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Will Elon Musk go on Joe Rogan before June 30?

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Will Elon Musk go on Joe Rogan before June 30?

30% 확률
Polymarket
신규
30% 확률
Polymarket
신규
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Elon Musk is a guest on any "The Joe Rogan Experience" podcast episode between December 1, 2025 and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If a consensus of credible reporting confirms Elon Musk recorded an episode with Rogan before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes" regardless of when/if it is released. The primary resolution source for this market will be Spotify and/or Youtube, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Trader consensus prices "No" at 70% for Elon Musk appearing on the Joe Rogan Experience before June 30, driven by the absence of any public announcements, scheduling hints, or social media teases from either party in recent weeks. Musk's last episode was #2404 on October 31, 2025, amid a packed agenda including Tesla's Cybercab robotaxi production ramp-up this April, Optimus humanoid robot advancements targeting late 2026 deployment, SpaceX Starship milestones, and xAI scaling, as outlined in his March 2026 Abundance Summit interview. Rogan continues sharing clips from prior Musk episodes without signaling new bookings, leaving roughly 75 days for an improbable unannounced taping given historical patterns tied to major catalysts.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Elon Musk is a guest on any "The Joe Rogan Experience" podcast episode between December 1, 2025 and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

If a consensus of credible reporting confirms Elon Musk recorded an episode with Rogan before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes" regardless of when/if it is released.

The primary resolution source for this market will be Spotify and/or Youtube, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
거래량
$3,261
종료일
2026.06.30
마켓 개설일
Dec 1, 2025, 5:12 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Elon Musk is a guest on any "The Joe Rogan Experience" podcast episode between December 1, 2025 and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If a consensus of credible reporting confirms Elon Musk recorded an episode with Rogan before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes" regardless of when/if it is released. The primary resolution source for this market will be Spotify and/or Youtube, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Elon Musk is a guest on any "The Joe Rogan Experience" podcast episode between December 1, 2025 and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If a consensus of credible reporting confirms Elon Musk recorded an episode with Rogan before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes" regardless of when/if it is released. The primary resolution source for this market will be Spotify and/or Youtube, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Trader consensus prices "No" at 70% for Elon Musk appearing on the Joe Rogan Experience before June 30, driven by the absence of any public announcements, scheduling hints, or social media teases from either party in recent weeks. Musk's last episode was #2404 on October 31, 2025, amid a packed agenda including Tesla's Cybercab robotaxi production ramp-up this April, Optimus humanoid robot advancements targeting late 2026 deployment, SpaceX Starship milestones, and xAI scaling, as outlined in his March 2026 Abundance Summit interview. Rogan continues sharing clips from prior Musk episodes without signaling new bookings, leaving roughly 75 days for an improbable unannounced taping given historical patterns tied to major catalysts.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Elon Musk is a guest on any "The Joe Rogan Experience" podcast episode between December 1, 2025 and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

If a consensus of credible reporting confirms Elon Musk recorded an episode with Rogan before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes" regardless of when/if it is released.

The primary resolution source for this market will be Spotify and/or Youtube, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
거래량
$3,261
종료일
2026.06.30
마켓 개설일
Dec 1, 2025, 5:12 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Elon Musk is a guest on any "The Joe Rogan Experience" podcast episode between December 1, 2025 and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If a consensus of credible reporting confirms Elon Musk recorded an episode with Rogan before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes" regardless of when/if it is released. The primary resolution source for this market will be Spotify and/or Youtube, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

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자주 묻는 질문

"Will Elon Musk go on Joe Rogan before June 30?"은 Polymarket의 예측 마켓으로, 트레이더들이 이 이벤트가 발생할 것인지에 따라 "Yes" 또는 "No" 주식을 매수 및 매도합니다. 현재 크라우드소싱 확률은 "Yes"에 대해 30%입니다. 예를 들어 "Yes"가 30¢에 거래되면 마켓은 이 이벤트가 발생할 확률을 30%로 부여합니다. 이 확률은 트레이더들이 새로운 진전과 정보에 반응함에 따라 지속적으로 변화합니다. 정확한 결과의 주식은 마켓 정산 시 각 $1에 교환 가능합니다.

"Will Elon Musk go on Joe Rogan before June 30?"은 Polymarket에서 새로 생성된 마켓입니다, Dec 1, 2025에 시작됨. 초기 마켓으로서 확률을 설정하고 마켓의 초기 가격 신호를 수립하는 첫 번째 트레이더 중 하나가 될 기회입니다. 이 페이지를 북마크하여 마켓이 성장함에 따라 거래량과 거래 활동을 추적할 수도 있습니다.

"Will Elon Musk go on Joe Rogan before June 30?"에서 거래하려면 답이 "Yes"인지 "No"인지 선택하세요. 각 쪽에는 마켓의 내재 확률을 반영하는 현재 가격이 있습니다. 금액을 입력하고 "거래"를 클릭하세요. "Yes" 주식을 매수하고 결과가 "Yes"로 정산되면 각 주식은 $1을 지급합니다. "No"로 정산되면 "Yes" 주식은 $0을 지급합니다. 수익을 확정하거나 손실을 줄이고 싶다면 정산 전 언제든지 주식을 매도할 수 있습니다.

"Will Elon Musk go on Joe Rogan before June 30?"의 현재 확률은 "Yes"에 대해 30%입니다. 이는 Polymarket 크라우드가 현재 이 이벤트가 발생할 확률을 30%로 보고 있음을 의미합니다. 이 확률은 실제 거래에 기반하여 실시간으로 업데이트되어 마켓이 기대하는 바에 대한 지속적으로 업데이트되는 신호를 제공합니다.

"Will Elon Musk go on Joe Rogan before June 30?"의 정산 규칙은 각 결과가 승자로 선언되기 위해 정확히 무엇이 일어나야 하는지를 정의합니다 — 결과를 결정하는 데 사용되는 공식 데이터 소스를 포함합니다. 이 페이지의 댓글 위 "규칙" 섹션에서 완전한 정산 기준을 검토할 수 있습니다. 거래 전 규칙을 주의 깊게 읽는 것을 권장합니다. 이 마켓이 어떻게 정산되는지를 관리하는 정확한 조건, 예외 사항, 출처를 명시하고 있습니다.