President Trump's formal nomination of former Federal Reserve Governor Kevin Warsh in March has solidified his commanding 94% trader consensus as the next Fed Chair, bolstered by the Republican-led Senate Banking Committee's scheduling of a confirmation hearing for April 21—less than a month before Jerome Powell's term expires on May 15. Warsh's prior Board experience and alignment with administration priorities on monetary policy outweigh recent financial disclosures revealing over $190 million in assets, including cryptocurrency holdings he plans to divest. Despite GOP Sen. Thom Tillis's holdout over a DOJ probe into Fed headquarters cost overruns, traders anticipate sufficient committee support (13-11 Republican majority) and floor vote for confirmation. Realistic challenges include probe escalation delaying Senate action, Tillis blocking advancement, or unforeseen opposition extending beyond the deadline, potentially leaving Powell as acting chair.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트케빈 워시 93.9%
주디 셸턴 1.4%
미셸 보우먼 1.4%
제롬 파월 <1%
$30,263,319 거래량
$30,263,319 거래량
2026.10.31
케빈 워시
94%
주디 셸턴
1%
케빈 해싯
1%
크리스토퍼 월러
<1%
제롬 파월
1%
스티븐 미란
<1%
스콧 베센트
<1%
릭 라이더
1%
미셸 보우먼
1%
케빈 워시 93.9%
주디 셸턴 1.4%
미셸 보우먼 1.4%
제롬 파월 <1%
$30,263,319 거래량
$30,263,319 거래량
2026.10.31
케빈 워시
$5,934,903 거래량
94%
주디 셸턴
$12,882,793 거래량
1%
케빈 해싯
$1,242,209 거래량
1%
크리스토퍼 월러
$1,380,177 거래량
<1%
제롬 파월
$1,201,680 거래량
1%
스티븐 미란
$1,015,269 거래량
<1%
스콧 베센트
$3,255,173 거래량
<1%
릭 라이더
$899,586 거래량
1%
미셸 보우먼
$2,451,529 거래량
1%
This market will resolve according to the next individual formally confirmed as Chair of the Federal Reserve.
Formal confirmation as Chair of the Federal Reserve requires the Senate to confirm a nominee as Chair of the Federal Reserve. Recess appointments without Senate confirmation will not count. Senate confirmation of a listed individual as a member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors will not alone qualify.
If no Senate confirmation for the position of Chair of the Federal Reserve has occurred by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the U.S. Senate; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.President Trump's formal nomination of former Federal Reserve Governor Kevin Warsh in March has solidified his commanding 94% trader consensus as the next Fed Chair, bolstered by the Republican-led Senate Banking Committee's scheduling of a confirmation hearing for April 21—less than a month before Jerome Powell's term expires on May 15. Warsh's prior Board experience and alignment with administration priorities on monetary policy outweigh recent financial disclosures revealing over $190 million in assets, including cryptocurrency holdings he plans to divest. Despite GOP Sen. Thom Tillis's holdout over a DOJ probe into Fed headquarters cost overruns, traders anticipate sufficient committee support (13-11 Republican majority) and floor vote for confirmation. Realistic challenges include probe escalation delaying Senate action, Tillis blocking advancement, or unforeseen opposition extending beyond the deadline, potentially leaving Powell as acting chair.
This market will resolve according to the next individual formally confirmed as Chair of the Federal Reserve.
Formal confirmation as Chair of the Federal Reserve requires the Senate to confirm a nominee as Chair of the Federal Reserve. Recess appointments without Senate confirmation will not count. Senate confirmation of a listed individual as a member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors will not alone qualify.
If no Senate confirmation for the position of Chair of the Federal Reserve has occurred by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the U.S. Senate; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Formal confirmation as Chair of the Federal Reserve requires the Senate to confirm a nominee as Chair of the Federal Reserve. Recess appointments without Senate confirmation will not count. Senate confirmation of a listed individual as a member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors will not alone qualify.
If no Senate confirmation for the position of Chair of the Federal Reserve has occurred by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the U.S. Senate; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
마켓 개설일: Mar 4, 2026, 3:48 PM ET
거래량
$30,263,319종료일
2026.10.31마켓 개설일
Mar 4, 2026, 3:48 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the next individual formally confirmed as Chair of the Federal Reserve.
Formal confirmation as Chair of the Federal Reserve requires the Senate to confirm a nominee as Chair of the Federal Reserve. Recess appointments without Senate confirmation will not count. Senate confirmation of a listed individual as a member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors will not alone qualify.
If no Senate confirmation for the position of Chair of the Federal Reserve has occurred by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the U.S. Senate; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.President Trump's formal nomination of former Federal Reserve Governor Kevin Warsh in March has solidified his commanding 94% trader consensus as the next Fed Chair, bolstered by the Republican-led Senate Banking Committee's scheduling of a confirmation hearing for April 21—less than a month before Jerome Powell's term expires on May 15. Warsh's prior Board experience and alignment with administration priorities on monetary policy outweigh recent financial disclosures revealing over $190 million in assets, including cryptocurrency holdings he plans to divest. Despite GOP Sen. Thom Tillis's holdout over a DOJ probe into Fed headquarters cost overruns, traders anticipate sufficient committee support (13-11 Republican majority) and floor vote for confirmation. Realistic challenges include probe escalation delaying Senate action, Tillis blocking advancement, or unforeseen opposition extending beyond the deadline, potentially leaving Powell as acting chair.
This market will resolve according to the next individual formally confirmed as Chair of the Federal Reserve.
Formal confirmation as Chair of the Federal Reserve requires the Senate to confirm a nominee as Chair of the Federal Reserve. Recess appointments without Senate confirmation will not count. Senate confirmation of a listed individual as a member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors will not alone qualify.
If no Senate confirmation for the position of Chair of the Federal Reserve has occurred by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the U.S. Senate; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Formal confirmation as Chair of the Federal Reserve requires the Senate to confirm a nominee as Chair of the Federal Reserve. Recess appointments without Senate confirmation will not count. Senate confirmation of a listed individual as a member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors will not alone qualify.
If no Senate confirmation for the position of Chair of the Federal Reserve has occurred by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the U.S. Senate; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
거래량
$30,263,319종료일
2026.10.31마켓 개설일
Mar 4, 2026, 3:48 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...President Trump's formal nomination of former Federal Reserve Governor Kevin Warsh in March has solidified his commanding 94% trader consensus as the next Fed Chair, bolstered by the Republican-led Senate Banking Committee's scheduling of a confirmation hearing for April 21—less than a month before Jerome Powell's term expires on May 15. Warsh's prior Board experience and alignment with administration priorities on monetary policy outweigh recent financial disclosures revealing over $190 million in assets, including cryptocurrency holdings he plans to divest. Despite GOP Sen. Thom Tillis's holdout over a DOJ probe into Fed headquarters cost overruns, traders anticipate sufficient committee support (13-11 Republican majority) and floor vote for confirmation. Realistic challenges include probe escalation delaying Senate action, Tillis blocking advancement, or unforeseen opposition extending beyond the deadline, potentially leaving Powell as acting chair.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
외부 링크에 주의하세요.
외부 링크에 주의하세요.
자주 묻는 질문