Trader consensus heavily favors no independence referendum occurring in 2026, or a failed vote if held, reflecting Greenland's cautious political landscape and economic reliance on Danish subsidies. The March 2025 Inatsisartut election saw gradualists Demokraatit secure a plurality, prioritizing step-by-step self-rule over abrupt separation, with no referendum timeline announced. While pro-swift independence Naleraq won Greenland's first dedicated seat in Denmark's Folketinget on March 25, 2026, amid U.S. territorial pressures, this lacks the coalition support or public mandate needed to trigger a vote by year-end. Ongoing Copenhagen-Nuuk talks emphasize sustained partnership, underscoring structural barriers to rapid change.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트예
$21,922 거래량
$21,922 거래량
2026.12.31
예
$21,922 거래량
$21,922 거래량
2026.12.31
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Greenland holds an independence referendum and a majority of voters in the referendum vote for independence by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A referendum to join a country other than Denmark will be considered to be a referendum for independence.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the governments of Greenland and/or Denmark; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Trader consensus heavily favors no independence referendum occurring in 2026, or a failed vote if held, reflecting Greenland's cautious political landscape and economic reliance on Danish subsidies. The March 2025 Inatsisartut election saw gradualists Demokraatit secure a plurality, prioritizing step-by-step self-rule over abrupt separation, with no referendum timeline announced. While pro-swift independence Naleraq won Greenland's first dedicated seat in Denmark's Folketinget on March 25, 2026, amid U.S. territorial pressures, this lacks the coalition support or public mandate needed to trigger a vote by year-end. Ongoing Copenhagen-Nuuk talks emphasize sustained partnership, underscoring structural barriers to rapid change.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Greenland holds an independence referendum and a majority of voters in the referendum vote for independence by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A referendum to join a country other than Denmark will be considered to be a referendum for independence.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the governments of Greenland and/or Denmark; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
A referendum to join a country other than Denmark will be considered to be a referendum for independence.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the governments of Greenland and/or Denmark; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
마켓 개설일: Jan 12, 2026, 5:47 PM ET
거래량
$21,922종료일
2026.12.31마켓 개설일
Jan 12, 2026, 5:47 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if Greenland holds an independence referendum and a majority of voters in the referendum vote for independence by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A referendum to join a country other than Denmark will be considered to be a referendum for independence.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the governments of Greenland and/or Denmark; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Trader consensus heavily favors no independence referendum occurring in 2026, or a failed vote if held, reflecting Greenland's cautious political landscape and economic reliance on Danish subsidies. The March 2025 Inatsisartut election saw gradualists Demokraatit secure a plurality, prioritizing step-by-step self-rule over abrupt separation, with no referendum timeline announced. While pro-swift independence Naleraq won Greenland's first dedicated seat in Denmark's Folketinget on March 25, 2026, amid U.S. territorial pressures, this lacks the coalition support or public mandate needed to trigger a vote by year-end. Ongoing Copenhagen-Nuuk talks emphasize sustained partnership, underscoring structural barriers to rapid change.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Greenland holds an independence referendum and a majority of voters in the referendum vote for independence by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A referendum to join a country other than Denmark will be considered to be a referendum for independence.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the governments of Greenland and/or Denmark; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
A referendum to join a country other than Denmark will be considered to be a referendum for independence.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the governments of Greenland and/or Denmark; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
거래량
$21,922종료일
2026.12.31마켓 개설일
Jan 12, 2026, 5:47 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Trader consensus heavily favors no independence referendum occurring in 2026, or a failed vote if held, reflecting Greenland's cautious political landscape and economic reliance on Danish subsidies. The March 2025 Inatsisartut election saw gradualists Demokraatit secure a plurality, prioritizing step-by-step self-rule over abrupt separation, with no referendum timeline announced. While pro-swift independence Naleraq won Greenland's first dedicated seat in Denmark's Folketinget on March 25, 2026, amid U.S. territorial pressures, this lacks the coalition support or public mandate needed to trigger a vote by year-end. Ongoing Copenhagen-Nuuk talks emphasize sustained partnership, underscoring structural barriers to rapid change.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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