D. Vance
71%
Jared Kushner
69%
Steve Witkoff
87%
$13,393 거래량
Donald Trump
7%
Marco Rubio
10%
J.D. Vance
71%
Jared Kushner
69%
Steve Witkoff
87%
A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding US-Iranian relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not qualify as diplomatic meetings.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
Attendance refers to the listed individual being physically present and actively participating in negotiations at the meeting.
If the next diplomatic meeting between representatives of the United States and Iran takes place over multiple days, attendance at any part of the meeting will qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the listed individual and the governments of the United States and Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
마켓 개설일: Apr 14, 2026, 6:36 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding US-Iranian relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not qualify as diplomatic meetings.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
Attendance refers to the listed individual being physically present and actively participating in negotiations at the meeting.
If the next diplomatic meeting between representatives of the United States and Iran takes place over multiple days, attendance at any part of the meeting will qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the listed individual and the governments of the United States and Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Following the 21-hour first round of direct US-Iran talks in Islamabad that concluded April 12 without agreement, diplomats via Pakistani mediation are arranging a second round potentially as soon as Thursday amid a fragile two-week ceasefire and US blockade of the Strait of Hormuz. US Vice President JD Vance, special envoy Steve Witkoff, and Jared Kushner led the American delegation opposite Iranian Parliament Speaker Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf and Foreign Minister Abbas Araghchi, addressing sticking points like sanctions relief, nuclear restrictions, proxy forces, and shipping access. Trader consensus reflects expectations of delegation continuity from this precedent, with confirmation of participants, venue, and agenda likely to drive shifts; President Trump indicated talks could resume within days.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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